Sun. Nov 17th, 2019

The Fantasy Fanalysts

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Dwayne Haskins: 3 Star Fantasy Football Prospect

6 min read

Welcome to the 48 Report, a full working database including 48 of our favorite 2019 Draft Prospects. The key, however, is that we focus specifically on their ability to translate as fantasy football players. All players in the database have been/will be scored by 3 writers, and this is their article; explaining their aggregate score, as well as the score of their writer.

All categories are scored on a 1-5 scale; with 5 being the highest score a prospect can receive. The highest aggregate average scores a player can receive is 25. Articles will be posted January-April, all the way up to the draft. Ratings will be adjusted after the combine, based on measurables and after the draft, because as we all know: landing spot matters.

Dwayne Haskins (6’2”, 215) Quarterback, Ohio State.

14.6 Aggregate Score (3 Star Prospect)

Justin Herbert has officially decided to return for his senior season with the Oregon Ducks; putting Dwayne Haskins out of Ohio State the clear front runner to be the top quarterback drafted in 2019. Haskins, like Herbert, does still have NCAA eligibility (he’s currently a redshirt sophomore), however, he is not expected to turn down the opportunity to be a top 10 draft pick in a weak quarterback class.

Haskins was a 4-star college prospect out of Potomac Maryland; he threw for 3,974 passing yards and 45 touchdowns during his high school career at the Bullis School. Originally, Haskins was committed to Maryland-choosing to stay close to home before switching his commitment to play for the Buckeyes. He redshirted his freshmen year, learning behind J.T. Barrett and Cardale Jones. That year (2016) Ohio State took a hard loss (31-0) to Clemson in the College Football Playoff.

Haskins was worked into the offense in his redshirt freshmen year (2017), even though it was still Barrett’s team. Haskins saw the field for roughly a dozen snaps in every game, totaling 565 yards, 4 passing touchdowns, and just 1 interception while going 40-57 (70.2%). Haskins did start vs the University of Nevada-Las Vegas (UNLV); going 15-23 (65.2%) for 228 yards, 2 touchdowns, and 1 interception.

Impressive College Production

When you look at the box scores, Haskins jumps off the screen as a tempting 2nd round fantasy pick for 2019; with first round potential in superflex formats. He finished 2018 (his redshirt sophomore season) with 4,580 passing yards-the most in the NCAA; with 103 more than Gardner Minshew, who finished with the second most passing yards. Haskins finished with 716 more yards than Will Grier, who played in the Big 12, 875 more passing yards than Brett Rypien out of Boise State, and 1,455 more yards than Drew Locke put up in his senior year at Mizzou. He finished with the 35th most passing yards in a single season in NCAA history-47 less yards than the 2017 passing leader Baker Mayfield and 13 less yards than the 2016 passing leader Deshaun Watson.

Haskins, however, is purely a passer: he rushed the ball 73 times for just 122 yards (1.7 yards/carry). in 2018. In comparison, Deshaun Watson ran 165 times for 629 yards and 9 touchdowns in 2016, when he also led the nation in passing. In 2017, Mayfield ran the ball 97 times for 311 yards.

Still, his passing is impressive. He completed 348-496 attempts in 2018, completing 70.2% of his passes-oddly the same exact completion percentage as his limited 2017 work. That completion rate puts his 6th in 2018, just 0.7% lower than national leader Kyler Murray. Haskins finished with a nation leading 47 touchdowns in 2018, 7 more touchdowns than Kyler Murray, 10 more than Grier, and 22 more than Drew Locke. Haskins only threw for 8 interceptions in 2018, with just 1 multiple interception game, and 6 games where he threw 0 interceptions.

Arm Strength: Aggregate Score: 4.3 (Personal Score: 4)

Across the board we agree, Haskin’s arm strength is his best feature. He has the ability to huck the rock down field. Better yet, Haskins isn’t afraid to throw the ball deep-he does so often and makes it seem effortless. That’s exciting for me and makes me see his fantasy upside as a solid QB1, like Matthew Stafford, or Phillip Rivers. Haskins also throws a hard ball-zipping in into the hands of his receivers in space, allowing them to maintain separation from linebackers in the short and mid field passing game. If you’re a Haskins fan, cling onto his arm strength-it’ll be your best argument.

Accuracy: Aggregate Score: 2.3 (Personal Score: 3)

My personal score of “3” for Haskins was his highest accuracy score. I think he throws a tight spiral and his arm strength helps him fit the ball into tight spaces. I consistently saw this help him tear apart Big 10 defenses in the short and mid-field passing game. When it comes to the deep ball, however, his accuracy drops off sharply. I mentioned earlier, I love that he’s unafraid to throw it down the field, but he consistently overthrows wide-open receivers. This is something much less forgivable at the NFL level. Haskins also has a tendency to throw the ball behind his receivers. It’s clear that he has benefitted from the talented playmakers surrounding him, which makes his fantasy stock leading up to the NFL Draft very volatile.

Decision Making: Aggregate Score: 2.6 (Personal Score: 2.6)

Ohio State’s 2018 offense featured a lot of read action and quick slants, something that played well into Haskins’ game. What became apparent while reviewing tape, though, is that once the play extended past the 5 seconds required to fire off a quick slant or hand the ball off, things got tough for Haskins. He struggled to find 2nd and 3rd receiving options, and often times reacted late to blitzes. Consistently, I found that Haskins thrived when under light pressure, but flailed once defenses brought 5 or more defenders. Haskins is often deemed “raw” by NFL Draft analysts, and his decision-making skills may be the best example of that rawness.

Athleticism: Aggregate Score: 1.3 (Personal Score: 2)

If you know me, you know I love myself a mobile quarterback; which makes it ironic that I was the only one to score Haskins higher than 1 (the lowest score allowed in our system). Haskins rarely scrambled outside of the pocket, even when it was collapsing around him. When he did get outside of the pocket, he had little burst, ability to make defenders miss, or get to the edge. Haskins also has an ugly slide, that came late multiple times and could lead to some tough hits from NFL defenders. Haskins, however, did keep the ball 24 times in 2018, and often managed to scrap out 2-5 yards when he did; giving his future offense some ability to be creative in play calling-which is what got him a slightly higher score from me.

Mechanics: Aggregate Score: 4 (Personal Score: 4)

Haskins has a solid foundation as a pocket passer. I mentioned earlier I love the velocity that comes off his ball-stemming from a solid and quick release. Although he doesn’t move out of the pocket much, he is light on his feet inside of it. Haskins also sets his feet consistently, throwing with good balance on almost all of his throws. Haskins also controls his body well when throwing on the run.

Conclusion: Third Round Target

I mentioned earlier that his college stats suggested he could be a first round superflex, or 2nd round draft pick in 1 QB formats. When it comes to his tape review, though, this get less exciting. Haskins is our first quarterback with a finished rating, but given his aggregate score he’s almost certainly not going to be our top rated QB, and may slip out of the top 3-jeopardizing his translation as a player who could be drafted within the first 24 picks of your 2019 fantasy football drafts. That makes me feel like he’s safely in round 3 (mid or late) territory, unless his landing spot and combine jump his score up (very possible). For now, though, I’m pumping the breaks on this highly touted, but highly raw talent.

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