Last Week’s Results: Mitchell Trubisky had a great fantasy week against the Patriots, throwing for 2 TDs and rushing for another. He finished the week as the QB number 2 with 35.4 fantasy points. For the season that brings the weekly average for my main streaming option up to 25.2 fantasy points per week. For reference that is better than the average points per week put up by Kirk Cousins, Tom Brady and Jared Goff. Instead of using a valuable pick on those guys, it is possible to beat their production for free if you’re paying attention.
This week there are 4 teams that have a bye week. Unless you are in a 2 QB league, you likely won’t need a streaming option to replace Dak Prescott or Marcus Mariota, but Matt Ryan and Philip Rivers are both top 5 QBs for fantasy so far this season. With them not playing, here are my streaming picks for this week:
Main Streaming Option: Baker Mayfield
It might not be pretty but I expect the Steelers to score in this game and the Browns will need to throw to keep up. That means Baker will have the ball in his hand and have the opportunity to come through for fantasy. This game has an over/under of 49 and the Steelers are pretty heavy favorites. It is expected that the Browns will be playing from behind in this game. The game script will likely force Baker to throw the ball frequently, the yardage should be there and the opportunity for TDs comes with it. While it is also probable that Baker will throw a few interceptions, I expect the volume to be enough to overcome any turnovers. In the 4 games Baker has started he has thrown an average of 41 passes a game, finishing with less than 40 attempts only once. Last week he also showed that he can provide additional value as a runner. It does seem like the Browns are trying to go to overtime and play for a chance at a tie every week, at this rate you may even get an extra quarter worth of production from Mayfield, not that it is something you can count on.
Alternate 1: Joe Flacco
This game does not have the high over/under I would like to see for a fantasy QB steamer, but Flacco has been very reliable for fantasy this year and it might be time to accept he needs to be considered as a possibility every week. He has thrown for 11 TDs on the season and is averaging 295 yards passing a game. He offers no value as a runner, but he is averaging 43 pass attempts per game. He has 3 solid options at WR, including John Brown who can break a big play at any time. Javorius Allen has provided a safe outlet catching passes out of the backfield and then there are all the TEs the team seems to use. The Ravens’ rushing attack hasn’t been anything special, Alex Collins is averaging only 3.6 yards per rush, and Allen is at a very bad 2.6. They need Flacco to play well for the offense to move.
Alternate 2: Case Keenum
Keenum is not having a great season, but in a deeper league or a 2QB league he should be looked at as a fill in if needed. They are playing at Kansas City and are the second biggest underdog of the week; this game has the 2nd highest over under of the week at 53.5. The Broncos will be down in this game and Keenum will need to throw to give them any chance. Royce Freeman has an ankle injury and it is possible he is not active for this game and when you combine that with the high flying offense of the Chiefs then it’s a recipe for a lot of pass attempts. He has shown a good connection with Emmanuel Sanders so far this season and I expect that to continue. This recommendation is entirely based on the match up and the way I am expecting this game to go. Denver was able to keep the 1st matchup between these two team close, but that is not what I am expecting as they head to Kansas City.
Next week is one of the bigger bye weeks with 6 teams getting the week off. It will be an interesting week where there will likely be some unexpected names putting up QB1 weeks. I will be back to provide some names to look at for those who need to plug someone in. Until then keep streaming.