Fantasy Value Targets: Trubisky, Wilson, Burton

Mike Wallace, Contributor 

Adding a player from the waiver wire after they breakout is a great feeling for a fantasy football owner. Even better is when that player breaks out and he is already on your roster. Here are a few players I think have potential to be fantasy values if things go the right way. I am keeping an eye on all these players this off-season to see how things develop. This article will focus players who are expected to be in the second half of drafts or do undrafted.

Mitchell Trubisky, Chicago Bears QB

There are strong parallels between Jared Goff last year and Mitchell Trubisky going into this year. Both were the first QB drafted and neither looked great in their first season. In 2017, the Bears had a boring and predicable offense without reliable options in the passing game.

This off-season they looked to fix a lot of those problems, getting rid of the simple and outdated system of John Fox to replace him with the offensive minded Matt Nagy. Nagy comes from Kansas City where Andy Reid actually trusted him to call plays on offense. Nagy will work to put the players in the Bears’ offense in position to succeed. I expect him to be less predictable and to use Tarik Cohen more effectively to create mismatches in the passing game, which will help Trubisky.

The Bears also made a point to improve their receiving weapons this offseason by adding Allen Robinson and Trey Burton. They represent a major upgrade for an offense that was lead in targets by Kendall Wright in 2017. Trubisky is not going to be drafted as a started, but he is a great target as a QB2 with upside if you are willing to carry a 2nd QB. I am excited for the breakout in 2018.

2018 Outlook:

A good target if you are waiting on QB in the 2018, he has a good change to push his way into a low end QB1.

Trey Burton, Chicago Bears TE

Moving on to a new teammate of Trubisky, here is the TE I’m targeting in my 2018 drafts. After seeing him step up when Zach Ertz missed time, Burton was the player I was most excited to see their landing spot this off-season. He landed on the Bears where Matt Nagy said he plans to use him in the role Kelce plays for the Chiefs. I expect him to be focal part of the offense and be where Trubisky is looking to go with the ball often. There is not a large sample size for Burton, but when he did step in the offense did not seem to a miss a beat. He passes the eye test and now that the featured role is his, he will shine.

My biggest worry with him is that he starts to rise up too many people’s rankings and loses value as his draft price gets too high. There is some risk if Trubisky does not take the next step, but that would create a biggest issue for Robinson’s value on the outside than it would for Burton.

2018 Outlook:

I expect Burton to finish within the top 8 at TE. He is the name on this list I feel the most comfortable with, I would draft him as my started unless something changes between now and September.

Albert Wilson, Miami Dolphins WR

The Dolphins traded away Jarvis Landry, who over the last three years was a target monster for the Dolphins. He topped 160 targets and 100 receptions in 2015 and 2017 as their slot WR. The Dolphins are going to need to fill that role this year and they brought in Wilson along with Danny Amendola. Some people think Amendola is going to be the beneficiary, but if the Dolphins try to give him anywhere near the 10 targets a game Landry was getting he will be lucky to make in through 2 games with his injury history. There is a chance they split time in the slot, but Wilson is the younger player the Dolphins committed more to financially. He has a very good chance to see a more significant role in 2018. If he becomes the go to target for Tannehill (or anyone else starting games for Miami) he will be very valuable especially in leagues with any PPR scoring.

2018 Outlook:

A potential steal that could end up as a high end WR2 in PPR leagues if he sees the volume.

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