Week 15 Start/Sits

Matt Hicks, Staff Writer


Dak Prescott: Start

It appears Dak has officially bounced back from his mid-season drop-off. In Weeks 13 and 14 he went 31-55 with 444 passing yards, 5 touchdowns, and no interceptions. He’s got a favorable match-up this week against Oakland, who has given up the 6th most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks this season. He’s a QB1 on the season and is a starter this week.

Blake Bortles: Start

We’ve been hype on Bortles since Week 14, and we said you needed to pick him up this week also. Needless to say, Bortles is worth a start; specially against the Texans, who are the third worst this season in points allowed to opposing quarterbacks.

Jared Goff: Sit

Unless you’re in a deep league, you need to pump the breaks on Goff this week. Goff has only performed as a QB1 once over the last 4 weeks. In those weeks he’s thrown for more than 22 yards just once and hasn’t thrown for more than 2 touchdowns in any game. In deeper leagues or superflex leagues, he’s a safe start but don’t expect big upside from him as he plays a tough Seahawks defense.

Case Keenum: Start

Since Week 8, Keenum is the QB13 on the season. In 7 of those weeks he threw for more than 250 yards and in 6 of them he completed at least 70% of his passes. Over that time he’s thrown for 13 touchdowns and 5 interceptions.

Nick Foles: Start (If Desperate)

We mentioned earlier this week, that Foles is worth starting; if you’re in need of a quarterback because of recent injuries. This is primarily because of his easy match-up against the Giants, who have allowed the 2nd most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks this season.

Alex Smith: Sit

Smith is QB3 on the season, but he’s seen his production fall off since Week 11. He’s struggled against the weak Raiders and Giants defenses; so don’t expect much against the Chargers, who have allowed the 3rd least fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks this season. We said this in our preview of the game, but sit Smith if you have other options.

Rodgers: Start

I’ll keep this simple: don’t give this a second thought, start Aaron Rodgers.

Running Backs

Jay Ajayi: Start

We mentioned earlier this week, that you can expect Ajayi to breakout following the injury to Wentz. He’s a must start as his volume is going to go way up against the weak Giants defense.

Kerwynn Williams: Start

With AP officially out for the season, Williams is the RB1 in Arizona for the rest of the season. Williams is a solid flex play; averaging 4.7 yards/carry on his 36 attempts the last two weeks. If he starts scoring touchdowns he could be an impact player

Joe Mixon/Gio Bernard: Sit

It’s not yet clear which running back will be the starter this week, but it doesn’t matter. They’ve both had low impact potential most weeks, and the Vikings have allowed the least fantasy points to opposing running backs this season. Regardless of who starts, they shouldn’t start for you.

Kareem Hunt: Start

We mentioned earlier in our preview of his game, that although Hunt’s production has fallen off he’s a must start this week. Hunt is facing the Chargers, who have allowed the 5th most fantasy points to opposing running backs this season. He’s also coming off a solid bounce back week, where he rushed for 116 yards and a touchdown on 25 rushing attempts. Those 25 attempts were the most he’s gotten since Week 5. Expect him to see a similar volume and make an impact this week.

Alfred Morris: Sit

Smith has seen his production fall off since initially seeming like a solid fantasy replacement to Zeke. As his workload increases, his production drops off; with just 3.3 yards/carry on 19 attempts against the Giants in Week 14. He’s scored just one touchdown all season, and with Rod Smith becoming more involved in the offense, Morris is no longer a great flex option.

Rex Burkhead/Dion Lewis: Start (With Low Expectations)

I’d be wrong if I told you these two weren’t both worth starting, but you need to lower your expectations. The Steelers have allowed the 7th least points to opposing running backs, and 8th least to opposing wide receivers; limiting the impact potential for the dual threat options. Still, this game is more likely to be a shootout than a defensive battle; meaning they’re worth a start.

Wide Receivers

Devin Funchess: Start

Funchess is a WR 2 on the season, and has a great match-up this week against the Packers; who have allowed the 3rd most fantasy points to opposing receivers this season. Treat Funchess as a WR1 this week.

Crabtree: Start

Crabtree has fallen off from his strong start, and is currently WR30 on the season. He has a great match-up this week, though, against the Cowboys; who have allowed the 4th most points to opposing wideouts this season. In Week 14 he saw 13 targets, the most this season. Consider him a WR2 this week.

Josh Gordon: Sit

I love Josh Gordon as a fantasy option, but I don’t love him against the Baltimore Ravens. Gordon’s impact was made on big plays last week, and I can’t see him doing that against the 2nd best defense against opposing wide receivers this season.

Marquise Goodwin: Start (In Deep Leagues)

Goodwin is more than just an exciting fantasy prospect, he’s making an impact now. He’s seen at least 6 targets in 4 of his last 5 weeks and has caught 60 receiving yards in each of those weeks. His impact has been limited, however, because he’s caught just 1 touchdown this season. In deep leagues, though, his yardage and receptions make him a worthwhile start.

Robby Anderson: Sit

This hurts to say, but like we mentioned earlier in the week; Anderson’s stock drops to the point of sitting this week. Bryce Petty does tend to hyper target Anderson, but it’s still Bryce Petty and the Saints defense can tend to shut down weaker teams. Until we see what Petty can do, sit Anderson; expect in deeper leagues.

Jordy Nelson: Start

In the 4 full games Rodgers and Nelson have played this season, Nelson has 17 receptions on 28 targets. Nelson also has 230 receiving yards and 6 touchdowns. With Rodgers back in, Nelson is a must start.

AJ Green: Start

Green is WR4 on the season, and has 29 targets over the last two weeks. Although the Vikings seem like an intimidating match-up, they’re 16th in fantasy points allowed to opposing wide receivers this season; which makes Green still a WR1 this season.

Mike Evans: Start (With Low Expectations)

Evans is WR27 on the season, which if you take away his name, means you need to consider playing him a flex; based on match-up. Although Atlanta has allowed the 5th least fantasy points allowed to opposing wideouts, Evans had 6 receptions for 78 yards when he played them in Week 12. Evans’ big play potential, combined with his success against Atlanta makes him worth a start, but lower your expectations.

Tight Ends

Evan Engram: Sit

Engram is averaging just 45 yards/game over the last month. He’s caught just one touchdown over that same period, and has had two easy match-ups; against the Raiders and Cowboys. I have low expectations for him against a tough and motivated Eagles defense.

Jason Witten: Sit

Witten has just one reception in 3 of his last four games. His fantasy production is coming purely from touchdowns; which makes him too risky of a play.

Eric Ebron: Start

Ebron has started to make himself more relevant this month. He’s caught 94% of his 18 targets since Week 12. In Week 14 he caught 10 passes for 94 yards. As Stafford continues to build momentum with him, he’s worth starting; especially in PPR leagues.

Cameron Brate: Sit

With the exception of Week 13, Brate hasn’t been fantasy relevant since Week 8. Hope of him returning to fantasy glory following the return on Winston has since faded; with jut 1 targets against Detroit in Week 14. The Falcons have allowed the 8th least amount of fantasy points per season to opposing tight ends this season. Leave him on your bench this week.

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Published by

Matt Hicks

Matt’s writing is focused on dynasty and devy fantasy football. He loves blending his experience writing research in the field of education with fantasy football stats. Matt currently lives in Baltimore, MD and graduated from Eastern Connecticut State University and the University of Tennessee, Knoxville. You can follow Matt on Twitter: @TheFF_Educator

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