Dynasty 0

Dynasty Mock Draft Series: May

The Dynasty Mock Draft Series is a collaborative set of articles sharing the results of mock drafts with dynasty analysts from across the fantasy football community. The full results, by round, are listed below. Each analyst that participated in this draft has their personal work hyperlinked to their description, please make sure to check out their individual work as long as all of the articles in this series. Following the second mock draft, we will also be tracking ADP, which you can find HERE.

Round 1: Gurley Falls, 1st Round Otherwise Chalk

Pick Player POS Team
1.01 Saquon Barkley RB NYG
1.02 Ezekiel Elliott RB DAL
1.03 DeAndre Hopkins WR HOU
1.04 Odell Beckham Jr WR NYG
1.05 Alvin Kamara RB NO
1.06 Christian McCaffrey RB CAR
1.07 Davante Adams WR GB
1.08 Michael Thomas WR NO
1.09 Le’Veon Bell RB NYJ
1.10 Todd Gurley RB LAR
1.11 Melvin Gordon RB LAC
1.12 David Johnson RB ARI

For the most part, nothing was surprising about this mock’s 1st round. Every player here is justifiable as a 1st round pick. I would like to have seen Christian McCaffrey go top 5, but again, I can’t be mad at where anyone went. The thing that stuck out to me was Gurley falling to the back end as opposed to being top 5 in recent seasons. With constant news of an arthritic knee, Gurley is probably worrying many because that could affect longevity for the running back. It also doesn’t help that the Rams drafted (with high capital) a top back in the draft to, I’m assuming, keep him more fresh. At the very least, I don’t think we will see the workloads we’ve been used to seeing in the past which could maybe push him to early round 2. Matter of fact, I would not be surprised if we see him there by late summer, early fall. Groupthink is a killer and I could see that affecting his ADP.  

Christopher Nelson, The Fantasy Fanalysts

Round 2: Travis Kelce comes off the board 18th overall

Pick Player POS Team
2.01 JuJu Smith-Schuster WR PIT
2.02 Joe Mixon RB CIN
2.03 James Conner RB PIT
2.04 Julio Jones WR ATL
2.05 Mike Evans WR TB
2.06 Travis Kelce TE KC
2.07 Nick Chubb RB CLE
2.08 Antonio Brown WR OAK
2.09 Dalvin Cook RB MIN
2.10 Stefon Diggs WR MIN
2.11 Keenan Allen WR LAC
2.12 Amari Cooper WR DAL

The NFL’s tight end drought is a real thing and showed with Travis Kelce going with the sixth pick in the second round.  Kelce offers close to guaranteed high end production that not only is top 3 at the tight end position but would be a borderline top 12 WR.  Last season Kelce had a career high 103 receptions for 1336 yards and ten touchdown after having over 80 catches in both of the previous two seasons as well.

With the potential loss of Tyreek Hill, Kelce truly is the focal point of the offense and should see another year of huge volume. With a lot of question marks in the second round after the first couple picks Kelce gives a high floor as well as ceiling that could be a league winner adding almost guaranteed production to the most volatile position in fantasy football

Round 3: The Quarterback Seal Is Broken

Pick Player POS Team
3.01 Kenny Golladay WR DET
3.02 George Kittle TE SF
3.03 Patrick Mahomes QB KC
3.04 Adam Thielen WR MIN
3.05 T.Y. Hilton WR IND
3.06 Zach Ertz TE PHI
3.07 Leonard Fournette RB JAX
3.08 AJ Green WR CIN
3.09 Damien Williams RB KC
3.10 Brandin Cooks WR LAR
3.11 Kerryon Johnson RB DET
3.12 D.J. Moore WR CAR

The 3rd round of the draft was full of risky picks. Some guys choose the true upside plays (Damien Williams, Dj Moore, Leonard Fournette, Kenny Golladay), while others banked on aging veterans that hopefully still have a few good season left in the tank (TY Hilton, Aj Green). However, the most controversial pick was probably Patrick Mahomes going at 3.03 or 27th overall. Most fantasy vets will tell you that it’s best to wait on quarterback.

While this statement is completely valid in redraft, I think it’s slightly overrated in dynasty. If you could go back and draft Peyton or Rodgers in their early seasons for your dynasty teams, would you do it over a WR2 or a RB2? I think most would agree having Rodgers on their teams over the past decade would be much more beneficial than guys taken in the 3rd round in 2009…names like Darren McFadden, Anquan Boldin, Ronnie Brown, Ryan Grant and Marques Colston. Some of those listed players had periods of success but nothing like the prolonged success of Rodgers. I believe that Mahomes has that type of upside, maybe more.

Garret Price, Dynasty Nerds

Round 4: The Round of the (Young) Running Backs

Pick Player POS Team
4.01 Josh Jacobs RB OAK
4.02 Sony Michel RB NE
4.03 Marlon Mack RB IND
4.04 Derrick Henry RB TEN
4.05 Devonta Freeman RB ATL
4.06 Mark Ingram RB BAL
4.07 Aaron Jones RB GB
4.08 Phillip Lindsay RB DEN
4.09 Andrew Luck QB IND
4.10 Derrius Guice RB WAS
4.11 Robert Woods WR LAR
4.12 David Montgomery RB CHI

15 running backs were taken in rounds 1-3, which led to a mad dash in the 4th round-where another 10 went off the board. Jacobs (4.01) and Montgomery (4.12) were the first two rookie running backs off the board. Jacobs justifies his draft position with explosive traits, high NFL Draft capital, and the opportunity to immediately be a 3 down back for the Raiders. Montgomery has the ability to be what Jordan Howard never amounted to in a Matt Nagy offense, the same one that led to the breakout of Kareem Hunt during his rookie season.

It also features two sophomore running backs in Sony Michel (4.02) and Derrius Guice (4.10). Michel is coming off a hot finish to the 2018 season, but finds himself in a crowded backfield with the recently drafted Damien Harris along with James White and Rex Burkhead. Guice was an explosive player at LSU that had dynasty players excited last season, but a pre-season ACL injury has delayed us from seeing how he can translate to the NFL. Now he also finds himself in a crowded backfield with Adrian Peterson and Chris Thompson to split volume with.

Matt Hicks, The Fantasy Fanalysts

Round 5: Taking an RB Outside of Top 50 is Risky

Pick Player POS Team
5.01 Eric Ebron TE IND
5.02 Kenyan Drake RB MIA
5.03 Miles Sanders RB PHI
5.04 Cooper Kupp WR LAR
5.05 Chris Godwin WR TB
5.06 Sammy Watkins WR KC
5.07 Julian Edelman WR NE
5.08 Calvin Ridley WR ATL
5.09 Tyler Boyd WR CIN
5.10 Deshaun Watson QB HOU
5.11 Mike Williams WR LAC
5.12 OJ Howard TE TB

The 5th round was book ended by TEs, Ebron (5.01) and O.J. Howard (5.12), great value for Howard as he went as our 5th TE at pick 60.  The real story is the tier drop for RBs and all of you Zero RB guys would have really felt that run on RBs round 5, 8 in a row and 10 out of 12 RBs.  Leaving only Kenyan Drake (5.2) and Myles Sanders (5.3) both teams RB2. One QB off of the board and that was Mr. DeShaun Watson 5.10, 3rd QB off of the board and no QBs were selected in round 6, maybe could have waited for the turn.

The meat of this round was the WRs, a little slotty with Edelman (5.7), Godwin (5.5), Boyd (5.9), and Kupp (5.4).  Watkins has been a riser and at 5.6 already as we await the Hill news, boom or bust pick. The last 2 guys produced 10 TDs a piece last year, Calvin Ridley (5.8) and Mike Williams (5.11).  Overall, no real big surprises and a lot of safe picks with high floors minus Watkins. Love the WR value this rain, do not like the way RBs fell at all. A little Rich for me with Ebron at 5.1 and Watson at 5.10.

Dynasty Dorks

Round 6: Steady Roster Fillers, with a Dash of Upside

Pick Player POS Team
6.01 Chris Carson RB SEA
6.02 Allen Robinson WR CHI
6.03 Jarvis Landry WR CLE
6.04 Alshon Jeffery WR PHI
6.05 Tarik Cohen RB CHI
6.06 Lamar Miller RB HOU
6.07 Dante Pettis WR SF
6.08 Hunter Henry TE LAC
6.09 James White RB NE
6.10 Kareem Hunt RB CLE
6.11 Tyler Lockett WR SEA
6.12 Robby Anderson WR NYJ

The sixth round of fantasy drafts is a time when the majority of high end, potential league winners have come off the board. If the right upside play is chosen, a player in the sixth could still make a huge impact on who controls the league, particularly in a dynasty format. But often owners opt to go in a safe direction to fill their starting lineups out. Players like Chris Carson, Allen Robinson, and Jarvis Landry fit the bill of players who are not that exciting to draft, but are competent players an owner can plug into a starting position and expect a solid contribution from on a weekly basis.

However, since this is a dynasty league mock draft and not a redraft league, I felt it was way too early for a guy like Lamar Miller. Almost 30 and in the final year of his contract, he should still be available in about round 10 of dynasty start up drafts. Kareem Hunt was one of the true boom-or-bust upside plays in the sixth round. Since he won’t be playing until week 9 this season (with an unknown future beyond 2019), it was earlier than I’m willing to take him, particularly with so many high upside players still on the board without the baggage. My choice of Dante Pettis is another boom-or-bust pick, as is the selection of Hunter Henry, but both could pay off big if those players pan out.

Kevin Scott, FanSided.com

Round 7: There, There. It’s Safe to Take a non-Barkley Giant, now

Pick Player POS Team
7.01 D.K. Metcalf WR SEA
7.02 Baker Mayfield QB CLE
7.03 N’Keal Harry WR NE
7.04 Evan Engram TE NYG
7.05 Tevin Coleman RB SF
7.06 Aaron Rodgers QB GB
7.07 Golden Tate WR NYG
7.08 Russell Wilson QB SEA
7.09 Tyreek Hill WR KC
7.10 Geronimo Allison WR GB
7.11 Rashaad Penny RB SEA
7.12 Sterling Shepard WR NYG

This is the round where our mock drafters decided to start taking chances. Rookies, a receiver that might not play in 2019, some upside-second fiddle running backs, and some high end quarterbacks all came off the board. The biggest surprise was that three New York Giants were selected in this round.

Evan Engram was the 7th Tight End to come off the board. This is a great place to grab Evan Engram. He has the potential to be a top 5 Tight End with the absence of OBJ and Eli Manning’s need to manage the ball when he doesn’t hand it off to Saquon. He will also have longevity and success at the position after Manning’s career ends.

Golden Tate or Sterling Shepard? They both went in this round and both could have seventh round value. At the very least, they will be Kings of Garbage Time in 2019. I selected Golden Tate over Sterling Shepard because of the same reasons why Engram should succeed. Eli will be looking for the shorter pass to manage the game. Tate’s yards-after-the-catch stats are an added bonus.

It’s clear that the members of this mock are the “wait on a QB” type because Baker Mayfield, Aaron Rodgers, and Russell Wilson would not last until the 7th round in our home/work leagues. I love all 3 of these picks here since all three are high end Quarterbacks and have several years left in their careers.

Finally, Tyreek Hill was selected near the end of the 7th round. Somebody was going to take the chance despite the likelihood that he doesn’t play for the season. If he does have a career after 2019, this pick will pay dividends! If not, the pick’s value isn’t high enough to consider it a waste. It’s worth the risk, although too early for me.

Marc Szymanski, The Fantasy Fanalysts

Round 8:  Corey Davis’ Slide Ends

Pick Player POS Team
8.01 Corey Davis WR TEN
8.02 Courtland Sutton WR DEN
8.03 Will Fuller WR HOU
8.04 Christian Kirk WR ARI
8.05 David Njoku TE CLE
8.06 LeSean McCoy RB BUF
8.07 T.J. Hockenson TE DET
8.08 Jerick McKinnon RB SF
8.09 Parris Campbell WR IND
8.10 Austin Hooper TE ATL
8.11 Marquise Brown WR BAL
8.12 Ito Smith RB ATL

We finally see Corey Davis get picked at 8.01, falling behind guys like Alshon Jeffery, Allen Robinson, Sterling Shepard and Golden Tate.  It is clear that fantasy players are becoming impatient with Davis and the rest of the Tennessee Titans. Between injuries, inconsistent QB play and an offensive scheme geared toward the run, Davis hasn’t been able to live up to the hype of being selected 5th overall in the 2017 NFL Draft.  However, if Mariota and the rest of this offense gets right this year, Davis definitely has the talent to be a significant value at this point. The rest of this round is filled with guys that I really like and have some nice upside due to talent or situation. Courtland Sutton, Will Fuller, Christian Kirk and Parris Campbell are guys that I believe are extremely talented and could be big time producers.

Mike Colaianne, The Fantasy Fanalysts

Round 9: Upside Running Backs Round

Pick Player POS Team
9.01 Justice Hill RB BAL
9.02 Royce Freeman RB DEN
9.03 D’Onta Foreman RB HOU
9.04 Dion Lewis RB TEN
9.05 Mecole Hardman WR KC
9.06 A.J. Brown WR TEN
9.07 Matt Ryan QB ATL
9.08 Jordan Howard RB PHI
9.09 Ronald Jones RB TB
9.10 Carlos Hyde RB KC
9.11 Noah Fant TE DEN
9.12 Carson Wentz QB PHI

The opening pick of round nine hinted that this might be the time more of the upside running backs would come off the board. Justice Hill was a wasted pick in redraft format because his health issues might delay his start to the 2019 season. Royce Freeman and D’Onta Foreman were the steals of this round with huge upside potential if they can win a larger share of the carries. Fantasy players infatuation with rookies over second or third years who had struggled came through loud and clear with rookie wide receiver picks. Matt Ryan was a steal in the ninth round as the 7th quarterback off the board.  

Dennis Michelsen, FlurrySports.org

Round 10: Filling in Needs with Good Teams

Pick Player POS Team
10.01 Darrell Henderson RB LAR
10.02 Tyrell Williams WR OAK
10.03 Vance McDonald TE PIT
10.04 Ben Roethlisberger QB PIT
10.05 James Washington WR PIT
10.06 Dede Westbrook WR JAX
10.07 Latavius Murray RB NO
10.08 Jaylen Samuels RB PIT
10.09 Drew Brees QB NO
10.10 Matt Breida RB SF
10.11 Nyheim Hines RB IND
10.12 Jameis Winston QB TB

Round 10 was one of the most balanced in terms of positions selected in the entire draft. There were 3 QBs, 5 RBs, 3 WRs and 1TE taken. Several players were selected in this round to fill in starting line-up requirements. Two QBs, Ben Roethlisberger and Jameis Winston, were drafted with that purpose.  Winston especially has a great opportunity this season under Bruce Arians. He has tremendous upside for the 11th QB taken in the draft.

Personally, I used the strategy of waiting on a certain position until the 10th round. I grabbed my starting TE here as Vance McDonald was my highest ranked at the position still on the board.

Interestingly enough, there were four Steelers players drafted in the 10th round. In general, people were looking towards good NFL offenses in this round with teams like the Rams, the Saints, the 49ers, the Colts and the Buccaneers represented.

Kyle Senra, Full Press Coverage

Round 11: Youth, old and everything in between.

Pick Player POS Team
11.01 Philip RIvers QB LAR
11.02 Keke Coutee WR HOU
11.03 Curtis Samuel WR CAR
11.04 Jared Cook TE NO
11.05 Deebo Samuel WR SF
11.06 Hakeem Butler WR ARI
11.07 Jimmy Garoppolo QB SF
11.08 Cam Newton QB CAR
11.09 Mitch Trubisky QB CHI
11.10 Austin Ekeler RB LAC
11.11 Tre’Quan Smith WR NO
11.12 Marvin Jones WR DET

When you think of players that could be available in round 11, the first thought that might come to your mind is “blah”. But when you’re drafting with smart dudes, it’s a round that can help you win in year one of a start up league.

This round was filled with top end quarterbacks (Cam Newton, Philip Rivers), nice upside wide receivers (Curtis Samuel, Tre’Quan Smith, Marvin Jones), very interesting rookies (Deebo Samuel, Hakeem Butler) and a TE1 (Jared Cook).

Getting a guy like Newton, if healthy, seems like a steal in round 11. Curtis Samuel might be the #2 WR in Carolina for Newton, while Marvin Jones should benefit with no Golden Tate in town. Butler is someone who I really loved before the NFL Draft, but the landing spot brings up some questions. Cook comes off his first career pro bowl appearance and should produce another solid season in New Orleans.

My pick in this round was Smith. He had some monster games last season for the Saints and could see an uptick of targets with another great training camp in 2019. I went RB early (5 of my first 7 picks) in this mock, so I wanted to swing for the fences in my WR department. Smith fits that mold.

Anthony Zaragoza, Dynasty Football Factory

Round 12: Wide Receiver depth takes center stage.

Pick Player POS Team
12.01 Daesean Hamilton WR DEN
12.02 Jared Goff QB LAR
12.03 Larry Fitzgerald WR ARI
12.04 Devin Singletary RB BUF
12.05 Anthony Miller WR CHI
12.06 Kalen Ballage RB MIA
12.07 Devin Funchess WR IND
12.08 Josh Allen QB BUF
12.09 Emmanuel Sanders WR DEN
12.10 Kyler Murray QB ARI
12.11 Delanie Walker TE TEN
12.12 Mike Davis RB CHI

In the 12th and final round, it is apparent that prioritizing RB depth over WR depth should be prioritized in any startup. The remaining receivers that are still available at the end of this draft are far better than the remaining running backs. Just take those drafted in the 12th as an example. Devin Singletary, Kalen Ballage and Mike Davis are all facing an uphill battle for playing time. Whereas Daesean Hamilton, Larry Fitzgerald, Anthony Miller and Devin Funchess all have secured roles already in place. I ended my draft selecting Hamilton with the 12.01 as I firmly believe he has the chance to pace the Broncos in all major receiving categories this year. Flacco may not last all year with Drew Lock now on the team and I believe Lock and

Hamilton can grow together and begin to build chemistry with one another as early as this year. So at this point in the draft grabbing a guy like Hamilton who could end up as the top scoring receiver in Denver far outweighs grabbing a backup running back. This is why I would advocate to grab running backs early and utilize the insane receiver depth to your advantage to put your team in the best position to win this year and for years to come. Not to mention, more often than not, receiver is way deeper than running back in rookie drafts as well, so you can always look there to shore up your receiving corps if you go with a running back heavy approach in your startup.

Happy-Hour Fantasy, Gridiron Experts

The Dynasty Mock Draft Series is a collaborative set of articles sharing the results of mock drafts with dynasty analysts from across the fantasy football community. The full results, by […]

2019 NFL Draft 0

Biggest Fantasy Impact: NFC Rookies

NFC East

Dallas Cowboys: RB Tony Pollard

Dallas didn’t spend a ton of draft capital on offensive skill players.  The most significant skill player they invested in was Tony Pollard. Out of Memphis, Pollard is a patient runner that has great top end speed.  Pollard will initially contribute to the Cowboys as a kick and punt returner, but if he is given the opportunity, Pollard could be a nice change of pace back for Ezekiel Elliott.  Also, if your league gives points for return yards, Pollard definitely gets a bump.

Philadelphia Eagles: RB Miles Sanders

After acquiring Jordan Howard via trade, Philadelphia invested a 2nd round pick in Miles Sanders.  Sanders is the most talented and well rounded running back in this backfield. If Philadelphia can commit to Sanders and make him the primary running back, he can end up as a RB 2 as early as this season.  However, with Howard there and Philadelphia’s recent history, it’s hard to rely on the Eagles to give Sanders the desired workload this season.

Washington Redskins: QB Dwayne Haskins

I really like what Washington did in this draft.  Even though I am not a huge Dwayne Haskins fan, getting him at 15 without having to move up was great for Washington. Then they snag his OSU teammate Terry McLaurin and NC State standout Kelvin Harmon.  Haskins is easily the most talented QB in Washington. Even if he isn’t the Week 1 starter, Haskins should see the field this season and instantly add some juice to this offense.

New York Giants:  QB Daniel Jones

New York has been catching a lot of heat since they drafted Daniel Jones with the 6th overall pick in draft.  Jones looks the part of a franchise QB, but his film leaves a lot of the community hesitant to buy in. I really hope we are all wrong about Jones.  I would love for him to be able to come in after Eli Manning and be the starter for the New York Giants for the next 10 years. Regardless of what GM David Gettleman says, Jones should get the opportunity to play this year or next. If that is the case, it’s hard to imagine he would be worse for the fantasy options then Manning.  

NFC South

New Orleans Saints: TE Alize Mack

Considering Mack was drafted in the 7th round of the NFL Draft, this may be a bit of a stretch.  However, Mack does have some intriguing skills that could one day translate into fantasy production.  Mack has decent speed and works the seam pretty well. With time to develop under Sean Payton, Mack could maybe become a decent TE 2 for fantasy some day.  He shouldn’t be drafted in rookie draft, but could be a nice stash on your taxi squads.

Atlanta Falcons: iOL Chris Lindstrom and OT Kaleb McGary

Rather then trying to sell you all on Qadree Ollison and Marcus Green, I think it would be better to talk about the 2 first round lineman Atlanta drafted.  Getting Lindstrom and trading up for McGary shows us that Atlanta is going to continue trying to improve the run game. Both guys are very good run blockers and will help Devonta Freeman and Ito Smith out of the backfield.  The lack of significant draft capital spent at running back says that Atlanta still has faith in Freeman.

Carolina Panthers: QB Will Grier

I am a huge Will Grier fan and really like the fit for Carolina.  Obviously Grier won’t be an immediate starter, but Grier is instantly a premier backup QB.  And who knows, if Cam Newton’s shoulder is really messed up, Grier can do enough to keep the offensive weapons in Carolina fantasy relevant.  If Newton continues to take hits and misses significant time, I would feel very comfortable having Grier as a QB 2.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers:  WR Scott Miller

Similar to New Orleans, Tampa Bay spent most of the draft improving their defense.  The only offensive player they picked was Scott Miller in the 6th round. Miller is undersized, but has a ton of speed. He may be a nice field stretcher, but I don’t think he’s even worth a spot on a taxi squad.

NFC North

Chicago Bears: RB David Montgomery

I absolutely love this fit for both Montgomery and Chicago.  For whatever reason, I’ve heard way to many people saying that Montgomery is just a slightly better Jordan Howard.  Montgomery has more talent and is way more versatile than Howard. Montgomery is the best pure runner on this roster and is lined up to be the primary 2 down back for Chicago. Montgomery showed solid pass catching chops and will also be able to contribute in the passing game. Be excited people! Montgomery is going to be a stud in Chicago.

Minnesota Vikings: TE Irv Smith Jr.

See ya later Kyle Rudolph! Irv Smith is the new sheriff in Minnesota.  With Kyle Rudolph being owed over $7 million and no guaranteed money left, it is looking like Rudolph will be cut before the 2019 season starts.  If that is the case, Smith will have the opportunity to start producing right away. Smith is a big, athletic target that should be a great fit in this offense.  

Green Bay Packers: TE Jace Sternberger

Jace Sternberger is a staff favorite over here at the Fantasy Fanalysts.  He plays tight end, but in all honesty, he’s more like a big bodied wide receiver. Sternberger has reliable hands and shows a lot of promise as a route runner. He may not have a ton of production his rookie season, but Sternberger definitely has potential to become a low end TE1.  

Detroit Lions: TE TJ Hockenson

TJ Hockenson is the best tight end out of this class.  On top of being great as a receiver, Hockenson is a wonderful blocker.  Hockenson plays with the type of energy and attitude that everybody loves.  His ability to block will allow him to be on the field every down and start contributing right away. When ranking him for dynasty purposes, Hockenson is already a top 12 tight end.

NFC West

Los Angeles Rams: RB Darrell Henderson

I was/am a huge Darrell Henderson fan.  He is extremely quick, is a capable pass catcher and had a ton of production while at Memphis.  I don’t think Los Angeles invests an early 3rd round pick on a running back unless they are at least slightly concerned with Todd Gurley’s knee.  I expect Henderson to take some of Gurley’s workload and have a ton of upside if Gurley were to ever miss time.

Seattle Seahawks: WR DK Metcalf

This was a great fit for DK Metcalf.  Russell Wilson is one of the most talented quarterbacks in the NFL and is going to find ways to get Metcalf the ball.  Even if the Seattle offense is run heavy, Metcalf showed that he can produce on limited targets. Metcalf has one of the highest ceilings in this class.  If he can come close to reaching that ceiling, he is going to be a stud in this league.

San Francisco 49ers: WR Deebo Samuel

Deebo Samuel is possibly the most exciting prospect in this class when he has the ball in his hands.  He has good speed and is great after contact. With George Kittle and Dante Pettis returning, it’s hard to tell how much Samuel will produce right away.  If given the opportunity, Samuel has the talent to be a WR 2 for fantasy purposes.

Arizona Cardinals: QB Kyler Murray

As it was speculated for months, Arizona picked Kyler Murray with the 1st overall pick in the NFL draft.  On top of that, Arizona drafted Andy Isabella, Hakeem Butler and KeeSean Johnson. Murray has the talent, the weapons and hopefully the scheme with Kliff Klingsbury to be a big time fantasy producer.  With his arm talent and athleticism, I don’t think it is to crazy to think that Murray could be a top 12 QB in 2019. This Arizona offense has the chance to be extremely fun.

NFC East Dallas Cowboys: RB Tony Pollard Dallas didn’t spend a ton of draft capital on offensive skill players.  The most significant skill player they invested in was Tony Pollard. […]

2019 NFL Draft 0

The Final 2019 NFL Draft Mock: Round 2

The Fanalysts have been grinding draft tape, monitoring team needs, and mock drafting since December. This 7-part mock-draft is one continuous mock draft and the final one of the season for us. We will be releasing one article per day in the week leading up to the 2019 NFL Draft.

This is a summary of the 2nd Round of our mock draft for the 2019 NFL Draft. Over the course of the next 6 days we will release one round, working backwards, until all 254 of our selections are revealed prior to the 2019 NFL Draft.

For more on the fantasy football values of the 2019 Draft Class, check out the 48 Report: our 2019 Rookie Database

Day 3:

2019 NFL Draft 7th Round Mock
2019 NFL Draft 6th Round Mock
2019 NFL Draft 5th Round Mock 

Day 2:

2019 NFL Draft 4th Round Mock

2019 NFL Draft 3rd Round Mock

Pick Team Player
33 Arizona Cardinals Jerry Tillary, iDL, Notre Dame
34 Indianapolis Colts Hakeem Butler, WR, Iowa State
35 Oakland

Raiders

Deebo Samuel, WR,

South Carolina

36 San Francisco 49ers Deandre Baker, CB, Georgia
37 New York Giants Tytus Howard, OT, Alabama State
38 Jacksonville Jaguars Dwayne Haskins, QB, Ohio State
39 Tampa Bay Buccaneers Mack Wilson, LB, Alabama
40 Buffalo Bills Charles Omenihu, DL, Texas

There is going to be a ton of talent in the 2nd round this year! There are going to be guys that fall into the 2nd round that will be starters or solid contributors right away in the NFL.  In terms of fantasy football, there should be some juicy landing spots for prospects to land in.

Indianapolis looks to be the best landing spot for a rookie wide receiver.  Regardless who lands here, they could step in and be Andrew Luck’s WR 2.  Hakeem Butler has a high ceiling with his large frame (6’5”, 227 lbs.) and sub 4.5 speed.  Butler still needs to develop his hands and overall route running, but if he can go to a place that will coach him up, the sky is the limit!

Deebo Samuel has been gaining a ton of hype in the pre-draft process.  He showed out at the Senior Bowl and has some pretty impressive film.  Samuel display good speed, solid route running and is a big threat after the catch.  If he can land somewhere where he can be the primary slot receiver, I think he can start producing for fantasy right away.

It’s no secret that we aren’t the biggest Dwayne Haskins fans here at the Fantasy Fanalysts.  However, this would be the perfect type of situation for Haskins to go to.  There is no doubt that Haskins has a nice arm, but he needs to improve his ability to read a defense and gain some experience since he only started one season at Ohio State.  If a team is willing to be patient with Haskins and really develop him, I could see a bright future for the former Buckeye.

Pick Team Player
41 Denver Broncos Juan Thornhill, S, Virginia
42 Cincinnati Bengals Dawson Knox, TE, Ole Miss
43 Detroit Lions Irv Smith Jr., TE, Alabama
44 Green Bay Packers Kelvin Harmon, WR, NC State
45 Atlanta Falcons Zach Allen, EDGE, Boston College
46 Washington Redskins Jace Sternberger, TE. Texas A&M
47 Carolina Panthers Erik McCoy, iOL, Texas A&M

Although he is being considered the 3rd best tight end in this class, we should be just as excited about Irv Smith Jr. as we are with Hockenson and Fant.  Smith was a great target in the middle of the field at Alabama due to his nice combination of speed, strength and ability to come down with contested catches.  If Smith can add some mass to his frame and continue to develop as a route runner, he can easily end up as a constituent TE 1.

Even though his combine performance was a bit disappointing, I am still incredibly excited for Kelvin Harmon.  Even though he doesn’t have that top end speed, Harmon is able to create separation with his aggressiveness, use of his hands and solid route running.  Harmon is great football player that knows how to win with his skill set.

Pick Team Player
48 Miami Dolphins Marquise Brown,

WR, Oklahoma

49 Cleveland Browns Justin Layne, CB, Michigan State
50 Minnesota Vikings Michael Deiter, OT, Wisconsin
51 Tennessee Titans Dre’Mont Jones, DT, Ohio State
52 Pittsburgh Steelers Parris Campbell, WR, Ohio State
53 Philadelphia Eagles Yodney Cajuste, OT, West Virginia
54 Houston Texans Greg Little, OT, Ole Miss
55 Houston Texans Deionte Thompson, S, Alabama

Marquise “Hollywood” Brown is such an intriguing prospect.  When watching his film, it is hard not to make the comparison to Tyreek Hill.  I also see a bit of John Ross in his film.  That is honestly the range of outcomes for Brown.  If he goes to a team that will use him creatively, he honestly has Tyreek Hill upside.  If he goes to a team that doesn’t know how to be creative with him, he could end up just like John Ross, who has done very little in his first two seasons.  Landing spot and draft capital is going to be everything for Hollywood Brown.

Pick Team Player
56 New England Patriots Taylor Rapp, S, Washington
57 Philadelphia Eagles Julian Love, CB, Stanford
58 Dallas Cowboys Dexter Lawrence, iDL, Clemson
59 Indianapolis Colts Jachai Polite, EDGE, Florida
60 Los Angeles Chargers Trayvon Mullen, CB, Clemson
61 Kansas City Chiefs David Montgomery, RB,

Iowa State

62 New Orleans Saints Jonathon Abram, S, Mississippi State
63 Kansas City Chiefs Christian Miller, EDGE, Texas A&M
64 New England Patriots JJ Arcega-Whiteside, WR, Stanford

I love David Montgomery! He is currently my RB 1 in this class, based on his film and okay combine performance.  Montgomery is a running back that does nearly everything really good, but nothing great.  He has true 3 down potential in the NFL and can fit into role he is drafted to.  If given the opportunity, he could be a solid RB 2 as early as this season.

The Fanalysts have been grinding draft tape, monitoring team needs, and mock drafting since December. This 7-part mock-draft is one continuous mock draft and the final one of the season […]

Uncategorized 4

The Final 2019 NFL Draft Mock: Round 6

The Fanalysts have been grinding draft tape, monitoring team needs, and mock drafting since December. This 7-part mock-draft is one continuous mock draft and the final one of the season for us. We will be releasing one article per day in the week leading up to the 2019 NFL Draft.

This is a summary of the 6th Round of our mock draft for the 2019 NFL Draft. Over the course of the next 6 days we will release one round, working backwards, until all 254 of our selections are revealed prior to the 2019 NFL Draft.

You can find the 7th round article HERE

For more on the fantasy football values of the 2019 Draft Class, check out the 48 Report: our 2019 Rookie Database

Pick Team Player
174 Arizona Cardinals Trysten Hill, DT, UCF
175 Pittsburgh Steelers Andrew Wingard, S, Wyoming
176 San Francisco 49ers Sutton Smith, EDGE, Northern Illinois
177 New Orleans Saints Tim Harris, CB, Virginia
178 Jacksonville Jaguars Tyler Jones, OT, NC State
179 Arizona Cardinals Evan Worthington, S, Colorado
180 New York Giants Caleb Wilson, TE, UCLA

The sixth round has a lot of developmental prospects that have promising traits.  Most of these players will not see the field right away but have potential to become starters with proper coaching and development.

Caleb Wilson is a prime example of a developmental prospect with promising traits.  The 6’4” 240 lbs. tight end demonstrated his impressive speed by running a 4.56 40-yard dash at the NFL Combine.  With this speed, Wilson can be effective in the middle of the field, similar to Evan Engram.  However, that’s really all Wilson has going for him at this point.  If Wilson wants to see a significant role in the NFL, he will have to get stronger, improve his blocking and develop as a route runner.

Pick Team Player
181 Buffalo Bills Germaine Pratt, iLB, NC State
182 Denver Broncos Kendall Sheffield, CB, Ohio State
183 Cincinnati Bengals Montre Hartage, CB, Northwestern
184 Detroit Lions David Sills V, WR, West Virginia
185 Green Bay Packers Alex Bars, iOL, Notre Dame
186 Atlanta Falcons Blace Brown, CB, Troy
187 Carolina Panthers Keaton Sutherland, iOL, Texas A&M
188 Miami Dolphins Nate Herbig, iOL, Stanford
189 Cleveland Browns Terrone Prescod, iOL, NC State
190 Minnesota Vikings Benny Snell, RB, Kentucky

I am extremely excited for David Sills V to continue developing as a wide receiver.  The former quarterback shows a great ability to get down the field and getting up to catch the ball.  He definitely still needs development in his short route running and consistent hands, but Sills shows a ton of promise as a potential X-receiver.

In the sixth round, you usually don’t find running backs that have legit 3-down potential.  However, with his size and pass protection ability, Benny Snell could have the opportunity to play on all 3 downs if drafted to the right opportunity.  Snell doesn’t have the long speed and needs to develop as a receiver but has the vision and balance to be a solid producer in the NFL.

Pick Team Player
191 Baltimore Ravens Keelan Doss, WR, UC-Davis
192 Pittsburgh Steelers Khalil Hodge, LB, Buffalo
193 Baltimore Ravens Kerrith Whyte, RB, FAU
194 Green Bay Packers Foster Moreau, TE, LSU
195 Houston Texans Sean Bunting, CB, Central Michigan
196 New York Jets Alize Mack, TE, Notre Dame
197 Philadelphia Eagles Preston Williams, WR, Colorado State

Alize Mack has been gaining some hype throughout the pre-draft process.  Mack faced several obstacles in his first few seasons at Notre Dame, including sitting out his sophomore season (academics) and battling injuries his junior season. Mack did start producing his senior year and showed some great potential.  If he can develop his route running and continue being a nice, big target, Mack could have potential to be a consistent starter in the NFL

Preston Williams is the definition of a high ceiling, low floor prospect.  Williams is a great athlete but lacks polish as an overall receiver.  If he can develop his route running and learn to combat press coverage, Williams has the athletic upside to be a great playmaker at the next level.

Pick Team Player
198 Cincinnati Bengals Scott Miller, WR, Bowling Green State
199 Indianapolis Colts Dontavius Russell, iDL, Auburn
200 Los Angeles Chargers TJ, Edwards, LB, Wisconsin
201 Kansas City Chiefs JoJo McIntosh, S, Washington
202 New Orleans Saints Zach Gentry, TE, Michigan
203 Los Angeles Rams Chase Hansen, LB, Utah
204 Detroit Lions Tyler Roemer, OT, San Diego State
205 New England Patriots Kevin Wilkins, iDL, Rutgers
206 Washington Redskins Tommy Sweeney, TE, Boston College

When it comes to fantasy football, I’ve never understood the hype for Tommy Sweeney.  Yes, Sweeney will be a solid run blocker in the NFL, which will help him get on the field.  But even if Sweeney is on the field, he lacks athleticism and variety in his route tree to be any sort of consistent fantasy producer.

Pick Team Player
207 Pittsburgh Steelers Emmanuel Butler, WR, NAU
208 Tampa Bay Buccaneers D’Cota Dixon, S, Wisconsin
209 Minnesota Vikings Gary Jennings, WR, West Virginia
210 Cincinnati Bengals Armon Watts, iDL, Arkansas
211 Cincinnati Bengals Will Harris, S, Boston College
212 San Francisco 49ers Jordan Wyatt, CB, SMU
213 Cincinnati Bengals Deshaun Davis, LB, Auburn
214 Kansas City Chiefs Javon Patterson, iOL, Mississippi

Gary Jennings will be one of those players that should always manage to find a roster spot in the NFL.  He is a versatile player that can fill multiple roles.  Jennings showed that he can be productive as the primary deep threat for West Virginia.  I’m not sure Jennings will be anything more than a team’s WR 3, but if he gets the opportunity, Jennings has the tools to produce.

The Fanalysts have been grinding draft tape, monitoring team needs, and mock drafting since December. This 7-part mock-draft is one continuous mock draft and the final one of the season […]

48R 19 WR 0

Deebo Samuel: Fantasy Football Sleeper

Welcome to the 48 Report, a full working database including 48 of our favorite 2019 Draft Prospects. The key, however, is that we focus specifically on their ability to translate as fantasy football players. All players in the database have been/will be scored by 3 writers, and this is their article; explaining their aggregate score, as well as the score of their writer.

All categories are scored on a 1-5 scale; with 5 being the highest score a prospect can receive. The highest aggregate average scores a player can receive is 25. Articles will be posted January-April, all the way up to the draft. Ratings will be adjusted after the combine, based on measurables and after the draft, because as we all know: landing spot matters.

Deebo Samuel (6’0”, 214), Wide Receiver, South Carolina

15.3 Aggregate Score (3 Star Prospect)

Deebo Samuel is another prospect that has been gaining quite a bit of hype during the pre-draft process.  Samuel was one of the notable standouts all week at this years Reese’s Senior Bowl and followed that up with a good combine performance. Based on his combine, Samuel earned a SPARQ score of 118.5, which puts him in the 85th percentile.   Due to all of these different factors, Samuel has become a consensus top 10 wide receiver in this class.

Samuel was a 3-star recruit out of Inman, South Carolina.  While at Chapman High School, Samuel logged 166 catches for 2,751 yards and 36 touchdowns.  Samuel also add 133 rush attempts for 898 yards and 13 touchdowns on the ground.  After receiving offers from Appalachian State, East Carolina and Maryland, Samuel decided to attend South Carolina.

College Production

Samuel’s college production is not ideal.  Mainly due to injuries, Samuel failed to put up 1,000 receiving yards in a single season.  In his freshman, sophomore and junior season, Samuel had a combined 86 receptions for 1,280 yards and 5 touchdowns.  Then in his senior season, Samuel played in 12 games and totaled 62 receptions for 882 yards and 11 touchdowns.  Samuel was a Second Team All-SEC selection as a wide receiver.  Samuel also added 7 rushing touchdowns and 4 kick return touchdowns in his career at South Carolina.

The injuries are definitely concerning.  In his freshman and sophomore year, Samuel was constantly battling hamstring injuries.  His junior year, he broke his leg in a game against Kentucky.  I really liked watching Samuel’s film, but the hamstring issues leave me hesitant to buy all the way in on Samuel.

Speed/Acceleration: Aggregate Score: 5 (Personal Score: 5)

Samuel is extremely fast!  His upside is huge mainly because he has the speed to turn any play into a huge one.  He releases well off the line of scrimmage, which allows him to create a lot of space in his routes.  He accelerates extremely quickly after the catch.  He is a YAC monster that will really hurt a defense if given any space.

Route Running: Aggregate Score: 2.3 (Personal Score: 3)

From what I saw, Samuel is a decent route runner.  Samuel does a good job off creating separation and finding space.  The major concerns for our staff are that he ran a limited route tree and he seemed to rely on speed to create separation.  The majority of his routes run were screens, slants and outs.  This may very well be because that was part of the South Carolina scheme, but it would have been nice to see a bit more of a variety in his routes.

Blocking: Aggregate Score: 2 (Personal Score: 2)

The best way to describe Samuel’s blocking is inconsistent.  He shows a few instances of being able to engage with defenders, but for the most part, Samuel seems disinterested in blocking.  There are many instances of not giving effort and him attaching to a defender who already has someone blocking them when there are other defenders in the area.  Samuel really needs to buy into blocking if he wants to be on the field consistently early on in his career.

Handwork/Positioning: Aggregate Score: 2 (Personal Score: 2)

As I mentioned in his route running, Samuel relies on his speed to get open.  Samuel rarely went against press coverage, but when he did, he showed no handwork and relied on his ability to just run past defensive backs.  This is a major hole in his game.  In the NFL, defensive backs are going to be able to be physical with him at the line of scrimmage and be able to keep up with him.  If he stays primarily in the slot, this issue may be minimized or completely covered up.

Athleticism: Aggregate Score: 4 (Personal Score: 4)

Samuel’s athletic test scores definitely translate to his tape.  Samuel displays good elusiveness and contact balance after the catch.  He’s by no means a jump ball specialist, but he displayed pretty good hops on the film.  His athleticism really shows up when he is returning kicks.  Samuel displays a combination of great speed and athleticism which make him a game-changer when returning kicks.

Conclusion: Early 2nd round Target

Currently, I’m not at the point where I’d be willing to spend a 1st round rookie pick on Samuel.  I have concerns with his injury history, limited route tree and lack of handwork/footwork to help create separation.  Now, I do think there is promise for Samuel.  With his speed and athleticism, a team may fall in love with him and spend an early Day 2 pick on him.  If this happens and he goes to a team that has a need for a slot receiver, I could see spending a late 1st rounder on him.  Samuel has a ton of upside, but landing spot is going to be a huge factor in determining how much I will be willing to pay for him.

Welcome to the 48 Report, a full working database including 48 of our favorite 2019 Draft Prospects. The key, however, is that we focus specifically on their ability to translate as […]

2019 NFL Draft 0

A.J. Brown: The Real Star WR from Ole Miss

Welcome to the 48 Report, a full working database including 48 of our favorite 2019 Draft Prospects. The key, however, is that we focus specifically on their ability to translate as fantasy football players. All players in the database have been/will be scored by 3 writers, and this is their article; explaining their aggregate score, as well as the score of their writer.

All categories are scored on a 1-5 scale; with 5 being the highest score a prospect can receive. The highest aggregate average scores a player can receive is 25. Articles will be posted January-April, all the way up to the draft. Ratings will be adjusted after the combine, based on measurables and after the draft, because as we all know: landing spot matters.

A.J. Brown (6’1”, 225), Wide Receiver, Ole Miss

 

19 Aggregate Score (3.5 Star Prospect)

As D.K. Metcalf has been taking the spotlight due to his combine performance and intriguing traits, fellow Ole Miss receiver A.J. Brown has been hanging around in the shadows.  Even though we all should be excited for Metcalf, Brown has the much more impressive resume, is more reliable and more versatile then Metcalf.  Brown is a very exciting prospect that is starting to become a value in rookie drafts.

Brown was a 4-star recruit coming out of Starkville, Mississippi.  Brown was an Under Armour All-American selection for both football and baseball. He was also selected to the all-state team his senior year.  After receiving some big time offers from teams such as Alabama and Auburn, Brown decided to commit to Ole Miss.

College Production

Brown was extremely productive while at Ole Miss.  As a freshman, Brown played in all 12 games and had 29 catches for 412 yards and 2 touchdowns.  Brown then saw a huge increase in his role his sophomore year by catching 75 ball for 1,252 yards and 11 touchdowns.  Then during his junior year, Brown still found a way to improve and increase his role.  Brown had 85 catches for 1,320 yards and 6 touchdowns.  In both his sophomore and junior seasons, Brown was an All-SEC first team selection, an All-American third team selection (AP) and Biletnikoff Award semifinalist.

This is obviously great production for Brown, especially in an offense that had Metcalf, Damarkus Lodge and Dawson Knox all competing for targets.  Brown definitely benefited from Metcalf and Lodge spreading the field on the outside, but I honestly believe that he would have been able to produce in any offense in college.

Speed/Acceleration: Aggregate Score: 3.6 (Personal Score: 4)

Brown does have some great speed but won’t be a burner in the NFL.  He is really fast getting off the line of scrimmage and is quick in the open field.  Brown does a great job of displaying his speed and acceleration after the catch.  Brown accelerates to space and does a good job of making guys miss, which allows him to pick up quite a bit of yards after the catch.  When you combine his speed with his size, Brown can be extremely successful out of the slot and even contribute on the outside.

Route Running: Aggregate Score: 4.3 (Personal Score: 4)

It seems like Brown is always open.  He is very crisp and sharp with his routes, which allows him to gain an extra step on defenders.  Brown excels in the short and intermediate area of the field, mainly running curls, digs and slants.  Brown showed that he can create separation on the outside.  His versatility should help him see the field and experience success right away.  My only complaint about Brown’s route running is that I wish he would have displayed a larger route tree with some deeper routes.

Blocking: Aggregate Score: 3 (Personal Score: 2)

I am by far the lowest of The Fantasy Fanalysts on Brown’s blocking.  I just don’t see it.  He has the size and does show some decent blocks, but from what I saw, he was extremely inconsistent.  I may have to go back and watch some more and see what the rest of the crew is seeing.  Either way, he has a base there that should allow him to develop and improve as a blocker.

Handwork/Positioning: Aggregate Score: 4 (Personal Score: 4)

Brown displays some solid handwork in his routes.  He uses his hands to help create separation, which is extremely effective when combined with his speed. Brown does a great job of using his hands to catch the ball and not letting it come in on his body.  He is also great at finding the open space and positioning himself away from defenders.  Brown did show instances of struggling with contested catches but that’s not a huge part of his game.

Athleticism: Aggregate Score: 4 (Personal Score: 4)

Brown displays a ton of athleticism after the catch.  He is very elusive and is constantly extending plays by making defenders miss.  Brown has great body control and rarely goes down on first contact.  He can stop on a dime and accelerate extremely quickly.  Brown’s ability after the catch will help him experience success in the NFL.

Conclusion: Mid – Late 1st round pick

Brown projects to be primarily a slot receiver in the NFL.  If given this role, he can end up being a QB’s best friend.  Brown has all the tools to be a consistent top 24 WR for fantasy purposes.  As it stands, I’d feel extremely comfortable taking Brown in the middle of the 1st round of rookie drafts.  If he ends up being drafted to a great landing spot in the 1st or early 2nd round of the NFL Draft, I could definitely understand taking him towards the 1.03/1.04.  Get excited people, Brown is going to be a stud in the NFL!

Welcome to the 48 Report, a full working database including 48 of our favorite 2019 Draft Prospects. The key, however, is that we focus specifically on their ability to translate as […]

2019 NFL Draft 0

Justice Hill: Building Hype After An Electric Combine

Welcome to the 48 Report, a full working database including 48 of our favorite 2019 Draft Prospects. The key, however, is that we focus specifically on their ability to translate as fantasy football players. All players in the database have been/will be scored by 3 writers, and this is their article; explaining their aggregate score, as well as the score of their writer.

All categories are scored on a 1-5 scale; with 5 being the highest score a prospect can receive. The highest aggregate average scores a player can receive is 25. Articles will be posted January-April, all the way up to the draft. Ratings will be adjusted after the combine, based on measurables and after the draft, because as we all know: landing spot matters.

Justice Hill (5’10”, 190), Running Back, Oklahoma State

15.3 Aggregate Score (3 Star Prospect)

Justice Hill is a very intriguing prospect.  He has been hanging around in that second tier of running backs most of the pre-draft process.  That all changed when he had one of the best performances for a running back at the 2019 NFL Combine.  Hill ranked first amongst running backs in the 40-yard dash (4.40), broad jump (10’10”) and vertical jump (40’).  Since then, Hill has been gaining hype and rising up rookie draft boards.

Out of Booker T. Washington High School in Oklahoma, Hill was a 3-star recruit, based on 247Sports Composite.  His senior year, Hill was an all-state selection and the 6A-II offensive player of the year.  After receiving offers from Houston, Kansas and Louisville, Hill decided to commit to Oklahoma State.

College Production

Hill was very productive while at Oklahoma State.  As a true freshman, Hill had 206 carries for 1,142 rushing yards and 6 touchdowns. His performance earned him Second-Team All-Big 12 honors and broke the OSU freshman rushing record.  As a sophomore, Hill had his best season at OSU with 268 carries for 1,467 yards and 15 touchdowns.  Hill also added 31 receptions for 190 yards and 1 touchdown.  Hill earned First-Team All-Big 12 honors and was a Doak Walker Award Semifinalist.  In 10 games as a junior, Hill had 158 carries for 930 yards and 9 touchdowns.

This is great production for Hill, even if the majority of it came against Big 12 defenses.  The only thing I would have liked to see more from Hill is a bit more production in the receiving game.  He only had 49 receptions for 304 yards and 1 touchdown in three seasons.  It is better than nothing, but for a guy who projects best to be a third down back, I would have liked to have seen more out of him.

Speed & Agility: Aggregate Score: 4 (Personal Score: 4)

Hill is extremely quick.  He does a great job of accelerating to open space. Along with being fast, Hill does a great job of changing direction.  When he cuts or has to change direction, he is very fluid and accelerates forward very well. I wish Hill would have displayed more of his agility and elusiveness in open space to avoid/break some more teams.

Receiving: Aggregate Score: 2.6 (Personal Score: 3)

As I mentioned above, this is an area I expected to see more out of Hill.  In terms of running routes, Hill mainly ran swings and flats.  The promising thing is that Hill looks comfortable catching the ball and is great after the catch.  He uses his acceleration and vision to get to space and make plays.

Vision: Aggregate Score: 3 (Personal Score: 4)

This an area of Hill’s game that I seemed to like more than my fellow raters.  When looking at Hill’s vision, I think he does a great job of identifying when he needs to change direction or reverse the field.  He turned countless broken plays into positive plays just by changing direction and accelerating to space.

Blocking: Aggregate Score: 3 (Personal Score: 3)

I think the best way to describe Hill as a blocker is competent.  As a smaller back, he wasn’t asked to block a ton in college.  He was mainly used to chip defenders and then release to his route.  When he was asked to stay in to pass block, Hill showed willingness and aggression when going up against defenders.

Strength: Aggregate Score: 2.6 (Personal Score: 3)

I really enjoy watching Hill run because he is aggressive and attacks defenders.  He does a great job of fighting for extra yards by being physical.  The only problem is that he doesn’t have the size to consistently overpower defenders and break tackles.  I really wish I could give him 25 extra pounds and watch him run over people.

Conclusion: Mid-Late 2nd round pick

Because of his combine performance, Hill has started catching more people’s attention.  So long are the days of thinking you could grab him late in the third round of rookie drafts. Hill has the skill set to be a reliable third down back that will definitely get his looks on early downs as well.  Again, my only issue with Hill is that since he projects to be primarily a receiving back, I would have liked to see more production in college.  Still, with big play upside, I would feel really comfortable with taking Hill in the middle of the 2nd round of rookie drafts.

Welcome to the 48 Report, a full working database including 48 of our favorite 2019 Draft Prospects. The key, however, is that we focus specifically on their ability to translate as […]

2019 NFL Draft 0

Welcome to Hollywood, NFL: Brown a 4 Star Prospect

Welcome to the 48 Report, a full working database including 48 of our favorite 2019 Draft Prospects. The key, however, is that we focus specifically on their ability to translate as fantasy football players. All players in the database have been/will be scored by 3 writers, and this is their article; explaining their aggregate score, as well as the score of their writer.

All categories are scored on a 1-5 scale; with 5 being the highest score a prospect can receive. The highest aggregate average scores a player can receive is 25. Articles will be posted January-April, all the way up to the draft. Ratings will be adjusted after the combine, based on measurables and after the draft, because as we all know: landing spot matters. 

free_3_250x250-1

DRAFT is a fun, non-intimidating way to play DFS year round! They have 2019 Best Balls running already as well as daily NBA contests. Get a free entry by using promo code ‘Top2″ with your first deposit.

Marquise Brown (5’10”, 168) Wide Receiver, Oklahoma

18.3 Aggregate Score (4 Star Prospect)

Marquise “Hollywood” Brown isn’t like most of the other top end receivers in this draft.  He isn’t that big body wide receiver that projects to be a prototypical WR1.  Brown is a small, shifty player that will most likely be a burner in the NFL. Brown’s speed and acceleration allowed him to be very productive in college and should allow him to continue producing in the NFL

Unfortunately for Brown, it came out a couple of weeks ago that he had surgery for a Lisfranc injury last month.  Lisfranc is an injury that has to deal with one of the bones in the mid-foot breaking.  Considering guys like Le’Veon Bell and Dwight Freeney have had similar surgeries and continued to improve, this isn’t the end of the world for Brown.  It’s been reported that he should be ready for summer training camp, but this will definitely have an effect on his draft stock.  Let’s just hope there aren’t any complications or lingering issues.

College Production

Before attending Oklahoma, Brown spent a season at College of Canyons, a junior college in California. At College of Canyons, Brown led the team with 50 receptions for 754 yards and 10 touchdowns.  Brown also returned kickoffs and punts, totaling almost 600 yards and another two scores.  Rated as the number 10 junior college player in the country by Rivals, Brown decided to transfer to Oklahoma after one season.

Brown didn’t miss a beat when he got to Oklahoma.  His sophomore season (2017), Brown had 57 receptions for 1,095 yards and 7 touchdowns.  Brown really performed when it mattered by putting up a combined 201 yards and 2 touchdowns in the Big 12 championship and CFP semifinal.  He then followed that up with an even more impressive junior year.  Brown had 75 catches for 1,318 yards and 10 touchdowns.  Brown was named as a First-Team All-American and a First-Team All-Big 12 honoree.

The numbers don’t lie.  Brown produced at a ridiculous level in college, averaging nearly 18.3 yards per reception.  I understand that this was against Big 12 defenses, but this is still impressive.  Brown showed that he has the ability to make big plays from pretty much every part of the field

Speed & Acceleration: Aggregate Score: 5 (Personal Score: 5)

Holy Smokes! Brown is extremely fast.  Brown has a great release at the line of scrimmage and accelerates into his routes very quickly.  If he was running at the combine, he probably would end up running in the low 4.3 range.  The most impressive part of his speed is that he displays it more than just on fly routes.  He’s able to maintain his speed in breaking routes, such as posts and slants, and is a huge threat after the catch on short routes.

Route Running: Aggregate Score: 3 (Personal Score: 3)

Route Running is extremely difficult to evaluate with speed guys, mainly because the main source of their separation is their speed.  This holds true with Brown.  He is able to create separation at all levels of the field.  He displayed a pretty diverse route tree including 9 routes, posts, comebacks, slants, drags, digs and screens.  He showed subtle footwork and change of direction that proved effective, but again, most of the separation he creates is from his speed.

Blocking: Aggregate Score: 2.6 (Personal Score: 3)

For being a small receiver, Brown shows a lot of willingness and aggression when it comes to blocking.  Now, he’s obviously not going to truck a DB and put him on his back, but Brown will definitely engage and try to prevent his guys from becoming part of the play.  Brown does a decent job of positioning himself to help create holes.

Handwork & Positioning: Aggregate Score: 3.3 (Personal Score: 3)

Due to his speed, Brown didn’t have to display a ton of handwork and footwork during his routes.  In the games I watched, I only saw him in one contested catch scenario, where he got the ball, but eventually got it punched out.  Brown does a really good job of reading the defense and running his routes to open space.  This allows him to catch the ball in space and have the opportunity to gain yards after the catch.

Athleticism: Aggregate Score: 4.3 (Personal Score: 4)

Brown is a great athlete.  On top of his speed, Brown shows good agility, explosiveness and body control.  However, because of relying on his speed, Brown rarely uses his agility to break tackles after the catch. I really think if he becomes more comfortable in this area of his game, he will become an even bigger threat at the NFL level.

Conclusion:  2nd Round Target

Draft capital is going to tell me a lot about Brown and this Lisfranc injury.  Once thought to be a possible 1st round pick, Brown has the talent to be a serious contributor at the NFL level.  I will feel a lot more confident in Brown and his health if someone spends a Day 2 pick on him.  If that’s the case, I’d be targeting Brown near the middle of the 2nd round in traditional rookie drafts.  That’s a relatively cheap price for a player that has a ton of upside.  However, if Brown falls to Day 3 of the draft, that tells me that teams are worried about his health, which will probably push Brown down my rankings.

Welcome to the 48 Report, a full working database including 48 of our favorite 2019 Draft Prospects. The key, however, is that we focus specifically on their ability to translate as […]

48R 19 RB 2

David Montgomery: 1 of 3 RB1s

Welcome to the 48 Report, a full working database including 48 of our favorite 2019 Draft Prospects. The key, however, is that we focus specifically on their ability to translate as fantasy football players. All players in the database have been/will be scored by 3 writers, and this is their article; explaining their aggregate score, as well as the score of their writer.

All categories are scored on a 1-5 scale; with 5 being the highest score a prospect can receive. The highest aggregate average scores a player can receive is 25. Articles will be posted January-April, all the way up to the draft. Ratings will be adjusted after the combine, based on measurables and after the draft, because as we all know: landing spot matters.

David Montgomery (5’11”, 216), Iowa State

19.6 Aggregate Score (4 Star Prospect)

David Montgomery is currently our 2nd highest rated running back prospect, only behind Rodney Anderson.  The main reason for this is that Montgomery is so well rounded.  Similar to Anderson, Montgomery has all the traits to be a three-down back in the NFL.  The nice thing about Montgomery, unlike most prospects in this year’s class, is that there aren’t any glaring red flags or limitations that could hold him back.

According to 247Sports Composite, Montgomery was 3-star recruit out of Cincinnati, Ohio.  While at Mt. Healthy High School, Montgomery was a dual-threat quarterback, with an emphasis on the “dual”.  In his career, Montgomery totaled over 6,600 rushing yards and 91 rushing touchdowns.  On top of that, he added 2,247 passing yards and 25 passing touchdowns.  Montgomery was named to the all-state team three times and was named the Ohio Player of the Year by the AP his senior season.

College Production

Montgomery had some very good production while at ISU.  Now, we have to keep in mind that most of this production came against Big 12 competition, which is notorious for subpar defenses.

Montgomery walked onto campus and started producing right away as a true freshman.  Playing in 12 games, starting the last 4, Montgomery was able to compile 563 yards and 2 touchdowns on 109 carries.  Montgomery also added 13 receptions for 129 yards.  

His sophomore year, Montgomery rushed for 1146 yards and 11 touchdowns, along with 36 receptions for 296 yards.  Finally, in his junior year, Montgomery rushed for 1216 yards for 13 touchdowns and had 22 receptions for 157 yards.  According to Pro Football Focus (PFF), Montgomery led the nation in forced missed tackles both his sophomore and junior year.

Montgomery was named a First-Team All-American by PFF and First-Team All-Big 12 by the AP and ESPN both his sophomore and junior year.  The Big 12 coaches named him to the First-Team All-Big 12 his sophomore year and the Second-Team All-Big 12 his junior year.

Speed/Agility: Aggregate Score: 4 (Personal Score: 4)

Montgomery has good speed and great burst.  One of my favorite parts of Montgomery’s game is his ability to find a hole and hit it hard.  Montgomery also has enough speed to get outside of the tackles.  He is very agile, both when maneuvering near the hole and in open space.  Montgomery can change direction with ease, which helps him keep negative plays alive and to turn them into positive plays. 

The only thing going against Montgomery here is that his breakaway speed is capped.  Don’t expect Montgomery to break off many 50+ yard rushes.

Receiving Skills:  Aggregate Score: 3.6 (Personal Score: 4)

Montgomery looks very comfortable as a receiver.  In his career, Montgomery had 71 receptions for 582 yards.  As the stats show, Montgomery did the majority of his damage in the flats and on short routes over the middle of the field. Montgomery does a great job of finding space and getting open.  He has decent acceleration after the catch, which provided him opportunities to produce some YAC. 

I just don’t understand why Montgomery wasn’t used more in the passing game.  Although 71 career receptions is a decent number, I feel that he could have done a lot more damage in the passing game if he was given the opportunity.

Vision: Aggregate Score: 5 (Personal Score: 5)

Montgomery’s vision is probably his best asset.  He is a very patient runner that always seems to find the hole.  He displayed a very good jump cut that allows him to fit into small holes quickly.  Montgomery has a great understanding of where his blockers are going to be and does a great job of following them.  As I mentioned in the speed category, when Montgomery finds the hole, he hits it hard.

Blocking: Aggregate Score: 3 (Personal Score: 3)

Montgomery wasn’t asked to do a whole lot of blocking while at ISU.  He was usually used to chip at the LOS and then released to run a route.  However, when he did stay in and was asked to block, he held his ground.  By no means is he a finished product, but Montgomery shows willingness, effort and isn’t a liability out there.

Strength: Aggregate Score: 4 (Personal Score: 4)

I was so impressed with Montgomery’s ability to keep the play alive.  He displays a low center of gravity and has a strong base.  He is willing to put his head down and take on defenders.  Montgomery is constantly bouncing off the first tackle and gaining a few yards after contact.  Another thing that I love is that Montgomery is consistently falling forward.  That may seem like a little thing, but when he is gaining a couple yards every other play just from falling forward, those yards start to add up and translate to fantasy points.

Conclusion: Early-Mid 1st Round Target

Due to the top end talent at the wide receiver position, a lot of people are sliding the running backs to the back half of the 1st round.  Personally, I think this is a mistake. Montgomery is a well-rounded prospect that looks ready to produce right away.  

If Montgomery gets a good landing spot, I’d be willing to take him at the 1.02/1.03 range.  Even with just an okay landing spot, the farthest I could see Montgomery slipping for me is 1.07. Remember, running backs are the ones that usually provide a quick return on investment.  So as nice as it would be to take one of the premier WR’s early in the 1st round, you most likely will end up with more production from Montgomery year one.

Welcome to the 48 Report, a full working database including 48 of our favorite 2019 Draft Prospects. The key, however, is that we focus specifically on their ability to translate […]

48R 19 TE 3

Irv Smith Jr.: 4 Star Fantasy Football Prospect

Welcome to the 48 Report, a full working database including 48 of our favorite 2019 Draft Prospects. The key, however, is that we focus specifically on their ability to translate as fantasy football players. All players in the database have been/will be scored by 3 writers, and this is their article; explaining their aggregate score, as well as the score of their writer.

All categories are scored on a 1-5 scale; with 5 being the highest score a prospect can receive. The highest aggregate average scores a player can receive is 25. Articles will be posted January-April, all the way up to the draft. Ratings will be adjusted after the combine, based on measurables and after the draft, because as we all know: landing spot matters.

Irv Smith Jr (6’3”, 243) Tight End, Alabama

18 Aggregate Score (4 Star Prospect)

It is no secret that the tight end position in fantasy football has been a dumpster fire the last few years.  Once you get outside the top 5-7 options, there is minimal upside and even less consistency.  Luckily for us, this 2019 tight end class looks to be a good one! There is some nice top end talent and solid depth that looks to help improve the tight end landscape.

One of the headliners of this class is Alabama TE Irv Smith Jr.  Smith was a 3 star recruit out of New Orleans, Louisiana and played at Brother Martin.  Smith was named ALL-USA Louisiana selection and an All-State honorable mention his senior year.  After receiving offers from Memphis, Texas and Texas A&M, Smith decided to attend Alabama

College Production

After appearing in 9 games as a freshman but not recording any stats, Smith totaled 14 catches for 128 yards and 3 touchdowns his sophomore year. His role and playing time seemed inconsistent through out this season.  This past season as a junior, Smith finally started to break out.  Smith had 44 receptions for 710 yards and 7 touchdowns. Smith now owns the single-season touchdown record at Alabama by a tight end and was named to the All-SEC second team.

Now, I understand that these aren’t eye-popping stats.  However, Alabama has a history of not utilizing their tight ends a ton.  When looking at OJ Howard, who was a 1st round NFL Draft pick in 2017, he only put up 45 receptions for 595 yards and 3 touchdowns his senior year.

Overall, I think Smith showed enough this past season to warrant being one of the top tight ends in this class.  On top of his production, Smith displayed some great skills and traits that should translate to the NFL.  

Speed/Acceleration: Aggregate Score: 4.3 (Personal Score: 4)

Smith has great speed and acceleration for a tight end.  He does a great job of getting off the line of scrimmage and into his routes quickly.  His ability to accelerate and turn up-field after the catch really stood out.  He is going to make it difficult for NFL defenses to defend him.  He looks to be too fast for most linebackers and too big for most defensive back.

Route Running: Aggregate Score: 3 (Personal Score: 3)

One thing that all of our writers noted is that Smith does a good job of finding space and getting open.  Now, this may be due to his route running, but it definitely helped that he was surrounded by talent and wasn’t the focal point at Alabama. 

Smith does a good job of running short routes and turning them into 10+ yard gains.  He also displayed the ability to get open on deeper routes that were 15+ yards down field.  Smith displayed a diverse route tree, which should help him translate to the NFL.

Blocking: Aggregate Score: 2 (Personal Score: 2)

The other writers and I seemed to agree on blocking being our biggest worry about Smith’s game.  He is a smaller tight end that was very inconsistent with his blocking.  There were instances where he engaged well to create a hole and instances of getting stood straight up or missing defenders.  I think he has the tools to improve but I honestly don’t think he will be asked to do much blocking in the NFL.

Handwork/Positioning: Aggregate Score: 4 (Personal Score: 4)

Smith is a very good pass catcher with reliable hands.  He showed instances of using good handwork at the line of scrimmage to get open.  I would have liked to see him in more contested catch scenarios, but as I mentioned earlier, he was often open with little pressure.  Smith does a great job of finding open space and putting himself in position to catch the ball and get yardage after the catch.

Athleticism: Aggregate Score: 4.6 (Personal Score: 5)

Smith is a great athlete that has a ton of upside after the catch.  He combines his strength with the ability to juke defenders and make very nice cuts in the open field.  This combination makes him very difficult to take down.  He is capable of having huge plays, similar to what we saw out of George Kittle this past season.

Conclusion: 2nd round target

I am so excited to see Smith in the NFL.  Like most rookie tight ends, Smith may not make a huge impact right away.  However, Smith has some of the same skills and traits that have helped players like Evan Engram and George Kittle become significant producers in their first two seasons. I’d be extremely comfortable taking Smith anywhere in the second round, unless he lands in Kansas City or Philadelphia for some reason.  Smith is an extremely talented player that has the upside to become a great fantasy asset.

Welcome to the 48 Report, a full working database including 48 of our favorite 2019 Draft Prospects. The key, however, is that we focus specifically on their ability to translate […]

Uncategorized 6

Kelvin Harmon, the 1.01? 4 Star Fantasy Football Prospect

Welcome to the 48 Report, a full working database including 48 of our favorite 2019 Draft Prospects. The key, however, is that we focus specifically on their ability to translate as fantasy football players. All players in the database have been/will be scored by 3 writers, and this is their article; explaining their aggregate score, as well as the score of their writer.

All categories are scored on a 1-5 scale; with 5 being the highest score a prospect can receive. The highest aggregate average scores a player can receive is 25. Articles will be posted January-April, all the way up to the draft. Ratings will be adjusted after the combine, based on measurables and after the draft, because as we all know: landing spot matters.

Kelvin Harmon (6’2, 215), Wide Receiver, NC State

20.3 Aggregate Score (4 Star Prospect)

As it currently stands, Kelvin Harmon is the Fantasy Fanalysts’ highest rated receiver, based on his film.  Now, we are still early in the process and have quite a few guys to still look at, but it’s a near guarantee that Harmon is going to be a consensus top 5 receiver for us.  Harmon is a polished player that doesn’t have any huge weaknesses and has the ability to be a true WR 1 in the NFL.

According to 247 Composite, Harmon was a 3-star recruit out of Palmyra, NJ. While at Palmyra High, Harmon had 165 receptions for 2,764 and 36 touchdowns.  Harmon also played safety at Palmyra and recorded 38 tackles, 2 sacks and an INT his senior year.  During his senior year, Harmon was named to the all-state, all-county team and was the Burlington County Player of the Year.  Harmon was rated as the 88th WR in his class and chose N.C. State over Miami, South Carolina and Boston College.

College Production

After his freshman year, where he had 27 catches for 462 yards and 5 touchdowns, Harmon finished his career at N.C. State with back-to-back 1,000-yard seasons.  During his sophomore season, Harmon had 69 receptions for 1,017 yards and 4 touchdowns. Although the touchdowns weren’t there, Harmon was named to the All-ACC Second Team. As a junior (2018), Harmon had 81 receptions, 1,186 yards and 7 touchdowns, which earned him All-ACC First Team honors.

The major thing that sticks out to me is the lack luster touchdown totals.  However, when looking at the team stats, N.C. State had a lot of talent at the running back position and usually decided to run the ball for touchdowns. 

During Harmon’s sophomore year, Jaylen Samuels and Nyheim Hines, both of whom are in the NFL, combined for 28 total touchdowns.  Than this past season, Harmon finished 2nd on the team for touchdowns behind Reggie Gallaspy, who had 19 total touchdowns (18 rushing). 

I believe that Harmon has the ability to produce in the Red Zone, he just didn’t really have the opportunity while at N.C. State.

Speed/Acceleration: Aggregate Score: 3 (Personal Score: 3)

Harmon displays decent speed for a player his size. The thing that really helps him, though, is that he reaches his top speed very quickly.  He showed the capability to burn past corners on fly routes at the college level, but I am not sure that this will translate to the NFL level when playing against corners with better technique and overall skill.  Harmon also displays good speed on shorter routes, which helps him create separation.

Route Running: Aggregate Score: 4.3 (Personal Score: 4)

Because Harmon doesn’t have a ton of top end speed, he really relies on his route running to help create separation.  Harmon displays great footwork, including a nice stutter step that caused multiple corners to look absolutely silly!

Harmon does a good job operating near the sideline and coming back to the ball.  He displayed a diverse route tree, especially in the short/intermediate range.

Blocking: Aggregate Score: 4.3 (Personal Score: 4)

I completely understand why you may not be interested in Harmon’s blocking ability, considering it won’t earn you any fantasy points.  However, the fact that Harmon is a very capable blocker will allow him to be on the field on any down, distance or situation in the NFL. 

Harmon does a good job of finding a defender and engaging with them.  He also showed the ability to get downfield and block an open man.

Handwork/Positioning: Aggregate Score: 4.6 (Personal Score: 5)

Harmon displays great handwork and body positioning throughout his routes.  Whenever the ball is thrown to him, he seems to have his body in position to make the catch.  Harmon also does a great job of using hands to create space on a consistent basis. 

One of our writers that also graded Harmon said that his handwork reminds him of Deandre Hopkins, which is an incredibly high praise.

Athleticism: Aggregate Score: 4 (Personal Score: 4)

Harmon does a great job of high pointing the ball to grab 50/50 balls. He displays good balance and footwork, especially along the sideline. The biggest knock I have on Harmon is that he displayed very little run after the catch ability. 

He seemed to catch the ball and end up on the ground within 5 yards on almost all of his routes.  Considering he has the tools to produce after the catch, it will be interesting to see if he can develop this skill at the NFL level.

Conclusion: Early/Mid 1st round target

Harmon displays all of the traits and tools to be a true #1 wide receiver in the NFL.  But just like we have been saying all off-season, landing spot is really going to affect where these players get drafted.  If he ends up in a great landing spot, I think there is a legitimate argument for Harmon being taken with the 1.01.  Even if he gets a landing spot that doesn’t seem great, the farthest he should fall is the mid 1st round.

Welcome to the 48 Report, a full working database including 48 of our favorite 2019 Draft Prospects. The key, however, is that we focus specifically on their ability to translate […]

48R 19 WR 3

JJ Arcega-Whiteside: 3 Star Fantasy Football Prospect

Welcome to the 48 Report, a full working database including 48 of our favorite 2019 Draft Prospects. The key, however, is that we focus specifically on their ability to translate as fantasy football players. All players in the database have been/will be scored by 3 writers, and this is their article; explaining their aggregate score, as well as the score of their writer.

All categories are scored on a 1-5 scale; with 5 being the highest score a prospect can receive. The highest aggregate average scores a player can receive is 25. Articles will be posted January-April, all the way up to the draft. Ratings will be adjusted after the combine, based on measurables and after the draft, because as we all know: landing spot matters.

JJ Arcega-Whiteside (6’3”, 225) Wide Receiver, Stanford

15 Aggregate Score (3 Star Prospect) 

In case this is your first time reading about the 2019 rookie class, the strength of this class, for fantasy football purposes, is wide receiver.  Not only does this class have headliner studs such as N’keal Harry, but there is quite a bit of depth at the position with guys such as JJ Arcega-Whiteside.  After having a great senior season at Stanford, Arcega-Whiteside looks ready to take the next step to the NFL.

Arcega-Whiteside was a 3-star college prospect out of Roebuck, South Carolina; He set school records at Dorman High School with 207 receptions, 3,779 receiving yards and 38 touchdowns.  Along with being named to the all-state team twice for football, Arcega-Whiteside was named to the all-state team his senior year for basketball and track and field.  Arcega-Whiteside received offers from quite a few D-1 programs, including Michigan State, University of Central Florida and Virginia.  He ultimately decided to attend Stanford University.

College Production

One of the most promising things about Arcega-Whiteside is that in each season at Stanford, he saw a large increase in his production.  After not seeing the field his freshman year, Arcega-Whiteside had 24 receptions for 379 yards and 5 touchdowns his sophomore season.  During his junior season, he nearly doubled those stats with 48 receptions for 781 yards and 9 touchdowns.  Finally, during his senior year, Arcega-Whiteside had his best season at Stanford with 63 receptions for 1059 yards and 14 touchdowns.  His season was highlighted by a 6 reception, 226 yards and 3 touchdown performance against San Diego State.  Arcega-Whiteside was named to the All-Pac-12 second team and was a Biletnikoff Award semifinalist.

Arcega-Whiteside’s 14 touchdowns had him tied for third in all of FBS, only behind John Ursua (16) and David Sills V (15).  Producing in the Red Zone is one of Arcega-Whiteside’s biggest strengths and this is where he is going to have to produce to be a reliable fantasy threat.

Speed & Acceleration: Aggregate Score: 2 (Personal Score: 2)

Arcega-Whiteside didn’t show a ton in terms of speed and acceleration.  He will probably end up running in the 4.5-4.6 range.  One of the things I was constantly seeing during his film was him failing to create separation, especially when up against better competition.  Arcega-Whiteside does a good job of finding other ways to beat defenders.  Don’t plan on Arcega-Whiteside being a burner at the NFL level and he will definitely have his limitations after the catch.

Route Running: Aggregate Score: 2.6 (Personal Score: 2)

This was a difficult area to assess Arcega-Whiteside on.  While at Stanford, he had a very limited route tree, mostly running fly routes and crossing routes, which seems to be a consistent theme with Stanford pass catchers. 

Arcega-Whiteside did show some promising qualities in the limited routes he did run.  He showed good footwork, an ability to cleanly breakdown and does a good job of finding open space on crossing routes.  These qualities are what lead to one of our writers to rate Arcega-Whiteside’s route running a 4 out of 5.  I recognize these qualities but would have liked to see him use these qualities in a variety of routes.  It’s just too much of a question mark right now on how Arcega-Whiteside will perform on more complex routes.

Blocking: Aggregate Score: 3.6 (Personal Score: 4)

Although blocking won’t earn a player any fantasy points, it is a great way for a young wide receiver to get on the field.  No matter what his landing spot is, Arcega-Whiteside will find himself on the field right away because of his ability to block.  Arcega-Whiteside does a good job using his large frame to engage with defenders and turning them around to create a hole. 

His size and technique will help his blocking translate to the NFL.  If the play wasn’t going his direction, there were times where he didn’t give his best effort.

Handwork & Positioning: Aggregate Score: 4.3 (Personal Score: 4)

This is where Arcega-Whiteside excels.  Arcega-Whiteside displayed a very quick release and good hand work when he did see press coverage.  He rarely saw press coverage, so that may be an adjustment he has to make at the NFL level.  The most impressive part of his game is his body positioning and ability to go up and get the ball.  He does a great job of coming down with jump balls and always seems to be in position to make the catch. 

This skill set is displayed incredibly well in the Red Zone.  He does a great job of getting in front of and boxing out defenders in the end zone.  He has the ability to produce double-digit touchdowns right away in the NFL.  Also, because he usually has great body positioning, Arcega-Whiteside does draw quite a few pass interferences.

Athleticism: Aggregate Score: 2.3 (Personal Score: 2)

Arcega-Whiteside does have decent athleticism for a wide receiver his size.  He has really good body control.  Doesn’t display a ton of strength and is very limited after the catch.  Even on his crossing routes, Arcega-Whiteside was consistently taken down within 5 yards of catching the ball.  This may be affected by the scheme Stanford runs, but I just wish I would have been able to see him do more after the catch.  Didn’t really showcase any juke moves or breakaway speed to make defenders miss.

Conclusion: 2nd Round Target

The thing about this rookie class is that the landing spot for these players will have a huge impact.  If Arcega-Whiteside ends up in a high-powered offense that is going to score a lot, I can see an argument for him going in the late 1st round of rookie drafts.  But solely based on talent and skill set, I’d be comfortable taking Arcega-Whiteside anywhere in the second round of rookie drafts.  He should be a consistent Red Zone threat and definitely has the ability to go get 50/50 balls in the NFL.  The real question marks to watch for will be his ability to create separation in the NFL, his adjustment to an expanded route tree and if he will be able to do more after the catch.

Welcome to the 48 Report, a full working database including 48 of our favorite 2019 Draft Prospects. The key, however, is that we focus specifically on their ability to translate […]

Fantasy Football 0

It’s Miller Time! Why Anthony Miller is Worth Your First Round Pick


Want an easy, non-intimidating way to try DFS? Check out DRAFT with a free $3 entry.Use promo code “Top2”

Since being drafted in the 2nd round of the 2018 NFL Draft by the Chicago Bears, Anthony Miller has showed a ton of promise.  Miller has shown that he can create separation, play both outside and in the slot and can be a viable RedZone threat.  His versatility and confidence has led to some early production and faith from the coaching staff and fellow players. 

I believe that as he continues to grow and gain chemistry with Mitchell Trubisky, Miller will surpass Taylor Gabriel and Allen Robinson to become the WR 1 in Chicago.  If you haven’t already, go buy Anthony Miller either before your leagues trade deadline or at the beginning of the fantasy offseason. 

The Price is Right

            One reason to go out and get Anthony Miller is because of his current price in dynasty.  According to Dynasty League Football’s November ADP, Miller is being drafted as the WR 44, behind guys like Devin Funchess, John Brown and Marquez Valdes-Scantling.  When you look at the ADP, Miller is one of the few guys being drafted later than WR 35 that has the upside to drastically move up in value.  

I think that Miller has a realistic shot of being a top 20 dynasty WR by this time next season. With Miller’s development and increased role in Chicago, I would definitely want the upside of Miller over those three guys I previously mentioned.  

Based on his current ADP, it would probably take a late 2019 1st round rookie pick to acquire Miller.  With the perceived strength of this draft being the first 7 or 8 picks, with not a ton of depth, it would be worth it to pair a late 1st and a small piece to trade for Miller.

He’s Earned Nagy & Trubisky’s Trust-You’re Next

            One of the main reasons to be optimistic about Anthony Miller is his increased role in the Chicago offense.  When looking at the season as a whole, Miller has a snap percentage of 63.7%.  But when you look at his snap percentage from Week 6 on, it jumps to 73%.  Miller has the skill and versatility to be on the field in any situation, regardless of down and distance or area of the field. As Miller continues to develop physically and mentally, it’s going to be difficult for Head Coach Matt Nagy to take Miller off the field.

            Along with seeing an increase in his snap percentage, Miller is becoming one of Mitchell Trubisky’s favorite targets. Since Week 3, there is only one game where Miller failed to have at least 5 targets or score a touchdown.  That was this past week against Detroit, when Chase Daniel was the starting QB.  When watching the Chicago Bears, it is clear that Mitchell Trubisky is gaining chemistry with Anthony Miller.  This chemistry has even carried over to the red zone, where the 5’11 WR has 4 catches and 2 TDs from inside 20 yards in the past 4 games. 

A Nagy Offense is Worth Investing In

            This past off-season, the Chicago Bears made a huge effort to improve their offense.  In 2017, Chicago’s offense had 267 first downs, averaged 4.9 yards per play, had 26 offensive touchdowns and had an average time of possession of 28:57.  Now returning to 2018, through only 11 games, Chicago’s offense has 235 first downs, averaging 5.6 yards per play, has 32 offensive touchdowns and has an average time of possession of 31:17.  

The improvements this team has made is incredible.  And this is in their first year under new Head Coach Matt Nagy.  If we are already seeing this type of improvement in Year 1, imagine what we can expect to see in the coming seasons.  This offense is young and exciting. As Mitchell Trubisky continues to grow and improve, this offense has potential to a be a top 8 unit in the NFL.  As that happens, Miller will see more snaps and red zone opportunities, which translate to fantasy production. 


Is your league missing sweet silverware for your champion? Save 10% on ALL merchandise from Fantasy Champs with promo code “Top2”

Since being drafted in the 2nd round of the 2018 NFL Draft by the Chicago Bears, Anthony Miller has showed a ton of promise.  Miller has shown that he can create separation, […]

Dynasty 0

The End of an Era: It’s Time to Part Ways with Gronk

The 2018 fantasy season has been terribly frustrating for Rob Gronkowski owners.  Even when he has been healthy, Gronk’s production just hasn’t lived up to expectations.  Being taken in the top 30 of most drafts, Gronk is expected to be producing as a top 3 TE and have these huge week-winning games. Even after a mediocre start to the season, Gronkowski still has an Average Draft Position (ADP) of 31st overall, according to Dynasty League Football’s October start up ADP.  This is ahead of guys such as James Conner, Sony Michel and Zach Ertz.  When November data comes out, I’m sure his ADP is going to drop.

If you can get a future 1st round pick or more for Gronkowski, it is definitely time to sell.

The Injuries

The main reason that I believe it is time to sell Gronkowski is his injury history. Since the 2011 season, Gronkowski has only had one season where he didn’t miss a game due to an injury (2014).  Gronk’s previous injuries that have caused him to miss games includes a broken/infected left forearm 2x (2012 & 2013), torn right ACL (2013), sprained knee (2015), injured hamstring (2016), lung contusion (2016), lower back injury (2016), thigh contusion (2017), concussion (2017) and back/ankle issues (2018).

That is a huge list, and honestly, I may have missed one or two.  There just always seems to be something wrong with Gronkowski. Largely due to these injuries, we have already heard Gronkowski contemplate retiring this last off season.  I believe that it is realistic that Gronkowski will end up retiring by the end of the 2019 NFL season.  If that’s the case, there will only be a very short window to get anything in return for one of the all-time greats.

The Production

Another reason for concern with Gronkowski is the drop off in production.  Now, this may be due to the injuries, but Gronkowski just isn’t producing like a top tight end this season.  Currently ranked as the TE 12 while playing 7 games, Gronk has 29 receptions, 448 yards and 1 touchdown.  This comes out to an average on 9.1 fantasy points per game, based on .5ppr scoring.

With the price that fantasy owners had to pay for Gronkowski, they were definitely expecting more then 9 points per game.  With the exception of Week 1, Gronkowski hasn’t showed the ability to produce those week-winning games that we all once loved.  If Gronkowski can’t have these huge games and consistently produce as a top 3 TE, it is hard to rationalize keeping or even paying the price for Gronkowski.

End of a Dynasty?

Besides his size and athleticism, one of the main reasons why Gronkowski has been so successful in the NFL is the phenomenal landing spot.  Being drafted by the New England Patriots in the 2010 NFL Draft, Gronkowski has gotten to play his whole career with Bill Belichick and Tom Brady.  These two have been the leaders of possibly the greatest 15 year span we have ever seen by a professional sports team.

For as remarkable the run has been, there is no doubt that we are reaching the end.  Even if Gronkowski ends up playing for 5 more years, will Belichick and Brady still be around?  Unless the Patriots end up pulling off a Favre/Rodgers transition, it’s hard to find a scenario where Gronkowski continues to be a top fantasy TE in a few years while the Patriots are trying to find their next QB.

 

 

 

The 2018 fantasy season has been terribly frustrating for Rob Gronkowski owners.  Even when he has been healthy, Gronk’s production just hasn’t lived up to expectations.  Being taken in the […]

Dynasty 0

Buy Trubisky in Dynasty…While You Can

Now before I get started, this is not a case for Mitchell Trubisky being a top QB in the NFL.  Through his first year and a half in the league, Trubisky has displayed a ton of inconsistency with his play, which is common for young QBs.

Despite his inconsistent play, Trubisky has shown that he has the potential to be a top 10 fantasy QB.  According to dynastyleaguefootball.com, Trubisky is currently being drafted as QB 20.  That is behind guys like Baker Mayfield, Lamar Jackson and Marcus Mariota.  I am at the point where I would easily rather have Trubisky over any of the 2018 rookie QBs and average vets like Mariota.  Here is my case for Trubisky being valued as a top 12 QB in dynasty leagues.

He’s Producing!

It hasn’t always looked pretty, but Trubisky has started producing like a fantasy stud.  Through 6 games, Trubisky is averaging 266 passing yards/game, 41 rushing yards/game and 2.5 total touchdowns/game.  Those numbers are extremely impressive considering his first three games of the season were complete duds.

Trubisky is showing improvement each week and seems to be understanding the new offensive scheme brought in by 1st year head coach Matt Nagy.  It definitely doesn’t look pretty at times, but Trubisky is showing that he can have a huge ceiling in this offense, in terms of fantasy production.  Plus, Trubisky has been producing on the ground, which should give him a nice floor on a weekly basis.

Take A Look at KC

After the 2017 season, Chicago brought in former Kansas City OC Matt Nagy to be its new head coach.  Since the moment Nagy was hired, the Bears have done their best to find players that match certain roles that are prominent in an Andy Reid style offense.  I will hit more on the weapons in a bit, but it is obvious that Nagy is trying to replicate what the Chiefs have done, which is to create one of the most prolific offenses in the NFL, especially for the quarter back.

Due to where they were drafted, Trubisky will always be compared to Patrick Mahomes, which is fair.  But keep in mind that Mahomes got to sit and learn this complicated West Coast system for a whole year.  As I mentioned earlier, Trubisky is improving every week.  If he can continue to learn and develop in this system, we could see this offense become as productive as the one in Kansas City, which would do wonders for Trubisky’s dynasty value.

Chicago’s Offensive Weapons

As mentioned above, Chicago did a good job of bringing in offensive weapons that should help Trubisky and this offense take the next step. To fill the Travis Kelce role, Chicago brought in TE Try Burton through free agency.  Burton is a versatile player that is quickly becoming one of Trubisky’s favorite targets.  Through 6 games, Burton is showing that he can be a threat in between the 20’s and also in the RedZone.  To fill the Tyreek Hill role, the Bears brought in WR Taylor Gabriel and have RB Tarik Cohen.  Gabriel is a guy that can both streak down the sideline to spread a defense out or catch a slant out of the slot and take it to the house.  Cohen is one of the most dynamic players in the NFL coming out of the back field.  He can take a pitch to the house on any play and is great route runner and contributor in the passing game.  These three guys, plus WR Allen Robinson, rookie WR Anthony Miller and RB Jordan Howard will help give Trubisky every chance in the world to succeed.

Now before I get started, this is not a case for Mitchell Trubisky being a top QB in the NFL.  Through his first year and a half in the league, […]

Dynasty 0

The Downfall of Russell Wilson

Coming into the 2018-2019 NFL Season, Russell Wilson was considered a top 3 dynasty quarterback by much of the community.  In the past, Wilson has been able to put up good passing numbers and provide a safe floor with his rushing production.  However, that is not the case this season.  Wilson is currently ranked as QB 19 through Week 5.  If Wilson is on your team, you most likely had to draft him early and have been forced to play him, which has killed your team.  In terms of dynasty, I think it’s safe to say that Wilson is no longer a top 8 option at the QB position.  If you can still get anywhere near top 8 value for Wilson, it is time to sell. 

Let’s take a look at why he’s no longer the dazzling quarterback that led many fantasy teams to their championships just last season.

Emergence of the Young Quarterbacks

Part of the reason Wilson has fallen outside of the top 8 is the emergence of the young QBs in the NFL.  When we think about emerging quarterbacks, the first name everyone immediately thinks about is Patrick Mahomes, which is definitely deserved for the QB1 in fantasy.  However, there are some more young QBs that have been producing extremely well through the first 5 weeks.  Jared Goff is ranked as the QB4 and Deshaun Watson is ranked as the QB6.  When you take these three QBs and consider the usual suspects of Aaron Rodgers, Carson Wentz, Kirk Cousins and Cam Newton, it’s hard to find a spot for Wilson in the top 8 dynasty QBs, possibly even the top 10. 

Where Did the Rushing Go?

Part of what made Russell Wilson such a valuable fantasy option was his ability to rush the ball and get a few extra touchdowns a year through the ground.  Through his first 6 seasons in the NFL, all of which he finished as the QB 12 or better, Wilson averaged 546 rushing yards and 2.67 rushing touchdowns a season.  Through 5 weeks, Wilson has only produces 42 rushing yards and 0 rushing touchdowns.  At this rate, Wilson will end up with only 134 rushing yards, by far the lowest of his career.  If Wilson can’t produce on the ground, it is going to be impossible to rely on him as a top 12 option at the QB position. 

The Seahawks Are In A Bad Place

The thing that worries me the most about Russell Wilson as a dynasty asset is the fact that the Seattle Seahawks have shown us that they are no longer a great franchise.  I know, they won a Super Bowl a few years ago, but look at what they have done recently. 

For starters, the Seahawks are refusing to provide Wilson with a decent offensive line.  Last season, the Seahawks had the 30th ranked O-Line according to Pro Football Focus.  This hasn’t gotten any better this season.  Through 5 games, Wilson has already been sacked 18 times, which is on pace to be the most of his career.  For whatever reason, the Seahawks have neglected the O-Line and are going to get their QB seriously injured. 

On top of the O-Line, The Seahawks have not done a great job drafting the last few years.  When going back to 2016, the only pick that the Seahawks have spent on offensive players that have made a significant impact is Chris Carson, who was a 7th rounder.  The most notable draft pick that it seems the Seahawks have messed up is their 1st rounder in 2018, running back Rashaad Penny.  Not only was Penny projected to be a 3rd/4th round pick, the Seahawks also had bigger holes at more important positions, such as offensive line.  To make matters worse, Penny hasn’t been able to beat out the previously mentioned Carson or Mike Davis and has had very few reps this season. 

Unless there is some major overhaul in personal or philosophy in the Seahawks front office,  I don’t see Wilson’s situation getting any better. 

Coming into the 2018-2019 NFL Season, Russell Wilson was considered a top 3 dynasty quarterback by much of the community.  In the past, Wilson has been able to put up […]