It’s Miller Time! Why Anthony Miller is Worth Your First Round Pick

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Since being drafted in the 2nd round of the 2018 NFL Draft by the Chicago Bears, Anthony Miller has showed a ton of promise.  Miller has shown that he can create separation, play both outside and in the slot and can be a viable RedZone threat.  His versatility and confidence has led to some early production and faith from the coaching staff and fellow players. 

I believe that as he continues to grow and gain chemistry with Mitchell Trubisky, Miller will surpass Taylor Gabriel and Allen Robinson to become the WR 1 in Chicago.  If you haven’t already, go buy Anthony Miller either before your leagues trade deadline or at the beginning of the fantasy offseason. 

The Price is Right

            One reason to go out and get Anthony Miller is because of his current price in dynasty.  According to Dynasty League Football’s November ADP, Miller is being drafted as the WR 44, behind guys like Devin Funchess, John Brown and Marquez Valdes-Scantling.  When you look at the ADP, Miller is one of the few guys being drafted later than WR 35 that has the upside to drastically move up in value.  

I think that Miller has a realistic shot of being a top 20 dynasty WR by this time next season. With Miller’s development and increased role in Chicago, I would definitely want the upside of Miller over those three guys I previously mentioned.  

Based on his current ADP, it would probably take a late 2019 1st round rookie pick to acquire Miller.  With the perceived strength of this draft being the first 7 or 8 picks, with not a ton of depth, it would be worth it to pair a late 1st and a small piece to trade for Miller.

He’s Earned Nagy & Trubisky’s Trust-You’re Next

            One of the main reasons to be optimistic about Anthony Miller is his increased role in the Chicago offense.  When looking at the season as a whole, Miller has a snap percentage of 63.7%.  But when you look at his snap percentage from Week 6 on, it jumps to 73%.  Miller has the skill and versatility to be on the field in any situation, regardless of down and distance or area of the field. As Miller continues to develop physically and mentally, it’s going to be difficult for Head Coach Matt Nagy to take Miller off the field.

            Along with seeing an increase in his snap percentage, Miller is becoming one of Mitchell Trubisky’s favorite targets. Since Week 3, there is only one game where Miller failed to have at least 5 targets or score a touchdown.  That was this past week against Detroit, when Chase Daniel was the starting QB.  When watching the Chicago Bears, it is clear that Mitchell Trubisky is gaining chemistry with Anthony Miller.  This chemistry has even carried over to the red zone, where the 5’11 WR has 4 catches and 2 TDs from inside 20 yards in the past 4 games. 

A Nagy Offense is Worth Investing In

            This past off-season, the Chicago Bears made a huge effort to improve their offense.  In 2017, Chicago’s offense had 267 first downs, averaged 4.9 yards per play, had 26 offensive touchdowns and had an average time of possession of 28:57.  Now returning to 2018, through only 11 games, Chicago’s offense has 235 first downs, averaging 5.6 yards per play, has 32 offensive touchdowns and has an average time of possession of 31:17.  

The improvements this team has made is incredible.  And this is in their first year under new Head Coach Matt Nagy.  If we are already seeing this type of improvement in Year 1, imagine what we can expect to see in the coming seasons.  This offense is young and exciting. As Mitchell Trubisky continues to grow and improve, this offense has potential to a be a top 8 unit in the NFL.  As that happens, Miller will see more snaps and red zone opportunities, which translate to fantasy production. 

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Published by

Mike Colaianne

Mike is a recent college graduate, now teaching Physical Education in the Chicagoland area. Growing up as a die-hard Chicago sports fan (except the Cubs), he has always had a passion for sports. As a P.E. teacher with way too much time on his hands, Mike quickly started to gain a new passion, fantasy football. When not teaching, he can be found either coaching lacrosse or watching his Chicago sports teams. Find him on twitter @theFF_MikeC

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