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The Fantasy Fanalysts

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Dynasty Mock Draft Series: May

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Jan 7, 2017; Houston, TX, USA; Houston Texans wide receiver DeAndre Hopkins (10) celebrates after scoring a touchdown during the second quarter of the AFC Wild Card playoff football game against the Oakland Raiders at NRG Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Troy Taormina-USA TODAY Sports

The Dynasty Mock Draft Series is a collaborative set of articles sharing the results of mock drafts with dynasty analysts from across the fantasy football community. The full results, by round, are listed below. Each analyst that participated in this draft has their personal work hyperlinked to their description, please make sure to check out their individual work as long as all of the articles in this series. Following the second mock draft, we will also be tracking ADP, which you can find HERE.

Round 1: Gurley Falls, 1st Round Otherwise Chalk

Pick Player POS Team
1.01 Saquon Barkley RB NYG
1.02 Ezekiel Elliott RB DAL
1.03 DeAndre Hopkins WR HOU
1.04 Odell Beckham Jr WR NYG
1.05 Alvin Kamara RB NO
1.06 Christian McCaffrey RB CAR
1.07 Davante Adams WR GB
1.08 Michael Thomas WR NO
1.09 Le’Veon Bell RB NYJ
1.10 Todd Gurley RB LAR
1.11 Melvin Gordon RB LAC
1.12 David Johnson RB ARI

For the most part, nothing was surprising about this mock’s 1st round. Every player here is justifiable as a 1st round pick. I would like to have seen Christian McCaffrey go top 5, but again, I can’t be mad at where anyone went. The thing that stuck out to me was Gurley falling to the back end as opposed to being top 5 in recent seasons. With constant news of an arthritic knee, Gurley is probably worrying many because that could affect longevity for the running back. It also doesn’t help that the Rams drafted (with high capital) a top back in the draft to, I’m assuming, keep him more fresh. At the very least, I don’t think we will see the workloads we’ve been used to seeing in the past which could maybe push him to early round 2. Matter of fact, I would not be surprised if we see him there by late summer, early fall. Groupthink is a killer and I could see that affecting his ADP.  

Christopher Nelson, The Fantasy Fanalysts

Round 2: Travis Kelce comes off the board 18th overall

Pick Player POS Team
2.01 JuJu Smith-Schuster WR PIT
2.02 Joe Mixon RB CIN
2.03 James Conner RB PIT
2.04 Julio Jones WR ATL
2.05 Mike Evans WR TB
2.06 Travis Kelce TE KC
2.07 Nick Chubb RB CLE
2.08 Antonio Brown WR OAK
2.09 Dalvin Cook RB MIN
2.10 Stefon Diggs WR MIN
2.11 Keenan Allen WR LAC
2.12 Amari Cooper WR DAL

The NFL’s tight end drought is a real thing and showed with Travis Kelce going with the sixth pick in the second round.  Kelce offers close to guaranteed high end production that not only is top 3 at the tight end position but would be a borderline top 12 WR.  Last season Kelce had a career high 103 receptions for 1336 yards and ten touchdown after having over 80 catches in both of the previous two seasons as well.

With the potential loss of Tyreek Hill, Kelce truly is the focal point of the offense and should see another year of huge volume. With a lot of question marks in the second round after the first couple picks Kelce gives a high floor as well as ceiling that could be a league winner adding almost guaranteed production to the most volatile position in fantasy football

Round 3: The Quarterback Seal Is Broken

Pick Player POS Team
3.01 Kenny Golladay WR DET
3.02 George Kittle TE SF
3.03 Patrick Mahomes QB KC
3.04 Adam Thielen WR MIN
3.05 T.Y. Hilton WR IND
3.06 Zach Ertz TE PHI
3.07 Leonard Fournette RB JAX
3.08 AJ Green WR CIN
3.09 Damien Williams RB KC
3.10 Brandin Cooks WR LAR
3.11 Kerryon Johnson RB DET
3.12 D.J. Moore WR CAR

The 3rd round of the draft was full of risky picks. Some guys choose the true upside plays (Damien Williams, Dj Moore, Leonard Fournette, Kenny Golladay), while others banked on aging veterans that hopefully still have a few good season left in the tank (TY Hilton, Aj Green). However, the most controversial pick was probably Patrick Mahomes going at 3.03 or 27th overall. Most fantasy vets will tell you that it’s best to wait on quarterback.

While this statement is completely valid in redraft, I think it’s slightly overrated in dynasty. If you could go back and draft Peyton or Rodgers in their early seasons for your dynasty teams, would you do it over a WR2 or a RB2? I think most would agree having Rodgers on their teams over the past decade would be much more beneficial than guys taken in the 3rd round in 2009…names like Darren McFadden, Anquan Boldin, Ronnie Brown, Ryan Grant and Marques Colston. Some of those listed players had periods of success but nothing like the prolonged success of Rodgers. I believe that Mahomes has that type of upside, maybe more.

Garret Price, Dynasty Nerds

Round 4: The Round of the (Young) Running Backs

Pick Player POS Team
4.01 Josh Jacobs RB OAK
4.02 Sony Michel RB NE
4.03 Marlon Mack RB IND
4.04 Derrick Henry RB TEN
4.05 Devonta Freeman RB ATL
4.06 Mark Ingram RB BAL
4.07 Aaron Jones RB GB
4.08 Phillip Lindsay RB DEN
4.09 Andrew Luck QB IND
4.10 Derrius Guice RB WAS
4.11 Robert Woods WR LAR
4.12 David Montgomery RB CHI

15 running backs were taken in rounds 1-3, which led to a mad dash in the 4th round-where another 10 went off the board. Jacobs (4.01) and Montgomery (4.12) were the first two rookie running backs off the board. Jacobs justifies his draft position with explosive traits, high NFL Draft capital, and the opportunity to immediately be a 3 down back for the Raiders. Montgomery has the ability to be what Jordan Howard never amounted to in a Matt Nagy offense, the same one that led to the breakout of Kareem Hunt during his rookie season.

It also features two sophomore running backs in Sony Michel (4.02) and Derrius Guice (4.10). Michel is coming off a hot finish to the 2018 season, but finds himself in a crowded backfield with the recently drafted Damien Harris along with James White and Rex Burkhead. Guice was an explosive player at LSU that had dynasty players excited last season, but a pre-season ACL injury has delayed us from seeing how he can translate to the NFL. Now he also finds himself in a crowded backfield with Adrian Peterson and Chris Thompson to split volume with.

Matt Hicks, The Fantasy Fanalysts

Round 5: Taking an RB Outside of Top 50 is Risky

Pick Player POS Team
5.01 Eric Ebron TE IND
5.02 Kenyan Drake RB MIA
5.03 Miles Sanders RB PHI
5.04 Cooper Kupp WR LAR
5.05 Chris Godwin WR TB
5.06 Sammy Watkins WR KC
5.07 Julian Edelman WR NE
5.08 Calvin Ridley WR ATL
5.09 Tyler Boyd WR CIN
5.10 Deshaun Watson QB HOU
5.11 Mike Williams WR LAC
5.12 OJ Howard TE TB

The 5th round was book ended by TEs, Ebron (5.01) and O.J. Howard (5.12), great value for Howard as he went as our 5th TE at pick 60.  The real story is the tier drop for RBs and all of you Zero RB guys would have really felt that run on RBs round 5, 8 in a row and 10 out of 12 RBs.  Leaving only Kenyan Drake (5.2) and Myles Sanders (5.3) both teams RB2. One QB off of the board and that was Mr. DeShaun Watson 5.10, 3rd QB off of the board and no QBs were selected in round 6, maybe could have waited for the turn.

The meat of this round was the WRs, a little slotty with Edelman (5.7), Godwin (5.5), Boyd (5.9), and Kupp (5.4).  Watkins has been a riser and at 5.6 already as we await the Hill news, boom or bust pick. The last 2 guys produced 10 TDs a piece last year, Calvin Ridley (5.8) and Mike Williams (5.11).  Overall, no real big surprises and a lot of safe picks with high floors minus Watkins. Love the WR value this rain, do not like the way RBs fell at all. A little Rich for me with Ebron at 5.1 and Watson at 5.10.

Dynasty Dorks

Round 6: Steady Roster Fillers, with a Dash of Upside

Pick Player POS Team
6.01 Chris Carson RB SEA
6.02 Allen Robinson WR CHI
6.03 Jarvis Landry WR CLE
6.04 Alshon Jeffery WR PHI
6.05 Tarik Cohen RB CHI
6.06 Lamar Miller RB HOU
6.07 Dante Pettis WR SF
6.08 Hunter Henry TE LAC
6.09 James White RB NE
6.10 Kareem Hunt RB CLE
6.11 Tyler Lockett WR SEA
6.12 Robby Anderson WR NYJ

The sixth round of fantasy drafts is a time when the majority of high end, potential league winners have come off the board. If the right upside play is chosen, a player in the sixth could still make a huge impact on who controls the league, particularly in a dynasty format. But often owners opt to go in a safe direction to fill their starting lineups out. Players like Chris Carson, Allen Robinson, and Jarvis Landry fit the bill of players who are not that exciting to draft, but are competent players an owner can plug into a starting position and expect a solid contribution from on a weekly basis.

However, since this is a dynasty league mock draft and not a redraft league, I felt it was way too early for a guy like Lamar Miller. Almost 30 and in the final year of his contract, he should still be available in about round 10 of dynasty start up drafts. Kareem Hunt was one of the true boom-or-bust upside plays in the sixth round. Since he won’t be playing until week 9 this season (with an unknown future beyond 2019), it was earlier than I’m willing to take him, particularly with so many high upside players still on the board without the baggage. My choice of Dante Pettis is another boom-or-bust pick, as is the selection of Hunter Henry, but both could pay off big if those players pan out.

Kevin Scott, FanSided.com

Round 7: There, There. It’s Safe to Take a non-Barkley Giant, now

Pick Player POS Team
7.01 D.K. Metcalf WR SEA
7.02 Baker Mayfield QB CLE
7.03 N’Keal Harry WR NE
7.04 Evan Engram TE NYG
7.05 Tevin Coleman RB SF
7.06 Aaron Rodgers QB GB
7.07 Golden Tate WR NYG
7.08 Russell Wilson QB SEA
7.09 Tyreek Hill WR KC
7.10 Geronimo Allison WR GB
7.11 Rashaad Penny RB SEA
7.12 Sterling Shepard WR NYG

This is the round where our mock drafters decided to start taking chances. Rookies, a receiver that might not play in 2019, some upside-second fiddle running backs, and some high end quarterbacks all came off the board. The biggest surprise was that three New York Giants were selected in this round.

Evan Engram was the 7th Tight End to come off the board. This is a great place to grab Evan Engram. He has the potential to be a top 5 Tight End with the absence of OBJ and Eli Manning’s need to manage the ball when he doesn’t hand it off to Saquon. He will also have longevity and success at the position after Manning’s career ends.

Golden Tate or Sterling Shepard? They both went in this round and both could have seventh round value. At the very least, they will be Kings of Garbage Time in 2019. I selected Golden Tate over Sterling Shepard because of the same reasons why Engram should succeed. Eli will be looking for the shorter pass to manage the game. Tate’s yards-after-the-catch stats are an added bonus.

It’s clear that the members of this mock are the “wait on a QB” type because Baker Mayfield, Aaron Rodgers, and Russell Wilson would not last until the 7th round in our home/work leagues. I love all 3 of these picks here since all three are high end Quarterbacks and have several years left in their careers.

Finally, Tyreek Hill was selected near the end of the 7th round. Somebody was going to take the chance despite the likelihood that he doesn’t play for the season. If he does have a career after 2019, this pick will pay dividends! If not, the pick’s value isn’t high enough to consider it a waste. It’s worth the risk, although too early for me.

Marc Szymanski, The Fantasy Fanalysts

Round 8:  Corey Davis’ Slide Ends

Pick Player POS Team
8.01 Corey Davis WR TEN
8.02 Courtland Sutton WR DEN
8.03 Will Fuller WR HOU
8.04 Christian Kirk WR ARI
8.05 David Njoku TE CLE
8.06 LeSean McCoy RB BUF
8.07 T.J. Hockenson TE DET
8.08 Jerick McKinnon RB SF
8.09 Parris Campbell WR IND
8.10 Austin Hooper TE ATL
8.11 Marquise Brown WR BAL
8.12 Ito Smith RB ATL

We finally see Corey Davis get picked at 8.01, falling behind guys like Alshon Jeffery, Allen Robinson, Sterling Shepard and Golden Tate.  It is clear that fantasy players are becoming impatient with Davis and the rest of the Tennessee Titans. Between injuries, inconsistent QB play and an offensive scheme geared toward the run, Davis hasn’t been able to live up to the hype of being selected 5th overall in the 2017 NFL Draft.  However, if Mariota and the rest of this offense gets right this year, Davis definitely has the talent to be a significant value at this point. The rest of this round is filled with guys that I really like and have some nice upside due to talent or situation. Courtland Sutton, Will Fuller, Christian Kirk and Parris Campbell are guys that I believe are extremely talented and could be big time producers.

Mike Colaianne, The Fantasy Fanalysts

Round 9: Upside Running Backs Round

Pick Player POS Team
9.01 Justice Hill RB BAL
9.02 Royce Freeman RB DEN
9.03 D’Onta Foreman RB HOU
9.04 Dion Lewis RB TEN
9.05 Mecole Hardman WR KC
9.06 A.J. Brown WR TEN
9.07 Matt Ryan QB ATL
9.08 Jordan Howard RB PHI
9.09 Ronald Jones RB TB
9.10 Carlos Hyde RB KC
9.11 Noah Fant TE DEN
9.12 Carson Wentz QB PHI

The opening pick of round nine hinted that this might be the time more of the upside running backs would come off the board. Justice Hill was a wasted pick in redraft format because his health issues might delay his start to the 2019 season. Royce Freeman and D’Onta Foreman were the steals of this round with huge upside potential if they can win a larger share of the carries. Fantasy players infatuation with rookies over second or third years who had struggled came through loud and clear with rookie wide receiver picks. Matt Ryan was a steal in the ninth round as the 7th quarterback off the board.  

Dennis Michelsen, FlurrySports.org

Round 10: Filling in Needs with Good Teams

Pick Player POS Team
10.01 Darrell Henderson RB LAR
10.02 Tyrell Williams WR OAK
10.03 Vance McDonald TE PIT
10.04 Ben Roethlisberger QB PIT
10.05 James Washington WR PIT
10.06 Dede Westbrook WR JAX
10.07 Latavius Murray RB NO
10.08 Jaylen Samuels RB PIT
10.09 Drew Brees QB NO
10.10 Matt Breida RB SF
10.11 Nyheim Hines RB IND
10.12 Jameis Winston QB TB

Round 10 was one of the most balanced in terms of positions selected in the entire draft. There were 3 QBs, 5 RBs, 3 WRs and 1TE taken. Several players were selected in this round to fill in starting line-up requirements. Two QBs, Ben Roethlisberger and Jameis Winston, were drafted with that purpose.  Winston especially has a great opportunity this season under Bruce Arians. He has tremendous upside for the 11th QB taken in the draft.

Personally, I used the strategy of waiting on a certain position until the 10th round. I grabbed my starting TE here as Vance McDonald was my highest ranked at the position still on the board.

Interestingly enough, there were four Steelers players drafted in the 10th round. In general, people were looking towards good NFL offenses in this round with teams like the Rams, the Saints, the 49ers, the Colts and the Buccaneers represented.

Kyle Senra, Full Press Coverage

Round 11: Youth, old and everything in between.

Pick Player POS Team
11.01 Philip RIvers QB LAR
11.02 Keke Coutee WR HOU
11.03 Curtis Samuel WR CAR
11.04 Jared Cook TE NO
11.05 Deebo Samuel WR SF
11.06 Hakeem Butler WR ARI
11.07 Jimmy Garoppolo QB SF
11.08 Cam Newton QB CAR
11.09 Mitch Trubisky QB CHI
11.10 Austin Ekeler RB LAC
11.11 Tre’Quan Smith WR NO
11.12 Marvin Jones WR DET

When you think of players that could be available in round 11, the first thought that might come to your mind is “blah”. But when you’re drafting with smart dudes, it’s a round that can help you win in year one of a start up league.

This round was filled with top end quarterbacks (Cam Newton, Philip Rivers), nice upside wide receivers (Curtis Samuel, Tre’Quan Smith, Marvin Jones), very interesting rookies (Deebo Samuel, Hakeem Butler) and a TE1 (Jared Cook).

Getting a guy like Newton, if healthy, seems like a steal in round 11. Curtis Samuel might be the #2 WR in Carolina for Newton, while Marvin Jones should benefit with no Golden Tate in town. Butler is someone who I really loved before the NFL Draft, but the landing spot brings up some questions. Cook comes off his first career pro bowl appearance and should produce another solid season in New Orleans.

My pick in this round was Smith. He had some monster games last season for the Saints and could see an uptick of targets with another great training camp in 2019. I went RB early (5 of my first 7 picks) in this mock, so I wanted to swing for the fences in my WR department. Smith fits that mold.

Anthony Zaragoza, Dynasty Football Factory

Round 12: Wide Receiver depth takes center stage.

Pick Player POS Team
12.01 Daesean Hamilton WR DEN
12.02 Jared Goff QB LAR
12.03 Larry Fitzgerald WR ARI
12.04 Devin Singletary RB BUF
12.05 Anthony Miller WR CHI
12.06 Kalen Ballage RB MIA
12.07 Devin Funchess WR IND
12.08 Josh Allen QB BUF
12.09 Emmanuel Sanders WR DEN
12.10 Kyler Murray QB ARI
12.11 Delanie Walker TE TEN
12.12 Mike Davis RB CHI

In the 12th and final round, it is apparent that prioritizing RB depth over WR depth should be prioritized in any startup. The remaining receivers that are still available at the end of this draft are far better than the remaining running backs. Just take those drafted in the 12th as an example. Devin Singletary, Kalen Ballage and Mike Davis are all facing an uphill battle for playing time. Whereas Daesean Hamilton, Larry Fitzgerald, Anthony Miller and Devin Funchess all have secured roles already in place. I ended my draft selecting Hamilton with the 12.01 as I firmly believe he has the chance to pace the Broncos in all major receiving categories this year. Flacco may not last all year with Drew Lock now on the team and I believe Lock and

Hamilton can grow together and begin to build chemistry with one another as early as this year. So at this point in the draft grabbing a guy like Hamilton who could end up as the top scoring receiver in Denver far outweighs grabbing a backup running back. This is why I would advocate to grab running backs early and utilize the insane receiver depth to your advantage to put your team in the best position to win this year and for years to come. Not to mention, more often than not, receiver is way deeper than running back in rookie drafts as well, so you can always look there to shore up your receiving corps if you go with a running back heavy approach in your startup.

Happy-Hour Fantasy, Gridiron Experts

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