Kareem Hunt’s stock has been soaring since Spencer Ware was officially ruled out for the season. Fantasy owners of all league formats are buying given Hunt’s great preseason showing, dual threat capability, and Andy Reid’s ability to make good running backs great. It’s become pretty apparent to me, however, that Hunt’s stock is way out of control, and his ADP has surpassed his value.
Let’s not forget who Kareem Hunt is: a solid running back out of Toledo drafted 86th overall to fit into an unexciting Kansas City offense. Within the last 7 days Hunt’s ADP has risen 26 spots. He’s now being drafted higher than: Ty Montgomery (a more dangerous dual threat in a dynamic offense), Dalvin Cook (the 41st overall pick playing a featured role in Minnesota), and Carlos Hyde (a very consistent fantasy option year in and year out). Last night, he went 3rd overall in my dynasty rookie draft: ahead of CMC and Cook. He’s officially the second most overrated rookie (of course, nowhere near as overrated as Mixon).
Hunt will be a good fantasy play but not where he’s being taken. He’s currently the 16th running back going off the board, that puts him as a low end RB1 or high end RB2 in a 12 team league. That’s ridiculously high. If you’re playing in a standard re-draft league, do not even consider Hunt; he won’t pay off at that value for you. In a PPR league I love him as a flex play and I’m willing to play him as a RB2, but if he’s your RB1 you’re in trouble. Dynasty leagues are where Hunt makes the most sense, but I still think Cook, CMC, and Fournette all have more talent and better situations to play in. I’m taking hunt late in the 5th round or later, but given his ADP and the current infatuation the fantasy community has with him I don’t expect to have him on any of my rosters and you shouldn’t either.