Coming into the 2018-2019 NFL Season, Russell Wilson was considered a top 3 dynasty quarterback by much of the community. In the past, Wilson has been able to put up good passing numbers and provide a safe floor with his rushing production. However, that is not the case this season. Wilson is currently ranked as QB 19 through Week 5. If Wilson is on your team, you most likely had to draft him early and have been forced to play him, which has killed your team. In terms of dynasty, I think it’s safe to say that Wilson is no longer a top 8 option at the QB position. If you can still get anywhere near top 8 value for Wilson, it is time to sell.
Let’s take a look at why he’s no longer the dazzling quarterback that led many fantasy teams to their championships just last season.
Emergence of the Young Quarterbacks
Part of the reason Wilson has fallen outside of the top 8 is the emergence of the young QBs in the NFL. When we think about emerging quarterbacks, the first name everyone immediately thinks about is Patrick Mahomes, which is definitely deserved for the QB1 in fantasy. However, there are some more young QBs that have been producing extremely well through the first 5 weeks. Jared Goff is ranked as the QB4 and Deshaun Watson is ranked as the QB6. When you take these three QBs and consider the usual suspects of Aaron Rodgers, Carson Wentz, Kirk Cousins and Cam Newton, it’s hard to find a spot for Wilson in the top 8 dynasty QBs, possibly even the top 10.
Where Did the Rushing Go?
Part of what made Russell Wilson such a valuable fantasy option was his ability to rush the ball and get a few extra touchdowns a year through the ground. Through his first 6 seasons in the NFL, all of which he finished as the QB 12 or better, Wilson averaged 546 rushing yards and 2.67 rushing touchdowns a season. Through 5 weeks, Wilson has only produces 42 rushing yards and 0 rushing touchdowns. At this rate, Wilson will end up with only 134 rushing yards, by far the lowest of his career. If Wilson can’t produce on the ground, it is going to be impossible to rely on him as a top 12 option at the QB position.
The Seahawks Are In A Bad Place
The thing that worries me the most about Russell Wilson as a dynasty asset is the fact that the Seattle Seahawks have shown us that they are no longer a great franchise. I know, they won a Super Bowl a few years ago, but look at what they have done recently.
For starters, the Seahawks are refusing to provide Wilson with a decent offensive line. Last season, the Seahawks had the 30th ranked O-Line according to Pro Football Focus. This hasn’t gotten any better this season. Through 5 games, Wilson has already been sacked 18 times, which is on pace to be the most of his career. For whatever reason, the Seahawks have neglected the O-Line and are going to get their QB seriously injured.
On top of the O-Line, The Seahawks have not done a great job drafting the last few years. When going back to 2016, the only pick that the Seahawks have spent on offensive players that have made a significant impact is Chris Carson, who was a 7th rounder. The most notable draft pick that it seems the Seahawks have messed up is their 1st rounder in 2018, running back Rashaad Penny. Not only was Penny projected to be a 3rd/4th round pick, the Seahawks also had bigger holes at more important positions, such as offensive line. To make matters worse, Penny hasn’t been able to beat out the previously mentioned Carson or Mike Davis and has had very few reps this season.
Unless there is some major overhaul in personal or philosophy in the Seahawks front office, I don’t see Wilson’s situation getting any better.