T2’s CFB Playoff Ranking Prediction

Justin Shelley, Contributor 

In honor of the first College Football Playoff Rankings being released tonight, I have decided to post my Top 10 along with the order I believe the committee will have the teams. I decided to do a Top 10 list because there are still a large amount of teams that have a chance at making the playoff. As the season progresses, I will go down to a Top 4 and include the first 2 teams out.

The projection for the committee is based off of the CFP Selection Protocol (http://collegefootballplayoff.com/documents/2017/10/20//CFP_Selection_Committee_Protocol.pdf?id=23) and what we have seen in the first 3 years of the system. My rankings are based on what we have seen thus far and NOT projecting what will happen in the future. One of the unqiue aspects about the CFP rankings is we still don’t understand if the committee is choosing the 4 BEST teams or the 4 most DESERVING. Each member of the committee has a different opinion on this debate which makes the rankings very difficult to project week to week. 

 My Top 10:

1. Georgia 

2. Alabama 

If you’ve watched any CFB this season and have a functioning brain you can clearly see that UGA and Bama have been the top 2 teams on the field this season. Both have dominated the majority of their opponents and have looked great on both sides of the ball. The reason I have UGA ahead of Bama is the big win at Notre Dame, the projected #3 team in the rankings.  

3. Notre Dame 

With wins over NC State, USC, and Michigan State, ND has by far the best resume of the one loss teams. Also, the Fighting Irish have the best loss against the projected #1 team UGA.

4. Oklahoma 

Best win of the season thus far at Ohio State in week 2 by double digits. The loss to Iowa State is looking better and better as the Cyclones should be ranked in the top 20 tonight.

5. Clemson 

2 great wins over top 15 teams, on the road at Virginia Tech and against Auburn. The only loss for the Tigers was at Syracuse by 3 in a game where they lost their starting QB Kelly Bryant.

6. Ohio State 

– Huge win over Penn State this past weekend but thats basically it for the Buckeyes. I believe the lost at home to Oklahoma by 15 points should hurt them at this point in the season.

7. TCU

Great win in Stillwater vs. a top 15 Oklahoma State team. Not much else to talk about for the Horned Frogs

8. Penn State

Tough loss to the Buckeyes by 1 point in the Shoe. Nitty Lions need Michigan to keep winning to make their W look more impressive. 

9. Miami

10. Wisconsin

Yes the Hurricanes and Badgers are undefeated at this point but we still don’t know much about them. Both teams have yet to beat a ranked team this season and haven’t dominated their relatively weak opponents. We should learn a lot about the Canes this weekend as they host a top 15 team Virginia Teach.

What I believe the committe will have:

1. Alabama 

2. Georgia

3. Notre Dame

4. Ohio State

5. Clemson

6. Oklahoma

7. Penn State 

8. TCU 

9. Miami 

10. Wisconsin

As a college football fan I always love a healthy debate so please tweet us (@Top2Sports) or leave a comment with your top 4 teams. Remember there is still a TON of football to be played and I’m sure this will look very different one month from today.

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Happy Halloween: Players Too Spooky To Hold Onto

Happy Halloween from us here at Top 2! We’re at the mid-point of the NFL season and by now you should know where your fantasy roster stands amongst your opponents. However, some NFL players have some strange things happening to them. Martavis Bryant might as well be in the upside down with the month that he’s had. If you have these players on your roster, then you probably have no idea what to make of their first 8 weeks.

Fear not, here is what you should do with these mystery men:

hide and seek

Look at how much fun the Steelers are having….without Martavis

Martavis Bryant (Owned in 60 percent of leagues): Let us start with the aforementioned Steeler Wide Receiver. I don’t like it; I just don’t like the situation that has unfolded for Bryant in Pittsburgh. His playing time has dipped which even included a healthy inactive status last Sunday against the Lions AND Juju Smith-Schuster has emerged as a threat in the passing game for the Steelers offense. Bryant asked for a trade but will not get one as the deadline has passed and the Steelers have said no to teams calling. Bryant may have a game or two where he has double-digit fantasy points but this season is not going well and, with the emergence of Juju, it’s not going to get any better. The Call: Too Spooky, drop him.

Terrelle Pryor (Owned in 74 percent of leagues): Boy was I wrong on Pryor taking a one-year prove-it deal in Washington and making the most of having a good QB. Pryor has been a mess this season. He’s dropping passes, can’t finish routes and ultimately looks lost in the Redskins offense. Normally I would say patience is key when it comes to players as talented as Pryor but he just looks awful right now (zero catches on Sunday against a weak Dallas secondary). The Call: Too Spooky, drop him.

 Matthew Stafford (Owned in 88 percent of leagues): So if you’re in a 12-team league or a 2QB league then I understand you’re not dropping him. However, in 10-team leagues, Stafford just isn’t cutting it. The Lions offense looked awful Sunday against the Steelers and they have been a big disappointment after starting out 2-0. Currently the 12th best QB in fantasy, Stafford is certainly not match-up proof and once we’re beyond the bye weeks, he’s barely worth a roster spot. If you have a need elsewhere like RB, WR or TE then you should ditch Stafford. The Call: Too Spooky, drop him.

collarbone

 Any Green Bay offensive player not named Jordy Nelson and Aaron Jones: This is just a state of the team type of warning. Brett Hundley is just not a good QB. I know the Saints have improved on Defense but Hundley just looked terrible. I don’t know if it was because we went from Aaron Rodgers to Brett Hundley but it looks bad. It’s like going from Filet Mignon to Rump Roast real quick. I’m not even a big fan of Nelson after the Rodgers injury but you have to believe he has the best chance to be somewhat of a WR2 even with Hundley. Aaron Jones deserves to be the RB and you have to roster him because quite frankly there just aren’t enough good RBs. Ty Montgomery is not and never will be a good running back. He is a Swiss army knife player on offense and he only really works if Rodgers is the QB. Even then he hasn’t really panned out. The Call: Too Spooky, drop them all.

 Sammy Watkins (Owned in 78.8 percent of leagues): This is a frustrating case because the Rams have been resurgent on offense. Watkins has had a tough time getting the ball in Los Angeles and here is where I will preach patience. Watkins came to the Rams extremely late and is still learning the playbook. He just had a bye week so that should’ve helped him out a bit when it comes to learning the playbook plus building a rapport with Jared Goff. I’m not saying start him this week against the Giants but I would hold onto him as the Rams gear up for a playoff run. That means they’ll be playing meaningful football late in the season. They’ll need Watkins for that. The Call: Not Spooky, have a treat.

Week 9 Waiver Wire Targets

Matt Hicks, Staff Writer

Week 8 was a tough week, you really had to dig deep in the waiver wire. If you listened to us, you may have won your match-up by playing JuJu (WR2), Marvin Jones (WR11), Marlon Mack (RB 10), or Robby Anderson (WR5). Week 9 doesn’t get any easier. We’ve pulled together a solid group of recent breakout players, quietly consistent performers, and some great dynasty options.

Quarterbacks

Jimmy Garappolo

I’m seriously excited to see what Jimmy G can do in San Francisco. I’ve been frustrated by the Patriots essentially holding him hostage in New England and wasting his talent. His career stats are made up primarily of 2 games during Brady’s 2016 suspension and consist of 690 yards, 5 touchdowns, 0 interceptions and a QBR of 88.7 in those two games. If there’s one thing I trust in the NFL, it’s a Bill Bellicheck product. We’ve seen Brisett have mild success with the Colts, and he was Garappolo’s back-up. Don’t expect him to jump right in as a difference maker but he absolutely must be owned on all dynasty rosters now that he’s a starting Quarterback. He’s currently owned in just 0.8% of ESPN leagues.

Runningbacks

Alex Collins

Collins finished as RB7 in Week 8. He now has at least 10 carries in each of his last four games. Collins has also gotten more carries than Buck Allen in each of their last 3 games. Collins is taking over the lead back role in Baltimore for a good reason: he’s averaging 6 yards per carry, compared to Allen’s 4 yards per carry. Collins also has 122 more rushing yards than Allen, but has carried the ball 19 less times. Collins has serious upside but proceed with caution; he’s still in a RBBC and West could be coming back from injury soon. He’s still worth stashing and playing, based on match-ups. He’s owned in just 32% of leagues.

Deandre Washington

Both Washington and Richard were disappointed when their goal line touchdown was vultured by Olawale. Washington was more effective in the passing game, where he caught eight out of his ten targets for 62 yards and a touchdown. Washington’s ten targets equals the amount of targets that both Cooper and Crabtree received. Washington, however, pulled in 3 more receptions than either of the two premier Raiders wide receivers. Don’t back off Washington just because Lynch returns; he’s shown he can be a more dynamic option in the passing game and more consistent in the rushing game. Given the focus on Lynch, you should be able to get Washington for low (to zero) FAAB; and he could turn out to be a great long-term dynasty option. He’s available in 63.1% of leagues.

Wide Receivers

Mohammad Sanu

I saw a lot of Sanu questions on Twitter this week. Stop questioning him, he’s a streamable option every week. He’s been targeted at least 6 times in 5 out of the 6 games he’s played; in those games he’s scored twice and gotten at least 65 receiving yards 3 times. Sanu is the clear WR2 in Atlanta, with 12 more targets and 11 more receptions than Taylor Gabriel. Sanu is also leading all Atlanta wide receivers with 2 touchdowns. He’s available in 39% of leagues.

Paul Richardson

Russell Wilson is on fire, and he loves throwing touchdowns to Paul Richardson. Richardson has pulled in 3 touchdowns in the last two weeks, and has 5 total on the season. In Week 8 he set season highs in targets (7), receptions (6), and receiving yards (105). The Seahawks have become totally one-dimensional, leading Wilson to throw the ball at least 37 times in 5 games this season. Richardson has benefitted greatly from this, and is now leading the Seahawk wide receivers in fantasy points. Moving forward, Richardson is the clear WR2 in Seattle, and is worth claiming in the 90% of leagues he’s available in.

Jamison Crowder

Lost amongst the Pryor disappointment and Doctson hype is Crowder taking over as Cousin’s favorite wide receiver. Crowder has been building a relationship with Cousins all season; getting at least 5 targets in all but 1 game this season. He’s been unable to gain significant yardage, however, and it’s held him back from being fantasy relevant. This week he finally broke out, with 123 yards on 9 receptions. Crowder now has 9 more targets than Pryor and 26 more than Doctson. Crowder also has 10 more receptions than Pryor and 20 more than Doctson. Cousin’s favorite target is available in 48% of leagues.

Tight Ends

Jack Doyle

He’s finally fantasy relevant! The Doyle truthers have been patient, and this isn’t how they expected it to happen, but Doyle must now be rostered in all leagues. In his last 3 games Doyle has averaged 10.6 targets, 8.6 receptions (78% of targets), 71.6 yards, and has two total touchdowns. Brisett targeted Doyle 14 times in Week 8, which was twice as many targets as T.Y. Hilton received and just 1 less time than all of the Colt wide receivers combined. At such a shallow position, Doyle should have a 100% ownership, but is still available in 60.7% of leagues. Doyle becomes even more valuable when considering his long-term dynasty value; he’s going to be explosive when Luck comes back (even if that’s next season).

Defense/Special Teams

Titans D/ST

The Browns are on BYE this week, so this position is a bit more difficult. Tennessee is playing Baltimore, who could be playing without Joe Flacco. It seems almost certain that Mallet will throw interceptions and lead an ineffective Ravens offense. The Titans D/ST have scored at least 6 fantasy points the last 3 weeks and can stack the box against the Baltimore rush. This could be a very effective combination.

Jaguars D/ST

The Jags have been the most dominant D/ST in the NFL every week this season. The Jags have 10 total interceptions this season, and they’re playing Andy Dalton; who’s thrown 8 interceptions already this season. Dalton did too good last week and is due for fantasy regression. Expect him and the dysfunctional RBBC to get stalled against this tough D/ST.

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Hot or Hot Garbage: DFS Style

Matt Hicks, Staff Writer

Here we go, T2’s weekly “Hot or Hot Garbage” article. To those new to “Hot or Hot Garbage” this is our weekly quick takes article where I go through and let you know if popular fantasy players are “Hot” and worth their hype, or “Hot Garbage” and should be avoided. I’m switching it up this week and talking DFS, so let’s jump right into it.

Carson Wentz: Hot

Wentz is leading the NFL in touchdowns (17) and is 4th in passing yards (1,852). Even better, he’s playing San Francisco this week, who’s D/ST has given up the 3rd highest amount of points this season. Wentz is ranked by DRAFT as the QB6 this week, which is nuts. He’s QB1 for me.

Drew Brees: Hot Garbage

This reeks of a trap game to me. Brees is QB9 overall this season, which is one spot behind Cam Newton. Brees is facing the Bears D/ST, who forced Cam to turn the ball over 3 times last week. I think Brees is a decent play this week but he’s currently ranked as QB2 this week, which is much too high.

Ezekiel Elliot: Ridiculously Hot

I won’t fluff this up: Zeke won or lost you your game last week. His upside is impossible to pass up when playing DFS. The RB options are shallow this week so you should go for Zeke #1 overall, or plan on losing.

Kareem Hunt: Who Turned Down the Heat?

Hunt was unbelievably hot the first 3 weeks of the season; scoring 87 fantasy points. In his 4 games since then, he’s put up just 46. He’s facing Denver this week and is facing his 8th week without a BYE. It’s always tempting to take him for his upside, but I don’t seem him scoring big this week.

Julio Jones: Still Hot Garbage

I know we want to think Jones had a bounce back game, but he didn’t. He was facing a week New England defense and scored 6 of his 16 points off a TD pass that he had to physically rip away from a defender because Ryan threw it so poorly. Don’t get excited, folks, Jones isn’t back and he shouldn’t be ranked as the WR2 by DRAFT this week.

AJ Green: Everyone’s Hot Against the Colts

The Colts have allowed 27.3 points per game to opposing WRs; that’s the third highest rate in the league. Green is the WR5, and has scored double digit points in half of his games. I love Green’s big play potential with this match-up and he’s well deserving of his WR3 rank this week in DFS.

Rob Gronkowski: Don’t Play with Fire

It’s tempting to jump on his big upside. But taking the TE2 doesn’t make sense in DFS. Gronk is one of many weapons in New England and it has lead to him scoring 8 or less points in half of his games. In DRAFT, the WR & TE position is combined so I’d suggest avoiding TEs all together. If you do want a TE this week, though, take Ertz vs San Francisco.

Week 8 Waiver Wire Targets

Matt Hicks, Staff Writer

I never advocate for giving up or “tanking” a fantasy team, but it’s Week 8 and it’s officially time to start thinking about next year’s team. If you have two or less wins so far, you should seriously consider spending your FAAB (Free Agent Acquisition Budget) on players that will pay off in the long term. This article focuses more on these types of Waiver Wire Targets, but also includes some players that can save your playoff hopes this season if you’re struggling with a two or three win team.

Quarterbacks

Jared Goff

I’ve been an advocate for Goff since the preseason, so I’m surprised to see he’s only owned in 28.6% of fantasy leagues, according to ESPN. Goff is performing as the QB12 right now, ahead of: Stafford, Carr, Mariota, Winston, Taylor, and Ryan. Goff’s stats are weighed down by a tough early season schedule. He averaged just 9.5 points against Washington, Jacksonville, and Seattle. If you take those games out, however, he’s averaging 19.2 points per game. He has 4 games with over 250 yards and has a 9 touchdowns and just 4 interceptions. Goff is a great long-term fantasy option, but also can make an impact this season, if you play him based on match-up.

Jacoby Brisett

Brisett has shown he’s a legitimate NFL starting quarterback. He’s currently QB20, and he didn’t take over the starting job until Week 2. He’s averaging 14.8 fantasy points per game since Week 2 and has as many passing touchdowns as he does rushing (3). What’s very encouraging to me is that the Colts trust the second year man to throw the ball 33 times a game. With the Andrew Luck setback it appears likely that Brisett will be the starting quarterback for the rest of the season. I’m not suggesting Brisett will take Luck’s job in 2018, but I think he’s done well enough to get the attention of teams across the league. For now, he’s a solid BYE week option but look for him to be leading a team like Arizona or the Jets next year. Brisett is available in 84.5% of leagues and is well worth a stash.

Runningbacks

Aaron Jones

It’s officially time to stop questioning Aaron Jones. Green Bay made it clear that they’re favoring Jones (17 carries for 131 yards) over Ty Montgomery (4 carries for 6 yards). In his last four games, Jones has gotten at least 13 carries each game, has rushed for 125 or more yards twice, and scored 3 touchdowns. He’s scored at least 10 fantasy points in three of those games and has shown he’s a clear RB2 option moving forward. With Hundley at the helm, it’s likely that Jones’ workload keeps increasing. It’s shocking he’s still available in 34% of leagues. If he’s a free agent in your league, don’t be afraid to use a lot of FAAB on him; he’s worth it.

Marlon Mack

I’ve held off on the Marlon Mack hype. I just don’t see him making an impact in Indianapolis’ uninspiring offense this year. What I have seen, however, is that he’s slowly being integrated more into the offense each week. Since returning from injury, he has 16 carries for 135 yards; an impressive 8.4 yards a carry. The Colts showed that Mack is going to fill the void in the passing game left by Turbin; in Week 7 Mack pulled in 4 receptions for 40 yards. He’s building up nicely to take over for the aging Frank Gore for the 2018 season. Spend FAAB on Mack now, and reap the benefits when he’s the feature back in the Andrew Luck lead offense next season. Mack is available in 73.5% of leagues.

Wide Receiver

JuJu Smith-Schuster

Juju has taken over as WR2 in Pittsburgh. Smith-Schuster has just 1 less reception than Martavis Bryant, even though he’s been targeted 10 less times. JuJu’s has pulled down 65% of his targets, which is actually 3% higher than Antonio Brown. JuJu also has the same amount of touchdowns as Brown (3). He’s been quietly asserting himself as a legitimate flex option in PPR formats. The best part? He’s only 20; if you win a claim on him this week you can lock him up for a long time. He’s available in 92.3% of leagues; get him while you can.

Robby Anderson

The 24 year old out of Temple is leading a surprisingly strong Jets passing attack. Anderson’s 46 targets and 331 receiving yards are both team highs. His 2 touchdowns are second just to Kearse’s 4. His role has progressed throughout the season, with 7 targets the last 4 weeks. Anderson has just 6.5 yards/reception, which normally would be alarming. I see it as a benefit, however, because it shows he fits McCown’s passing style. More importantly, his short, possession style could benefit whichever quarterback the Jets draft and throw out on the field next season. He’s a decent flex option if you have a few players on BYE, but his real value comes down the road. He’s owned in just 13.5% of leagues.

Tight End

OJ Howard

We’ve finally seen what Howard can do when he’s featured in the Tampa Bay offense; he pulled in all 6 of his receptions for 98 yards and 2 touchdowns in Week 7. In games where Howard is targeted at least 4 times he averages 17 fantasy points per game, however, that’s only happened twice. I don’t think that Howard is a starting option just yet, but make a claim and keep on eye on him throughout the season. At some point they’re going to have to feature their first round pick. He’s available in 90.2% of leagues.

Defense/Special Teams

Minnesota Vikings D/ST

Remember rule #1 of streaming defenses? Always put a claim on the defense playing Cleveland. This goes double when it comes to the Vikings. I’m willing to bet this D/ST gets more points than your flex this week.

Philadelphia Eagles D/ST

The Eagles have been a consistent defense all season, scoring between 3-8 points every week since Week 1 (when they put up 22). In Week 8 they face off against a 49ers offense that could only put up 10 points against a horrid Cowboys defense. I think Beathard can be the real deal, but he’s a rookie and he’s bound to make mistakes (aka turnovers) throughout the game. There’s not a lot of great streaming options this week, but I like the Eagles as a potential sleeper.

Airing of the Grievances: Week 7

Matt Hicks, Staff Writer

Did you take a bad beat this week? Are you angry with player(s) who cost you a big win? Don’t be that person who “@’s” someone on Twitter (seriously that’s lame, don’t do that). Instead, participate in our weekly Airing of the Grievances where we take a lighthearted approach and tell the players who let us down, just how disappointed we are in them. Here’s who let us down this week:

The Ten Quarterbacks without a Passing Touchdown this Week

Hey quarterbacks, you’re an absolute mess this year! Tell me how ten…TEN…of you don’t put up even one touchdown? These quarterbacks include Brissett, Mariota, Cam, Keenum, Siemian, Trubisky, Kessler and Kizer, and Beathard and Hundley (who each had a rushing touchdown). Some of the bigger disappointments here are Mariota (against the Browns), Cam who also threw 2 interceptions, and Keenum; who seems determined to keep us guessing on what he’ll do every week. Trubisky gets a pass because he only threw the ball 7 times. Get it? A pass. Alright, moving on.

Carlos Hyde and… Alshon Jeffery

We always ask our Twitter followers who let them down, we had some good answers this week, but @flowwords had us laughing with this one. First, they’re spot on with Hyde, who was coming off his second best performance of the season (with 19 points). In Week 7 he put up just 9 points, including 14 attempts for 68 yards. It’s actually very Hyde-esque but I just want him to be that next level player so bad. Now let’s get to Jeffery, who hasn’t actually played yet this week. I’m interpreting this submission in two ways: first, that Jeffery has been disappointing all season; which we can all agree with. Second, I’m thinking @flowwords already knows Jeffery will let them down this week, so much so they’re ready to air grievances before Jeffery even puts on the pads! Let’s see how this one goes, and you can tweet us your grievances next week to be featured!

The 5th U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals

I realize you’re just doing your job, your honor, but what my opponent (who has Zeke) just did to me is criminal. I was ROBBED, your honor. I thought I had this game in the bag, I even figured Zeke for 20 points, but 39 of them is just criminal. I do recognize, your honor, that I deserve this because I played Amari in my line-up and he had no legal right to put up 33. Still, your decision to allow Zeke to play cost me a critical win this week and I have to use my first amendment right to air my grievances!

Bill Belicheck

I wrote last week that Dion Lewis has taken over as RB1 in New England, and I stand by that. The problem is that New England also as a RB2, a RB3, AND a RB4. Bill insists on using all 4 of his running backs, making Lewis (who I started in 2 leagues) a diluted fantasy option. Lewis has 6 yards/carry for 76 yards total; which made him a good fantasy option. However, if he got the 14 carries given to Burkhead and Gillislee he would’ve had another 84 yards (on his 6 yards/carry pace) for a total of 160 yards and 16 fantasy points. I was so angry with Lewis’ workload that Eric had to tell me to stop texting him about it. Note that I left White in the mix, so I’m not even asking you to use just 1 back, Bill, I’m asking you to let Dion be an impact player.

Melvin Gordon

What happened, man? You’ve been a DFS hero the last two weeks, you got me hooked on you, and then you fall flat this week. Gordon totaled just 38 yards, on 18 carries. Eckeler also had 38 yards, but on just 7 carries. Eckeler also put up a touchdown, unlike Gordon. We weren’t the only ones let down, either. When we asked Twitter who let them down this week, 39% of y’all said Gordon. Shake it off, Mel, New England is up next and we need you to return to form.

Want to be featured next week, or is there someone who should’ve been in this article? Tweet us @Top2Sports