Drew Lock: The Argument for QB1

Drew Lock (6’4, 228), Quarterback, Missouri

Welcome to the 48 Report, a full database of 48 of our favorite 2019 Draft Prospects. The key, however, is that we focus specifically on their ability to translate as fantasy football players. All players in the database have been scored by 3 writers, and this is their article; explaining their aggregate score, as well as the score of their writer. All categories are scored on a 1-5 scale; with 5 being the highest score a prospect can receive. The highest aggregate average scores a player can receive is 25. Articles will be posted January-April, all the way up to the draft. Ratings will be adjusted after the combine, based on measurables and after the draft, because as we all know: landing spot matters.

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19.6 Aggregate Score (4 Star Prospect)

Lock is the top overall rated quarterback in our database at this point and he is my QB1. He was a 4-year starter at Missouri; throwing for over 3,000 career yards in his last 3 seasons. In those seasons, he has thrown 95 touchdowns to just 21 interceptions. An impressive feat in a conference known for it’s pro-ready defenders. There’s a lot to like about Lock; he’s well rounded, has a fiery confidence that perfectly walks the line of arrogance, and has proven production against the closest thing to NFL level defensive talent.

Arm Strength: Aggregate Score 4 (Personal Score 4)

Lock has good velocity on his throws. He weaves balls into tight windows in the short field. He also gets the ball downfield with ease. He consistently works the ball into the 3rd level of the field and his tape shows multiple drop-in-a-bucket passes to receivers as they burn downfield. Lock’s arm strength is 3rd best in the class to me; with just Tyree Jackson and Kyler Murray showing the ability to get the ball down the field further.

Accuracy: Aggregate Score 4 (Personal Score 4)

Lock is precise in the short and mid field passing game. He gets the ball into tight windows well and rarely puts his wideouts in a situation where they get hit by defenders. Instead, his receivers get hit in the chest and hands consistently. He reads the field well and beats double coverage by putting the ball in a position where only his receivers can get it. He leads receivers well, can pinpoint along the sideline, and consistently finishes off drives with well-placed touchdown passes.

Decision Making: Aggregate Score 4 (Personal Score 4)

Lock doesn’t throw the ball in dangerous spots. He reads the field very well and works through progression at a much higher level than I see with Haskins; often finding his 2nd or 3rd read on plays. He rarely takes sacks, despite facing constant pressure. Lock sets his feet consistently while throwing the ball, avoiding inaccurate passes on the run.

Athleticism: Aggregate Score 3.6 (Personal Score 3)

Lock’s athleticism doesn’t impress me; he’s certainly no Kyler Murray. Lock, however, also isn’t Haskins. His athleticism is solid; he can scramble but thinks to stay in the pocket first. He won’t burn defenders, but he has solid burst and can run north/south to avoid taking a hit. He showed the strength to stay up after taking a hit and finish the play forward but chooses to slide often. Lock may not thrill you with his athleticism, but it is good enough to allow him some creativity inside the pocket.

Mechanics: Aggregate Score 4 (Personal Score 4.3)

Lock has a good release, and solid throwing motion. He’s light when moving around the pocket, keeps his feet moving, and steps up and through the pocket when throwing deep. It leads to a pretty spiral on his passes and he sets his feet consistently. Lock, though, often throws off his back foot. More times than not, it comes from “phantom pressure”; Lock perceives a defender to be closing in on him while he actually has time to throw. He has some developing to do, but Lock is a moldable prospect.

Conclusion: No Rush to take the Top QB

Lock is my QB1, and clearly my fellow rankers agree with me. I expect, however, for Kyler Murray to go off the board before Lock in most fantasy football rookie drafts. I can live with hat, given Murray’s upside. What I can’t understand, however, is taking Haskins over Lock. Haskins is less accurate, has a tougher time reading the field, is less accurate, and less proven. Regardless of which one goes first, no QB should go earlier than the back end of the second round of fantasy football rookie drafts. I’m not leaping at any of them this year, but if Lock falls to me in the third round, I would not be able to resist.

Published by

Matt Hicks

Matt’s writing is focused on dynasty and devy fantasy football. He loves blending his experience writing research in the field of education with fantasy football stats. Matt currently lives in Baltimore, MD and graduated from Eastern Connecticut State University and the University of Tennessee, Knoxville. You can follow Matt on Twitter: @TheFF_Educator

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