Wed. Jul 17th, 2019

The Fantasy Fanalysts

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2019 Fantasy Football Profile: Stefon Diggs

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MINNEAPOLIS, MN - JANUARY 14: Stefon Diggs #14 of the Minnesota Vikings celebrates after scoring a touchdown to defeat the New Orleans Saints in the NFC Divisional Playoff game at U.S. Bank Stadium on January 14, 2018 in Minneapolis, Minnesota. (Photo by Jamie Squire/Getty Images)

Stefon Diggs 2019 Fantasy Football Profile

This is the 2019 Fantasy Football profile for Stefon Diggs. This profile was created on 6/17/19 and reflects their current value and predicted 2019 fantasy football performance. It may be updated if significant changes occur during the pre-season that affects their 2019 fantasy football value. Diggs’ profile also may be updated periodically throughout the 2019 season, to keep you updated.

Current ADP: 15th WR, 37th Overall

Current Ranking: 15th WR

Value: Push

Past Production

SeasonGamesTargetsRecsRec YardsYards Per RecTDs
2016131128490310.83
201713956484913.38
201815149102102110.09

2018 is the season Stefon Diggs saw his most volume ever with 149 targets. He turned this into 9 TDs and finished the year as the 10th WR in fantasy. Diggs formed one of the most prolific WR duos in the league with Adam Thielen.

While the season did not go the way the Vikings wanted, their new starting QB, Kirk Cousins, showed he could be effective getting the ball to both WRs. 2018 was also the first year over 1,000 yards for Diggs, overall it was his best season even if his efficiency did drop from previous seasons.

Offseason Changes

The Vikings resigned Adam Thielen, showing they are committed to even after the publicized sideline blowup with Kirk Cousins. The Vikings also drafted Irv Smith, along with resigning Kyle Rudolph with the expectation they will use more 2 TE sets.

The biggest free agent signing was guard Josh Kline, which is an attempt to improve on offensive line that was not very well regarded in 2018. Also to help revamp the offensive line, Center Garrett Bradbury was chosen in round 1 and Guard Dru Samia in round 4. Latavius Murray departed, but they took a replacement at back up RB in round 3 in Alexander Mattison.

The biggest change for the Vikings from a fantasy perspective is bringing in Gary Kubiak as an Assistant Head Coach and Offensive Advisor.  Even though he is not the Offensive Coordinator, Kubiak will have a big impact on how the offense is run.

Kubiak was likely brought in because his style aligns with Head Coach Mike Zimmer, both are known as guys that want to establish the run as a big part of the offense. Kubiak like to establish the run then use play actions and bootlegs to throw the defense off balance.

2019 Outlook

Based on the consensus here at The Fantasy Fanalysts Diggs would be a push, but as the lowest of the rankers here on Diggs he is personally a sell for me.

Diggs is a talented player, but there are a number of things that I am wary of at his draft price. He is not as consistent as I like in a player at his current price. In 2018 he had 8 games with fewer than 50 receiving yards, which means he is reliant on TDs to save his fantasy week when he puts up games like that. That inconsistency combined with Diggs tendency to deal with injuries that limit him or occasionally cause him to miss games is too much risk.

Mike Zimmer seems intent on becoming more of a running team; the hiring of Gary Kubiak emphasizes that fact. Looking at 2018 over the 1st games Cousins threw 341 times, but over the final 8 games he only threw 265 times. That means there were 9.5 less pass attempts per game to go around. Diggs played in 7 of those games and on a per game basis he was 16th amongst WRs in fantasy points.

Drafting Diggs where he is means taking what is most likely the WR 2 on a run first offense. People will point to fall of Thielen over the 2nd half of the season as evidence of Diggs being the top guy in Minnesota, but Thielen averaged more yards per game and yards per reception, had a better catch rate both for his career and in 2018. Thielen was rated the 5th best WR in the league by Pro Football Focus, while Diggs was rated 19th. The Vikings would be foolish not to go back to featuring Thielen, which to me says there won’t be enough for Diggs to return value on his draft cost in 2019.

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