Post-NFL Combine Fantasy Football Ranking for the 2019 Wide Receiver Class

This article is an update to my original 2019 NFL Draft wide receiver rankings. My rankings specifically focus on the prospect’s ability to contribute to fantasy football rosters.

If you have not already, I encourage you to read my first article-I will reference it multiple times throughout this article. For more on the fantasy football values of the 2019 Draft Class, check out the 48 Report: our 2019 Rookie Database

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For more on the fantasy football values of the 2019 Draft Class, check out the 48 Report: our 2019 Rookie Database

Tier 1

RankChangeWide Receiver CollegeHeightWeight
1+1N’Keal HarryArizona State6’4″213
2+2DK MetcalfOle Miss6’4″228
3-2Kelvin HarmonNC State6’2″221
4-1Hakeem ButlerIowa State6’6″225
5AJ BrownOle Miss6’1″225

These 5 wide receivers continue to separate themselves from the rest of the 2019 NFL Draft class. What is not the same, however, is how they compare to each other.

Kelvin Harmon, who was my WR1 pre-combine, takes a big slide to WR3 post-combine. Harmon’s size was impressive: he weighed into the 89th percentile and his height puts him in the 76th percentile. Everything else, though, was far from impressive. He failed to score above the 28th percentile in the 40 yard dash, vertical jump, broad jump, 3-cone drill, and 20 yard shuttle. The combine does not highlight the things that I love about Harmon’s tape, so I’m not willing to let him slide too far in my rankings-but I can’t ignore this poor performance.

DK Metcalf had a freakish combine performance. He placed in the 95th percentile in 40 yard dash (at 6’4″ 228), the 93rd percentile in the vertical jump, and 97th percentile in the broad jump, and 99th percentile in bench press. Metcalf is getting knocked, however, for poor 3-cone drill and 20 yard shuttle scores; both of which were in the 3rd percentile or lower. Metcalf continues to suggest he will be boom/bust, but in fantasy football he is a risk worth investing in right now.

N’Keal Harry had a solid combine performance, and rose as a result of Harmon’s poor combine. Harry continues to be the most well rounded prospect in this draft class, giving him a very attractive ceiling for fantasy football players. Hakeem Butler had a solid combine, but slid because it was not to the level of Metcalf’s.

AJ Brown remains a safe option with your 1.05 overall pick-he is flying under the radar and has the tape to suggest he could be one of the best values of this draft class.

Tier 2

RankChangeWide RecieverCollegeHeightWeight
6+2Parris CampbellOhio State6’1″208
7+2Deebo SamuelSouth Carolina6’0″210
8+3Emanuel HallMissouri6’3″195

This tier is small, but mighty. These 3 wide receivers have separated themselves and have built momentum over the course of the last month.

Campbell jumped up from 8 to 6 in my rankings post-combine because it became much clearer to me how fast he is. Campbell comes off athletic and quick on tape, but his 4.31 40-yard dash proves to me he a whole new level of fast. He also proved his agility-placing in the 90th percentile in the 20-yard shuttle. Campbell also placed in the 92nd percentile in the vertical jump and 98th percentile in the broad jump.

I’m kicking myself for ranking Hall 11th overall pre-combine. I loved his tape and felt he could be a great “Y” receiver, but I let his limited route tree and injury history hold me back. His combine, though, proves his speed and athleticism cannot be denied. Hall ran a 4.39 40 yard dash; placing in the 87th percentile. He also jumped in the 98th percentile in the vertical jump and the 99th percentile in the broad jump.

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Tier 3

RankChangeWide RecieverCollegeHeightWeight
9NR*Stanley MorganNebraska6’1″200
10-3Jalen HurdBaylor6’4″217
11NR*Dillon MitchellOregon6’2″189
12NR*Terry McLaurinOhio State6’1″205
13NR*Miles BoykinNotre Dame6’4″228
14+1JJ Arcega-WhitesideStanford6’3225

*NR=Not Ranked. These are players who did not have film reviews at the time of my pre-combine article.

This tier is primarily players who I had not done film reviews of pre-combine. Hurd slid as a result of their additions, and because he missed the combine with a minor injury. Arcega-Whiteside also did not test at the combine but gets a slight bump from additional film review on him.

Stanley Morgan is an exciting gadget player. He gets off the line of scrimmage with aggressive hands and accelerates downfield very quickly. He catches almost every ball thrown his way and wins positioning consistently over bigger defenders. He is elusive, shifty, and has great vision with the ball in his hand-he has big YAC upside and could make a dangerous “Y” or slot receiver for an NFL squad.

It is fitting that Dillon Mitchell is ranked next to Hurd, because he is my next draft crush. He is seriously fast downfield and gets off the line of scrimmage very quickly. He has a diverse route tree and makes defenders look silly when he dekes them with his hip and shoulder movements. He is very athletic and Oregon lined him up outside, as a big slot, and often utilized him on jet sweeps. He has inconsistent hands, specifically when it comes to contested pass situations, but is upside is very appealing.

McLaurin’s 4.35 40 yard dash (91st percentile) got him on the radar of a lot of fantasy football players. His tape does show that burning defenders on go-routes is routine for this buckeye. He has great footwork and makes Big 10 defenders regret playing press coverage on him. He’s a scrappy player but he looks and plays very small on tape-often getting lit up by defenders. His speed makes him appealing, but his role in the NFL may be limited to the slot.

Miles Boykin went from unmentioned to unforgettable in Indianapolis. Boykin measured into at least the 80th percentile in: height, weight, wingspan, arm length, and hand size. He ran a 4.42 40 yard dash (83rd percentile)-which is very impressive for his size. He also placed in the 98th percentile in vertical jump and 99th percentile in broad jump. He placed in the 86th percentile in the 20 yard shuttle. His tape shows an athletic player who consistently beats defensive backs off the line of scrimmage. He lines up all over the field and is lethal at both the 2nd and 3rd levels of the field. His versatility is sure to be appealing to NFL teams, and in the right landing spot Boykin may sky rocket up my rankings.

Tier 4

RankChangeWide RecieverCollegeHeightWeight
15-5Marquise BrownOklahoma5’10”168
16-4Riley RidleyGeorgia6’2200
17-3Andy IsabellaU Mass5’10”190
18-5Anthony JohnsonBuffalo6’2207
19-13Lil’ Jordan HumphreyTexas6’4″225

Tier 4 is a group of receivers that have all slid a decent amount since my first rankings.

Marquise “Hollywood” Brown’s tape didn’t impress me, and he has missed the majority of the NFL Draft process due to a lisfranc injury. I have concerns as to whether he can get on the field quickly in the NFL and how far his draft capital will plummet.

Riley Ridley is another big name who did not impress me under original film review. He continues to slide as a result of a mediocre combine and the addition of new players into my rankings.

Isabella and Anthony Johnson’s slides are also primarily because of low film reviews and the addition of new players.

Lil’ Jordan Humphrey had an atrocious pro day that forced me to reconsider the athleticism I saw on tape. There is still a lot to like about his tape but it appears NFL teams have largely dropped him from day 2 or earlier consideration. His unique skillset and teams turning cold on him leave too many red flags to justify what was originally a bullish stance on him.

Tier 5

RankChangeWide Receiver CollegeHeightWeight
20NR*Hunter RenfrowClemson5’10”180
21-5Greg DortchWake Forest5’9″170
22NR*KeeSean JohnsonFresno State6’2″199
23-6DeMarkus LodgeOle Miss6’2″200
24NR*David SillsWest Viginia6’4″210

*NR=Not Ranked. These are players who did not have film reviews at the time of my pre-combine article.

Tier 5 is filled with dart-throw players; they are likely to go in the late rounds of your fantasy football rookie drafts and have low potential of turning into roster-changing caliber players.

Hunter Renfrow can be a good player in the NFL, but I don’t see, from his tape, a player who is likely to have a high impact in terms of fantasy football. He has good footwork that helps him get off the line of scrimmage quickly and be effective on comeback routes. He is elusive with the ball in his hand and has upside as a YAC player. His routes, however, are limited to the first third of the field; he rarely sees targets past 5-8 yards off the line of scrimmage. That, combined with his size make me question if he can emerge from a pigeon-holed slot role in the NFL.

KeeSean Johnson flashes some nice highlight reel plays. He moves quickly over the middle of the field, burns up the sideline, and extends his large frame to make himself a big target. He has great footwork and works a fairly built-out route tree. Johnson, though, has inconsistent hands and struggles to consistently perform on tape. That, in addition to the low level of competition he had to perform against at Fresno State leave him in dart-throw territory.

David Sills had good production in Will Grier’s West Virginia offense. He has a solid route tree, can accelerate well downfield, and has a large body. Sills, though, screamed JAG (just another guy) to me. He plays like an “X” receiver but doesn’t consistently position his body well, is rigid, and unable to go up and get balls. Sills’ biggest red flag, though, is his hands. He drops a lot of balls; both contested and uncontested. His drop rate shows a lack of focus and an inability to perform at the level of the “X” receiver NFL teams would likely want him to be.

Published by

Matt Hicks

Matt’s writing is focused on dynasty and devy fantasy football. He loves blending his experience writing research in the field of education with fantasy football stats. Matt currently lives in Baltimore, MD and graduated from Eastern Connecticut State University and the University of Tennessee, Knoxville. You can follow Matt on Twitter: @TheFF_Educator

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