Kaden Smith: 3 Star Fantasy Football Prospect

Welcome to the 48 Report, a full working database including 48 of our favorite 2019 Draft Prospects. The key, however, is that we focus specifically on their ability to translate as fantasy football players. All players in the database have been/will be scored by 3 writers, and this is their article; explaining their aggregate score, as well as the score of their writer.

All categories are scored on a 1-5 scale; with 5 being the highest score a prospect can receive. The highest aggregate average scores a player can receive is 25. Articles will be posted January-April, all the way up to the draft. Ratings will be adjusted after the combine, based on measurables and after the draft, because as we all know: landing spot matters.

Kaden Smith (6’5”, 259) Tight End, Stanford.

15 Aggregate Score (3 Star Prospect)

The tight end position was an absolute mess in 2018 for Fantasy Football. Outside of the top tier options, there was a whole lot of nothing from the position. With that being the case, the 2019 NFL Draft will look to infuse the NFL with some top talent at the position.

Up first for the tight end position is Kaden Smith out of Stanford. A 4 star recruit out of Flower Mound Texas, Smith has had a solid career with production that warrants mid-round draft consideration. While playing in 15 games for Marcus high school, Smith accumulated 678 total yards on 43 catches and hauled in 5 touchdowns.

College Production

After committing to Stanford and not seeing action as a freshman in 2016, Smith played in 14 games in his sophomore season hauling in 23 catches for 414 yards and 5 touchdowns. His season was highlighted by a 4 catch-80 yard-2 touchdown performance against USC in the Pac-12 Championship game. This past year as a junior, Smith earned All-Pac-12 second team honors and was a Mackey Award finalist. In 10 games, he totaled 635 yards on 47 receptions and scored 2 touchdowns.

At first glance, the production doesn’t seem to be overwhelming but this is the typical production of a college tight end. In comparison to fellow draft class tight ends Noah Fant and Dawson Knox, Smith could make an argument as the top tight end in the class in terms of production although Fant’s touchdown production was pretty off the charts.

All in all, Smith had a productive collegiate career that will certainly have scouts talking. Let’s do a deep dive into some particular attributes for Kaden Smith.

Speed/Acceleration: Aggregate Score: 2.3 (Personal Score: 2)

Smith definitely isn’t the fastest guy on the field. While he moves well for his size, he won’t be known for running past defenders. While watching tape, Smith doesn’t seem to add anything in terms of yards after the catch. His combine 40 time could make or break him and could be the difference between the 3rd round or the 5th round.

Route Running: Aggregate Score: 2.3 (Personal Score: 2)

Due to his lack of speed, Smith’s route running abilities are pretty subpar. He doesn’t really have burst when coming out of his routes, which could be a problem at the NFL level. I’ll get to why I actually believe he’ll be ok in a minute but overall; Smith needs some polish on his route tree. The seam route is easily his best route and he runs it well, often in perfect position while utilizing his size to block out the defender.

Blocking: Aggregate Score: 4 (Personal Score: 4)

Ah yes, Blocking. The ultimate sign of a fantasy gem at the tight end position, how could you go wrong with a strong blocker! In all seriousness, I saw a plus blocking tight end while watching the film on Smith. He does not shy away from contact (at his size, why would he?) and engages defenders with a good, low base to support his blocks. He is rarely out of position on his block attempts and helped spring some huge plays for Stanford running back Bryce Love. His abilities as a pass catcher leave a lot to be desired but his blocking ability will be an immediate help at the NFL level.

Handwork/Positioning: Aggregate Score: 2.6 (Personal Score: 3)

Kaden Smith, while not being the most precise route runner or a burner, has very solid hands. He made some pretty nice catches this past season and can be relied on if the ball is thrown in his area. However, his hand usage when trying to separate from defenders needs work. He consistently lost that battle this past season and will need to refine his technique before becoming a threat in the passing game. There’s potential here but he’ll need a solid tight end coach. Get him into one of those Aaron Donald-type knife combat training sessions and he should be good to go…or he might get stabbed, let’s hope for the other one though.

Athleticism: Aggregate Score: 3.6 (Personal Score: 3)

Smith has the size and strength that you like to see from an NFL tight end. He’s pretty athletic for a guy his size but that can be a blessing and a curse. Smith often relies on his athleticism far too often in the passing game and that will not win him battles at the NFL level. Defenders will be just as athletic if not more so he will need to develop his other tools in order to be a presence.

Conclusion: 3rd round target

I don’t expect Smith to have a substantial enough rookie season to warrant spending a high pick on. I would like to point out that if he ended up on a team like the Rams then that could possibly change but right now, I don’t see a heavy contributor in year 1. If you deem him not worthy enough for a draft pick then I wouldn’t blame you but he’s an interesting late round flyer at a position that was bare bones in 2018. He could be worth the late round flyer.

Dwayne Haskins: 3 Star Fantasy Football Prospect

Welcome to the 48 Report, a full working database including 48 of our favorite 2019 Draft Prospects. The key, however, is that we focus specifically on their ability to translate as fantasy football players. All players in the database have been/will be scored by 3 writers, and this is their article; explaining their aggregate score, as well as the score of their writer.

All categories are scored on a 1-5 scale; with 5 being the highest score a prospect can receive. The highest aggregate average scores a player can receive is 25. Articles will be posted January-April, all the way up to the draft. Ratings will be adjusted after the combine, based on measurables and after the draft, because as we all know: landing spot matters.

Dwayne Haskins (6’2”, 215) Quarterback, Ohio State.

14.6 Aggregate Score (3 Star Prospect)

Justin Herbert has officially decided to return for his senior season with the Oregon Ducks; putting Dwayne Haskins out of Ohio State the clear front runner to be the top quarterback drafted in 2019. Haskins, like Herbert, does still have NCAA eligibility (he’s currently a redshirt sophomore), however, he is not expected to turn down the opportunity to be a top 10 draft pick in a weak quarterback class.

Haskins was a 4-star college prospect out of Potomac Maryland; he threw for 3,974 passing yards and 45 touchdowns during his high school career at the Bullis School. Originally, Haskins was committed to Maryland-choosing to stay close to home before switching his commitment to play for the Buckeyes. He redshirted his freshmen year, learning behind J.T. Barrett and Cardale Jones. That year (2016) Ohio State took a hard loss (31-0) to Clemson in the College Football Playoff.

Haskins was worked into the offense in his redshirt freshmen year (2017), even though it was still Barrett’s team. Haskins saw the field for roughly a dozen snaps in every game, totaling 565 yards, 4 passing touchdowns, and just 1 interception while going 40-57 (70.2%). Haskins did start vs the University of Nevada-Las Vegas (UNLV); going 15-23 (65.2%) for 228 yards, 2 touchdowns, and 1 interception.

Impressive College Production

When you look at the box scores, Haskins jumps off the screen as a tempting 2nd round fantasy pick for 2019; with first round potential in superflex formats. He finished 2018 (his redshirt sophomore season) with 4,580 passing yards-the most in the NCAA; with 103 more than Gardner Minshew, who finished with the second most passing yards. Haskins finished with 716 more yards than Will Grier, who played in the Big 12, 875 more passing yards than Brett Rypien out of Boise State, and 1,455 more yards than Drew Locke put up in his senior year at Mizzou. He finished with the 35th most passing yards in a single season in NCAA history-47 less yards than the 2017 passing leader Baker Mayfield and 13 less yards than the 2016 passing leader Deshaun Watson.

Haskins, however, is purely a passer: he rushed the ball 73 times for just 122 yards (1.7 yards/carry). in 2018. In comparison, Deshaun Watson ran 165 times for 629 yards and 9 touchdowns in 2016, when he also led the nation in passing. In 2017, Mayfield ran the ball 97 times for 311 yards.

Still, his passing is impressive. He completed 348-496 attempts in 2018, completing 70.2% of his passes-oddly the same exact completion percentage as his limited 2017 work. That completion rate puts his 6th in 2018, just 0.7% lower than national leader Kyler Murray. Haskins finished with a nation leading 47 touchdowns in 2018, 7 more touchdowns than Kyler Murray, 10 more than Grier, and 22 more than Drew Locke. Haskins only threw for 8 interceptions in 2018, with just 1 multiple interception game, and 6 games where he threw 0 interceptions.

Arm Strength: Aggregate Score: 4.3 (Personal Score: 4)

Across the board we agree, Haskin’s arm strength is his best feature. He has the ability to huck the rock down field. Better yet, Haskins isn’t afraid to throw the ball deep-he does so often and makes it seem effortless. That’s exciting for me and makes me see his fantasy upside as a solid QB1, like Matthew Stafford, or Phillip Rivers. Haskins also throws a hard ball-zipping in into the hands of his receivers in space, allowing them to maintain separation from linebackers in the short and mid field passing game. If you’re a Haskins fan, cling onto his arm strength-it’ll be your best argument.

Accuracy: Aggregate Score: 2.3 (Personal Score: 3)

My personal score of “3” for Haskins was his highest accuracy score. I think he throws a tight spiral and his arm strength helps him fit the ball into tight spaces. I consistently saw this help him tear apart Big 10 defenses in the short and mid-field passing game. When it comes to the deep ball, however, his accuracy drops off sharply. I mentioned earlier, I love that he’s unafraid to throw it down the field, but he consistently overthrows wide-open receivers. This is something much less forgivable at the NFL level. Haskins also has a tendency to throw the ball behind his receivers. It’s clear that he has benefitted from the talented playmakers surrounding him, which makes his fantasy stock leading up to the NFL Draft very volatile.

Decision Making: Aggregate Score: 2.6 (Personal Score: 2.6)

Ohio State’s 2018 offense featured a lot of read action and quick slants, something that played well into Haskins’ game. What became apparent while reviewing tape, though, is that once the play extended past the 5 seconds required to fire off a quick slant or hand the ball off, things got tough for Haskins. He struggled to find 2nd and 3rd receiving options, and often times reacted late to blitzes. Consistently, I found that Haskins thrived when under light pressure, but flailed once defenses brought 5 or more defenders. Haskins is often deemed “raw” by NFL Draft analysts, and his decision-making skills may be the best example of that rawness.

Athleticism: Aggregate Score: 1.3 (Personal Score: 2)

If you know me, you know I love myself a mobile quarterback; which makes it ironic that I was the only one to score Haskins higher than 1 (the lowest score allowed in our system). Haskins rarely scrambled outside of the pocket, even when it was collapsing around him. When he did get outside of the pocket, he had little burst, ability to make defenders miss, or get to the edge. Haskins also has an ugly slide, that came late multiple times and could lead to some tough hits from NFL defenders. Haskins, however, did keep the ball 24 times in 2018, and often managed to scrap out 2-5 yards when he did; giving his future offense some ability to be creative in play calling-which is what got him a slightly higher score from me.

Mechanics: Aggregate Score: 4 (Personal Score: 4)

Haskins has a solid foundation as a pocket passer. I mentioned earlier I love the velocity that comes off his ball-stemming from a solid and quick release. Although he doesn’t move out of the pocket much, he is light on his feet inside of it. Haskins also sets his feet consistently, throwing with good balance on almost all of his throws. Haskins also controls his body well when throwing on the run.

Conclusion: Third Round Target

I mentioned earlier that his college stats suggested he could be a first round superflex, or 2nd round draft pick in 1 QB formats. When it comes to his tape review, though, this get less exciting. Haskins is our first quarterback with a finished rating, but given his aggregate score he’s almost certainly not going to be our top rated QB, and may slip out of the top 3-jeopardizing his translation as a player who could be drafted within the first 24 picks of your 2019 fantasy football drafts. That makes me feel like he’s safely in round 3 (mid or late) territory, unless his landing spot and combine jump his score up (very possible). For now, though, I’m pumping the breaks on this highly touted, but highly raw talent.

Week 16 RB/TE Start ’em Sit ’em

Here we are, folks! The dream we all dream of. This is our Super Bowl! It all comes down to some good old fashioned trash talk and 16 football games to decide whether or not you’ll be lifting that trophy.

How do you like the new digs? The Fantasy Fanalysts are here to help. Bring on the championship week AND look forward to the off season in preparation for 2019! Don’t forget to use the promo code TOP2 if you sign up for DRAFT! I dipped my toes in for the first time a few weeks back and I have been having a lot of fun!

Let’s talk some RB/TE Starts and Sits!

Running Back: Start ’em

CHRIS CARSON (SEATTLE SEAHAWKS)

Chris Carson has been THE MAN in Seattle. In the last five games, he has averaged a total of 98.4 yards and has scored a touchdown in four out of those five games! Granted, the yards average is slightly skewed by last week’s matchup against the 49ers. In every other week, he was a solid RB2. But, that’s exactly what you want from a guy that you either drafted late OR picked up on waivers!

Now, we have arrived at week 16 and the Seahawks are at home against the Kansas City Chiefs. On the season, the Chiefs are the worst defense against fantasy running backs. 173 yards and 1.3 touchdowns per game! Sometimes, recent weeks might tell a different story. Recent weeks only enforces the trend! Even teams that struggle at RB or were beset with injuries looked wonderful against the Chiefs run defense.

Chris Carson for the win!

KALEN BALLAGE (MIAMI DOLPHINS)

I understand. If you take away the 75 yard touchdown run in week 15, Kalen Ballage stat line would be 11 for 48. Mediocre at best.

I also understand that this is the Championship Week! Are you really going to trust your championship to a relative unknown? Probably not. Let’s be honest, though. You didn’t make it to the championship game having a need at Running Back. This pick is for those redrafters who are still paying attention to their leagues and want to win their consolation matchup. It’s also for the dynasty leagues where Ballage was dropped in week 3 when it was clear that he wasn’t going to be a part of the offense. Go pick up Kalen Ballage!

The Dolphins are at home against the Jacksonville Jaguars. The last time the Jaguars played an away game, they allowed 1 person to run for 238 yards and score 4 touchdowns. The Jaguars DO NOT CARE when they aren’t at home. This is a glory start and it’s going to feel SO good when you win your matchup because of Kalen Ballage.

Running Back: Sit ’em

JAYLEN SAMUELS (PITTSBURGH STEELERS)

If you’re in a Yahoo league and can start Samuels in your Tight End slot, you should ABSOLUTELY start him. He will be far better than 80% of ALL other tight ends.

Otherwise, stay away. The New Orleans Saints defense has been amazing lately. They have allowed 12 points per game TOTAL in the last 5 weeks. TWELVE POINTS PER GAME!!!! That’s not to the Running Back position. That’s to the entire opposing team!

Here are some scary numbers:

  • Tevin Coleman in week 12 – 8 rushes for 6 yards
  • Peyton Barber in week 13 – 14 rushes for 42 yards
  • Christian McCaffrey in week 15 – 15 rushes for 53 yards. Yes, he still had a good game playing quarterback for a snap and PPR leagues were beneficial.

If you are in a bind, Jaylen Samuels might get you 9 or 10 points. He definitely has a solid floor because Pittsburgh likes to use one running back. But this matchup is the scariest of the week, without a doubt.

ADRIAN PETERSON (WASHINGTON REDSKINS)

75% ineffective in the last 4 games. He was saved by the 90+ yard touchdown run in week 13, otherwise he’d be 100% ineffective. He’s tired and likely isn’t risking severe injury in a losing battle.

This week, the Redskins are playing an away game against the Tennessee Titans. The Redskins could really use a new QB! They might be looking towards a better draft position. I see very little chance of a positive outcome for the Redskins and, in particular, Adrian Peterson. Leave him on your bench OR just drop him all together since he won’t clear fantasy waivers until after his game starts.

Sidebar: Alex Smith’s contract had $71 million in guarantees. Derrius Guice’s infection sounds terrifying. Sorry, Washington. You might be at the bottom of the standings for a few more years.

Tight End: Start ’em

JARED COOK (OAKLAND RAIDERS)

The Raiders actually try when they play on their home field. In addition, they have a winnable matchup against the Denver Broncos. Yes, Denver is favored to win. This IS the Oakland Raiders that we’re talking about.

But, Denver was recently decimated by the Tight End position in week 14 when George Kittle caught 7 passes for 210 yards and scored 3 touchdowns. No, I’m not suggesting that Jared Cook will even sniff those stats. But between his usage and the positive matchup, we’re in the realm of 5 for 60 and a touchdown. Even 5 for 60 WITHOUT the touchdown will be a TE1 day in this wacky position. He’s a good player to have in your lineup this week.

BLAKE JARWIN (DALLAS COWBOYS)

Blake Jarwin is all alone. Geoff Swaim has already been declared out after missing the last 4 games with injury.

If you haven’t noticed, I’m a big fan of home games. Dallas is playing at home. Icing on the cake, they’re playing the Buccaneers. I will listen to the argument that the Bucs defense has improved since firing their Defensive Coordinator a few weeks ago. Indeed, in the last four weeks, the best Tight End performance against the Bucs was George Kittle in week 14 (6 for 48). The Cowboys are in a fight for their playoff seeding. After taking that brutal defeat at the hands of the Colts last week, they will be coming home with the desire to prove themselves in front of their home crowd. And while there is a new DC in Tampa, it’s the same players. They were beaten before, they can be beaten again.

Blake Jarwin will have a decent game.

Tight End: Sit ’em

VANCE MCDONALD (PITTSBURGH STEELERS)

Above, I wrote about the scary New Orleans Saints in the section about Jaylen Samuels. Copy and Paste here. I would imagine that either Antonio Brown or Juju Smith-Schuster will have a decent game. Jaylen Samuels will likely land in RB3 territory. I just don’t have a lot of hope for a high point total. I really hope that, like most fantasy championship matchups that I’ve seen, your Tight End position is filled with Travis Kelce, Zach Ertz, or George Kittle.

For those sitting in the consolation bracket, you might have McDonald on your squad. You can cross your fingers for a lucky touchdown OR you can look elsewhere for a Tight End.

Good luck to each of you in week 16! GO GET THAT CHAMPIONSHIP TROPHY! Get those bragging rights. Win your consolation bracket. I truly hope you wake up on the 25th with a special gift of a Fantasy Football Victory!

Week 16 QB Streaming Options

Last Week’s Results: Lamar Jackson doesn’t seem like he had a great game when you look at this total fantasy points of 18.74, but week 15 was a weird week with a lot of disappointments and he actually finished as the 10th QB on the week. He ended up being a good play even though he didn’t break 20 fantasy points on the week.

Championship week is here. It is crazy to think the fantasy season is coming to end. The season has flown by, but here we are. If you were lucky enough to survive the crazy fantasy week that was week 15, it is time to go for the title. These streamers don’t only apply to people playing for the championship, if you have consolation bracket prize or a prize for 3rd place these can help you as well.

Main Streaming Option: Josh Allen

Josh Allen did not produce on the ground at the same level has he had in previous weeks, but he still ran for a TD against Detroit. I am not concerned about the low rushing total because the Lions actually give up the least rushing yards to QBs this year. The Patriots give up the 10th most yards to QBs so Allen should produce on the ground again this week. The productions on the ground for Allen is real, he is 2nd amongst all QBs in rushing yards and leads all QBs with 6 rushing TDs. Allen still has not shown he is good at throwing the ball, but for fantasy that isn’t important. Rushing yards are still more valuable than passing yards. The Patriots have one of the best CBs in the league this year, but it is not like there is a WR on Buffalo he needs to shut down. If it forces Allen to run more that is good, since he is better at running than passing.

Alternate 1: Sam Darnold

Darnold looked good against Houston, he was getting the ball to Robbie Anderson more which is nice to see. He kept the Jets competitive against Houston who is playing for a bye and this week he faces Green Bay that literally has nothing to play for. The Jets are playing at home in a game with a decent over/under of 47. The Packers are favored, but I honestly like the Jets in this game. They pushed Houston and I think they are going to win this week. If they win that means Darnold is going to have to produce. Since coming back from his injury he has completed just fewer than 65% of his passes and has 3 TDs to 1 INT. It is small sample size, but Darnold is again showing the potential that got him drafted at 3 overall. Darnold will be looking to finish the season on a high note and it is the best time for the Jets to open it up and see what he can do at this point.

Alternate 2: Lamar Jackson

I did not intend to make this an all-rookie edition, but the value Jackson has rushing the ball is too hard to ignore. There aren’t a lot of options available in over 50% of leagues I will feel comfortable starting. I mentioned Josh Allen’s rushing earlier; Jackson is the QB that has more rushing yards than him. He leads all QBs in rushing yards, over the last 5 games his lowest rushing total was 67 yards. We saw Jackson be successful in a game against the Chiefs a few weeks ago, so I expect him to be able to produce as the Ravens go to play the Chargers. It is a game they are expected to win against a powerful offense and they need Jackson to perform to stay in the game.

Those are the available QBs I like for championship week. Some people may not like to stream such an important game, but you might not have a choice. Maybe you had Cam Newton or you are scared to put Jared Goff back out there. Good luck to everyone going for a title this week. Hopefully my streaming advice helped you get there this season.

WEEK 16 DRAFTKINGS/FANDUEL SELECTIONS

QUARTERBACK

Baker Mayfield: vs CIN (DK 6100; FD 7700)

Winning.  Direction.  Hope.  These are all words that haven’t been associated with the Cleveland Browns organization in years while the Cincinnati Bengals are heading in the opposite direction of their interstate rivals.  No team allows more fantasy points to quarterbacks than the Bengals and one that Baker Mayfield enjoyed success against in week 12, throwing for four touchdowns.  Cincinnati gave soon-to-be fired Marvin Lewis one last hurrah in front of the home crowd and now winds down the season on the road and may lack motivation in the final two weeks.  Look for Baker to pierce through a porous, uninspired defense in Cleveland’s home finale to begin putting the finishing touches on its most successful season since 2014.

Dak Prescott: vs TB (DK 5700; FD 7300)

Dak Prescott has been lights out in home games since Cooper became a Cowboy, possessing a +7.89 DK point differential at AT&T Stadium and squares off against a Buccaneers defense that surrenders 37 points per road game.  The DFS community may overlook Dak after his dismal week 15 showing which would be foolish considering Dak has eight touchdown passes at home compared to just one on the road since the trade while the Bucs have allowed multiple touchdown passes in all but one road game.  His ability to scramble goes unnoticed at times but one he can utilize as needed as he’s found paydirt five times with his legs.

Nick Foles: vs HOU (DK 4700; FD 6000)

Rostering Nick Foles is like flipping a coin; will he be the quarterback that scorched the Vikings and Patriots en route to a Super Bowl title or will he be the version that struggled immensely against the Raiders on Christmas night and the Falcons in the divisional round?  He will be forced to throw as the Texans defense allows just 66.35 rushing yards per game but has surrendered the 8th most FPA to tight ends this season and the most FPA to perimeter receivers over the last four weeks.  There’s value to be found at other positions this week where you don’t need to necessarily pay down at quarterback.  If your roster construction involves jamming in two expensive backs or inserting as many high-priced options as possible, Foles allows for that strategy in a game where Philadelphia’s success on offense will be predicated on the MVP of Super Bowl 52.

RUNNING BACK

 

Ezekiel Elliott: vs TB (DK 9000; FD 8800)

The last time he didn’t touch the ball at least 25 times was back in week 9 and both DraftKings and FanDuel neglected to raise his salary heading into this juicy matchup.  Ezekiel Elliott has reached 100 scrimmage yards in every game since week 7 and it’s all but a guarantee he will shred a Buccaneers defense en route to another 100 as the last feature back that didn’t reach that mark against Tampa Bay was Nick Chubb back in week 7.  Zeke’s weekly reliability comes at a hefty cost but it’s a cost worth paying up for as he’s returned value in five of the last seven games.

Nick Chubb: vs CIN (DK 7300; FD 7900)

The Bengals have appeared competent against opposing running backs the last two weeks.  Against Nick Chubb, they will revert back to the turnstiles that allowed 100+ rushing yards in seven of the prior eight games.  Running backs against the Bengals have found the end zone with as much ease as Chubb has in the last month, averaging a touchdown per game in his last four.  As 8.5-point favorites (yes, the Browns are favored by more than a touchdown), look for Chubb to have plenty of opportunities to shred this Bengals defense that has been victim to the position throughout 2018.

Marlon Mack: vs NYG (DK 5500; FD 7000)

From a motivational standpoint, the Giants head into Indianapolis with nothing to play for while the Colts need a win to set up a possible showdown with the Titans for the final AFC Wild Card.  Enemy running backs have run for over 100+ rushing yards in six of the last seven against the G-Men and this is a game where Marlon Mack can once again take over as he did against the Cowboys the week before.  The loss of Damon Harrison to the Lions has really taken its toll on a Giants rushing defense that has struggled since the trade and in a game where the Colts are 9-point favorite, Mack will have plenty of touches to manufacture another solid performance.

Jamaal Williams: at NYJ (DK 5400; FD 5800)

At the time of this writing, Jamaal Williams and the recently signed Kapri Bibbs are the only two running backs on the active roster with Williams being the only one familiar with the playbook.  Essentially, you’re getting a running set to play a minimum of 80% of the snaps on a Packers team that is clearly trying to win this game as Aaron Rodgers is expected to suit up in the Meadowlands.  In an offense that is expected to perform much better now that Green Bay doesn’t have to battle with a vaunted Bears defense, this is essentially a free square in a game that the Packers should win for their first road victory of the season.  Williams totaled 97 scrimmage yards and a touchdown on 16 touches in that game at Soldier Field and should see between 18-20 touches this week at a bargain on both sites.

WIDE RECEIVER

DeAndre Hopkins: at PHI (DK 8600; FD 8900)

14.05 yards per reception, the highest target share on the team, the most red zone targets, and a floor of 12 DK points this season; DeAndre Hopkins meets all of the desirable criteria you’d want against an Eagles secondary that is decimated by injuries and can be exploited on the perimeter.  He’s excelled in road games as 7 of his 11 touchdowns and four of his five 100 receiving yard performances have been in hostile territory and it bodes well for Hopkins to continue his road dominance at Lincoln Financial Field.  He’s the second and most expensive option on DraftKings and FanDuel respectively and has a great chance to go off again as he did against the Jets last week.

Amari Cooper: vs TB (DK 7500; FD 7000)

Regression was all but inevitable for Amari Cooper after he destroyed the Eagles in epic fashion.  Like Dak, a good majority of the DFS community will remain sour on Cooper after a disappointing showing in Indianapolis and that’s a scenario to consider rostering him against a Tampa Bay defense that has been killed by wide receivers outside of Raymond James Stadium.  Cooper boasts a +2.17 target differential in games at AT&T Stadium since the trade from Oakland and should feast on a Bucs defense that surrenders a +8.34 FPPG differential in PPR scoring to wide receivers in road games.

Alshon Jeffery: vs HOU (DK 5300; FD 6300)

It lacks logic as to why it may be the case but Alshon Jeffery benefits by having Nick Foles as the starter instead of Carson Wentz.  In 24 games with Wentz under center, Alshon has just one game over 100 receiving yards vs one game over 100 yards in seven Foles starts.  Also, he has a +2.12 FPPG differential in PPR scoring with Foles as the starter, not including the throwaway game in week 17 last year.  These two figures along with a salary that was never adjusted after an excellent performance on Sunday Night Football put him on the DFS radar against a Houston secondary that surrenders the 7th most FPA to perimeter receivers, including the most in the last four weeks.  Given Houston’s proficiency at stopping the run, Foles may be forced to throw more than the 31 passes he tossed against the Rams and Alshon should be the beneficiary of additional targets in a game the Eagles need to win to stay in wild card contention.

Robby Anderson: vs GB (DK 4500; FD 5900)

He leads the team in targets since Sam Darnold returned to action in week 14 and with Quincy Enunwa missing another game against the Packers this weekend, look for Robby Anderson to once again be an integral part of the offense in a favorable matchup.  Anderson will duel with Josh Jackson and Javier Alexander, cornerbacks that are part of a Green Bay secondary that has been hurt by perimeter receivers over the last two months, giving up the 3rd most FPA to receivers on the outside.  It looks like he has recovered from the high-ankle sprain that bothered him earlier in the year and he has another good opportunity to close out 2018 on a good note.

TIGHT END

Eric Ebron: vs NYG (DK 5700; FD 6100)

In two games against Zach Ertz and one game against George Kittle, the Giants surrendered 23 catches for 217 yards and two touchdowns, an average of 15.06 FD/18.9 DK points per game.  The Giants are not as horrid as they were to the position last year but have been burned by the top-tier of tight ends in 2018 and Eric Ebron is in that tier, especially when Andrew Luck throws to the tight end at the fourth-highest rate in the league.  Lower ownership will come into play after a one catch, eight yard performance against the Cowboys and given he hasn’t posted back-to-back single-digit DK point games all season, it correlates well for Ebron to rebound from last week’s clunker.  

Evan Engram: at IND (DK 4600; FD 5700)

On the other side of the ball, Evan Engram has benefitted from Odell Beckham’s absence as he’s seen a +3.79 target differential and +39.29 receiving yard differential in those two games.  Indianapolis has allowed just the 9th most FPA to tight ends largely in part because the defense keeps them out of the end zone.  However, the Colts have allowed the 2nd most receptions and most receiving yards to the position and if ODB misses his third straight game, fire up Engram with confidence as the Giants should be playing from behind as 9-point underdogs.

David Njoku: vs CIN (DK 3800; FD 5300)

Paying up for tight end didn’t prove effective in week 15 on the main slate as neither Kittle, Ebron, Gronk, nor Cook eclipsed double-digit fantasy points.  David Njoku is a nice pivot in a good matchup for those unwilling to pay up again at the tight end position.  He’s seeing a floor of four targets in five of the last six games and faces a Bengals team that has given up eight touchdowns to the position.  He crossed the pylons against them in week 12 and if he’s able to do so again this week, Njoku will certainly be on his way to easily returning value.

DEFENSE

Los Angeles Rams: at ARI (DK 3200; FD 4900)

The Cardinals allowed seven sacks, three turnovers, and a defensive score to the Falcons last week and now get to deal with Aaron Donald on Sunday.  The offense has been held to under 20 points in 11 of 14 games and after this date with the Rams, it will become 12 of 15.

Miami: vs JAX (DK 2700; FD 4400)

Take away the Dede Westbrook punt return for a touchdown and the Jaguars have averaged eight points with Cody Kessler as the starter.  Not to mention allowing five sacks and 1.5 turnovers per game in that two-game span.

New Orleans: vs PIT (DK 2300; FD 3500)

Contrary to popular belief, the Steelers have been sluggish offensively, scoring 21 or less in four of the last five games with Big Ben throwing 1.5 interceptions in his last four games.  Meanwhile, the Saints have forced multiple turnovers and kept opponents under 17 points in five of their last six games.

PRICE SHOPPING

Each week, I will identify what players are bargains based on the salary cap percentage difference they represent on the respective site.  Here are the notable week 16 bargains from both sites:

NOTABLE DRAFTKINGS BARGAINS

QB Matt Ryan: 1.96

WR Chris Hogan: 2.23

TE Dallas Goedert: 3.3

TE Kyle Rudolph: 2.36

DEF Jacksonville: 2.6

NOTABLE FANDUEL BARGAINS

RB Ezekiel Elliott: 3.34

RB Jaylen Samuels: 2.24

WR Amari Cooper: 3.34

Redraft Waiver Wire Targets: Championship Week

If you’re reading this, you’ve won, again! You’re on your way to the ship! For a lot of you, this is the end of it all. One last push for the belt, trophy, CASH or bragging rights. This could also solidify people in consolation rounds trying to win 3rd place (my work league 3rd and 4th get payouts). Either way, this is our second to last week before the fantasy season is over. Make it count!

Due to our scheduled releases, this will be completed before the Monday night games as well as before I’ve had time to digest every game in depth. So with that being said,  stay tuned to my tweets for more gems later on in the week and Follow THE Fantasy Vigilante HERE!

Quarterbacks:

I’m sticking with my thought process of not leaving your chances of winning in the hands of what’s left out there. So again, here’s the only one I trust:

Josh Allen

ESPN OWN %: 31.4

YAHOO OWN%: 23

His running backs are made of glass and he looks good running the ball. He’s becoming a threat to both run for high yardage and throw for enough to be beneficial. He and Robert Foster having been finding a great connection and it’s been great for his long ball. The Pats aren’t doing much to stop anybody these days and mobile QBs like Mitch Trubisky gave them heck in week 7. Even still, QBs are coming in and throwing for 250+ and a couple of TDs which is at least a good floor ceiling for him and production.

Wide Receivers:

Dante Pettis

ESPN OWN %: 37.2

YAHOO OWN%: 52

He’s going to get volume, we know this. The bears have been allowing the yardage to receivers but not the TDs. He’s a flex at best in this matchup with the Bears more than likely putting lots of pressure on Mullens.

Robert Foster

ESPN OWN %: 3.3

YAHOO OWN%: 14

It didn’t make me feel good last week but I advised you all to go after him anyway. Well it seemed to pan out for those who took the plunge and I don’t think it’s going to stop this week against the Pats. I can’t recommend Josh Allen and not talk up his favorite weapon.

DaeSean Hamilton

ESPN OWN %: 24.1

YAHOO OWN%: 22

He faces a easy secondary and he’s been being loved by Keenum who typically favors the slot guy. Think of Hamilton as Theilen and Sutton as Diggs. Another helpful play here for those who need it although, the floor is lower than one would like because of the amount that Keenum actually throws (197.7 yards and 1 TD per game avg).

Robby Anderson

ESPN OWN %: 18

YAHOO OWN%: 27

He will probably be one of the hotter pickups this week as he and Darnold are finding the same kind of Chemistry that Allen and Foster have found. With him being a deep threat, that always means he has a high probability of getting big gains and TDs relatively quickly, so the receptions may not be there but production will be. Treat him as a WR3 with WR1 as his upside, typically what you’d expect from a boom bust player.

Running Backs:

Latavius Murray

ESPN OWN %: 40.5

YAHOO OWN%: 49

Looking back at his history, Murray generally has a decent game if he manages to eke out 15 carries. As long as he can get that against Detroit, he’ll be a fine RB2 play. Less available but may still be out there.

Elijah McGuire

ESPN OWN %: 33.4

YAHOO OWN%: 33

The packers are better at defending the pass than they are with the run which makes this a good spot for anyone able to get a hold of him. Averaging about 15 ppr points since Crowell went down, Elijah is looking like a fine play for week 16.

Kenneth Dixon

ESPN OWN %: 11.4

YAHOO OWN%: 27

Still widely available, Kenneth is worth the pickup purely based on the fact that the Ravens are running SO much. Add the fact that the Chargers just allowed Damien Williams and Darrel Williams to have very good games bodes well for Dixon, Gus and Lamar.

Tight End:

C.J. Uzomah

ESPN OWN %: 30.9

YAHOO OWN%: 29

With Boyd now out for the duration, he should see extra looks. The other receiving options outside of Mixon, Ross and Bernard are gross so I’ll stick to what I said last week:

He’s averaging 3 receptions a game which is a good baseline for your tight end in this wasteland. If he’s available, he should be on your roster because he’s alive and gets looks every game. Not really much going out there for the tight end position.”

You set yourself up in the draft, you win through waivers! Check the transaction wire and go get your #waiverxmas on and come home with a #Top2TypeVictory!