Fantasy Football 0

Preeminent vs The Undistinguished: Ranking Rookie Quarterbacks

Welcome to my rookie rankings based on my recent article detailing differences between prospects drafted in round 1-5 versus 6-7+UDFA! I figured out an interesting way to not only help everyone draft more successful teams, but to know how to value positions a little better going forward.

To get the breakdown you can visit the previous article here which has the thread that started it all as well.

New Users get a FREE $3 Entry with promo Code “TOP2”

I’m Going to Let You Finish but First…

Before I begin, I’d like to add a little more detail into the success of the QB position. Quarterback has less success than any other fantasy skill position (QB, WR, TE, RB). The twitter thread discussed rounds 6-7/UDFAs but what about the other rounds?

In the last 10 years, only 9 quarterbacks not drafted in the first round have averaged at least 184 fantasy points per season, in standard quarterback scoring formats. 184 fantasy points is equal to the average QB24 finish in that same time span-meaning that just the following players have become fantasy football relevant without being drafted in the first round:

RoundName
2Andy Dalton
2Colin Kaepernick
2Derek Carr
2Geno Smith
3Russell Wilson
3Nick Foles
3Jacoby Brissett
4Dak Prescott
4Kirk Cousins

No quarterback drafted after round 4 has become fantasy football relevant over the past 10 seasons.

With that being said, it tempers my expectations when ranking my quarterbacks. This isn’t to say I’m counting them out or they’re not in a good spot, it’s just part of how I value said player.

Before I get into these ranks. I don’t do all-inclusive ranks because whenever you draft, it’s all about NEED. Best available at each position is how I do things. Sure, some drafts you just take best available, but it’s just common practice for me to rank everyone separate. Also, these ranks factor in landing spot, draft stock and depth chart.

The Preeminent Tier

RankRoundNameTeam
11Kyler MurrayCardinals
21Dwayne HaskinsRedskins
32Drew LockBroncos
4 1Daniel JonesGiants
53Will GrierPanthers
64Jarrett StidhamPatriots
73Ryan FinleyBengals

The Undistinguished Tier

86Easton StickChargers
96Clayton ThorsonEagles
106Gardner MinshewJaguars
116Trace McSorelyRavens
12UDFATyree JacksonBills
13UDFABrett RypienBroncos
14UDFAJordan Ta’amuRaiders
15UDFAJacob DolegalaBengals
16UDFADavid BloughBrowns
17UDFAKyle ShurmurChiefs
18UDFADevlin HodgesSteelers

You may not be drafting the “undistinguished” as starters but what I do see, is that guys like these will be great spot starts when the starters go down. Some of them will need a good matchup too, but like I said, “dont count them out”. As always with this tier, leave them on waivers or stash them for rainy day “break if nececssary” type situations.

Next Time On the Preeminent vs the Undistinguished….

We’ll be getting into tight ends!

Welcome to my rookie rankings based on my recent article detailing differences between prospects drafted in round 1-5 versus 6-7+UDFA! I figured out an interesting way to not only help […]

2019 Offseason 2

Opportunity vs Ability: NFL Smarts in Rookie Drafts

We all know a kid sometime in our past who had all the talent in the world, but never made it. It could’ve been due to many different circumstances like money for college, more important responsibility at home, couldn’t stay out of trouble and so on. It still doesn’t change the fact that sometimes people just miss out.

In terms of the NFL, you have to add in the fact that every scouting department isn’t created equally and even if they were, they don’t make the choices. The ones choosing could be sold on someone who is just terrible compared to other guys, but there’s nothing we can do about it. The only things we can do is hedge those decisions for fantasy, which is what I’m here to help you do.

Opportunity’s Call

When dealing with fantasy football we like to have guys who have a huge opportunity share in the offense (or defense with IDP leagues). History shows we have to be the same with our rookie drafts.

Here’s why you should, for the most part, avoid guys (with your high picks) drafted in the 6-7 rounds and undrafted free agent pools:

In last 10 years, here are some of the hits for 6-7 rounders and UDFAs. From a recent conversation I had, I decided to change it from an all inclusive 100 PPR points or 6.25 ppg, to position specific. My baseline for success for each position was someone you’d be flexing or starting in most leagues.

Quarterbacks (3 year average of the QB24 = 184 points)

7 QBs have had success in rounds 6-7 with only 4 out of the 7 having done it more than once:

Tom Brady, Ryan Fitzpatrick, Tyrod Taylor and Matt Cassel

The UDFA to accomplish this feat:

Tony Romo, Case Keenum and Kurt Warner.

Wide Receivers (3 year average of the WR36 = 166 points)

6 receivers have done it with only 4 out of 6 having done it more than once:

Antonio Brown, Julian Edelman, Pierre Garcon & Steve Johnson.

20 UDFAs did it with just 9 of them doing it more than once. The most notable:

Wes Welker, Doug Baldwin, Victor Cruz, Adam Thielen, and Willie Snead

Michelle Magdziuk @BallBLastEm made a great observation that cannot be over looked:

Running Backs (3 year average of the RB36 = 134 points)

9 running backs were a RB36 or better and only 6 of them did it more than once:

Rashad Jennings, Alfred Morris, Latavius Murray, Theo Riddick, Andre Ellington, and Justin Forsett

The undrafted accomplished this 22 times with 12 having continued success:

Fred Jackson, Isaiah Crowell, Adrian Foster, Pierre Thomas, Danny Woodhead, C.J. Anderson, Joique Bell, LeGarette Blount, Chris Ivory, Ryan Grant, BenJarvus Green-Ellis, and Mike Tolbert

Tight Ends (3 year average of the TE24 = 93 points)

The TEs that have done it:

Charles Clay, Zach Miller, Brandon Myers, Mychal Rivera, and Ryan Griffin

The only undrafted free agents to do it:

Antonio Gates, Cameron Brate, Jack Doyle, Will Tye, Jake Ballard, Trey Burton, Larry Donnell, and Tim Wright

It’s simple, if the TEAM invests in them, WE have to invest accordingly. The caveat here is that you don’t forget about the late round/UDFA guys.

Allen Iverson’s Law: Talkin’ Bout Practice

One of the best practices is the utilization of your local taxi squad IF you have the room or regular roster if you have the spots. If through the draft process, you found a guy or guys whom you’ve just become enamored with, GO GET THEM. Don’t be dissuaded from getting your guys, just utilize your own draft capital for guys with true draft capital. This is because on average, for every position except quarterback, 1-2 guys per year emerge from that murky junkyard of 6-7 rounders and undrafted free agents to become PPR relevant at least once. Some of these guys end up with long term success, A LOT don’t.

A Rule of Thumb:

There is a much bigger area for “boom-bust” in 6-7/udfa areas than rounds 1-5.

Which is why I believe that these guys are sometimes better served for waivers later on. If they don’t end up free agents in your league, it’s ok. Let someone hold onto your asset for you until it’s time to obtain. Once that player starts tracking for success, you have to act before the price raises or otherwise you over pay in a trade vs making that asset a throw in for an otherwise “underwhelming” trade in the eyes of everyone but you. It’s all about timing. The trick is to not go in to negotiations showing your hand and you’ll be just fine.

Another good practice is to grab these guys when an injury happens to guys ahead of them on the depth chart. This is generally a key time where they can begin to be able to garner more snap counts (time on the field) if they perform well enough.

Going Forward

My pinned thread from Twitter and this article are just a warm-up for a series of articles and rankings so, be on the lookout for those, which will come directly after this.

A small hint to my ranking content-they will be different than you’ve seen before! Hopefully this has helped you prepare for your rookie drafts, stay tuned!

We all know a kid sometime in our past who had all the talent in the world, but never made it. It could’ve been due to many different circumstances like […]

2019 NFL Draft 0

Biggest Fantasy Football Impact Pick: AFC

Now that the draft is over, we finally have landing spots for some of our favorite rookies! Today we’re going to go through each AFC team to find each rookie who will have the biggest impact when it comes to fantasy. Some will have instant impact, some will have small impact, while some will have sneaky impact. Let’s get started!

AFC North

Baltimore Ravens: Marquise Brown, WR

Brown’s ability to separate from defenders with his sheer athleticism (wont be winning with size) will make him a great weapon for Lamar Jackson. Look for him to be a better John Brown and when Jackson looks to throw, he’ll have a very dependable target to throw to. Brown makes defenses have to respect his ability and opens it up for Jackson and Mark Ingram.

Cincinnati Bengals: The RBs

They drafted (albeit 6th rounders) Rodney Anderson and Traveon Williams while Mark Walton was waived, so I believe this was a depth move with sleeper potential. I have a feeling that one of these guys could end up working into both Bernard and/or Mixon’s workload. This could kill off some production and cause these guys to drop in value as well.

Cleveland Browns: The Defense

Cleveland really hit this draft for defense and it’s ok because they are absolutely well off in the offensive department. With that being said, Cleveland really bolstered their defense and gave their team a chance to have a great D/ST (yes I play in leagues that still use this position). With their team already in the bottom 5, the only way is up!

Pittsburgh Steelers: Diontae Johnson, WR

Already being anointed as the new #84, Diontae Johnson definitely has the ability and draft stock to come in and contribute immediately. He gives the Steelers a piece for the future alongside Juju and Washington. Yes Moncrief is there, but he’ll be losing snaps to this kid before long. He’s great against the press and should be being drafted in dynasty for sure. He’s definitely got sleeper impact.

AFC South

Houston Texans: Kahale Warring, TE

Warring did himself a world of justice throughout the draft process and ended up going very high in a draft thick with TE talent. With the team already having a few tight ends on the roster already, this was a head-scratcher. With his draft stock, it definitely means he’s here to stay and others will be waived. As far as fantasy goes, he just makes this offense a TE by committee further pushing us away from Houston TEs.

Indianapolis Colts: Parris Campbell, WR

This is one of the best places he could go. Not much competition for WR2, Campbell comes in as an immediate contributor. He should eventually be able to sully Funchess’ value toward mid-late season (if it takes that long). He also makes Luck an even more enticing selection with what he can accomplish in the slot as well as outside (contrary to popular belief).

Jacksonville Jaguars: Josh Oliver, TE

Definitely a project, but I project him as the TE1 in Jacksonville eventually. Geoff Swaim ain’t it and Josh Oliver can be on par with the top TEs in this class if he can learn how to block better. Could be the AFC’s Jason Witten; good across the middle of the field and no (and I mean no) high point ability whatsoever.

Tennessee Titans: AJ Brown, WR

A bit of a scary landing spot given who his QB is, AJ Brown impacts both Mariota and Corey Davis. The Titans don’t really have anybody outside of Davis who are difference makers at the level of AJ. Delanie was in the past, but father time is undefeated and that injury at his age will have it’s effects. Corey Davis will no longer have so much focused on him to stop him which boosts his value. The only thing is hoping that Mariota (like Lamar Jackson) can throw the ball a little more next season.

AFC East

Buffalo Bills: Dawson Knox, TE

I’m going to try and contain myself here, but I believe he could end up top 2 in this draft at the position. Buffalo just got a great weapon for Josh Allen who is an upgrade from Croom and will eventually supplant Kroft. With TEs, the rule is to wait and wait we shall. Don’t be filled with regret for not drafting him. He’s got draft stock, a clear path to start and a young QB to grow with. He’s going to be one of the best parts of this offense in a few years, just watch.

Miami Dolphins: Josh Rosen, QB

Josh isn’t a rookie, but was the best offensive asset they acquired in the draft. Still young and talented, he goes into a situation where he’s got a chance to take the keys and go. He (and Fitzpatrick when he plays) are an immediate boost for the receivers in Miami which excites me even more for my Gesicki shares.

New England Patriots: N’Keal Harry, WR

I was/am still not high on the kid after studying his game tape, but he will definitely produce/be given the opportunity to produce. Harry represents something the Pats haven’t done since 1996, draft a WR in the 1st round. I see him having the same success that Josh Gordon was having, but I don’t expect it to be immediate. I expect it to really start to show in year 2.

New York Jets: Trevon Wesco, TE

No, he’s not the guy you’re drafting in rookie drafts, he’s the guy who excites you for the sake of Darnold and Lev Bell. With the Jets already having drafted Chris Herndon in the same round last year, they brought in a TE who is much better at all the blocking aspects. Keep an eye out for his developing catching ability, could surprise in his production there which could put Herndon behind him on the depth chart. However, don’t expect anything for a few years. He’s more of a project who will possibly blossom in years 4-5.

AFC West

Denver Broncos: Noah Fant, TE

Already announced the starter, Fant has a chance to be the most productive rookie TE this year. I believe he’ll get the opportunities early and often purely because of his skill as a receiver. I don’t, however, think he’ll be a top TE overall this year. It’s hard for rookies to come by production at this position early on in their careers. With Fant, it’ll be no different unless Manny Sanders, Daesean Hamilton and Courtland Sutton suffer significant injuries reminiscent of the 2017 Giants with Engram.

Kansas City Chiefs: Mecole Hardman, WR

The Chiefs went out and got their possible replacement speedster for the same role of Tyreek Hill. If Hill is waived, suspended or both, Hardman will step into that role. I don’t expect the production right away, but man will he have breakaway plays that will drop your jaw. He essentially could be a less consistent Hill. My notes on him from film are filled with the words FAST in all capital letters so expect an electric player. He’s also good at finding an assignment to block which will keep him on the field a little more.

Oakland Raiders: Josh Jacobs, RB

He WAS my RB2 coming into the draft behind David Montgomery, but now his situation has “vaulted” him into first place. He’s a lead back and he’ll get the chance to prove that with Crowell going down for the season. The Doug Martin signing is a depth play while Jalen Richard shouldn’t see too much 3rd down work over Jacobs, who can catch well. Chris Warren is great, but doesn’t have the draft stock to give me faith that he’ll do anything but be a backup. Jacobs has the stock, the ability and the full faith of the team, what more could you want?

LA Chargers: Defense…Again

For those of you who play with D/STs in your lineups, rejoice, for this is what you want in your drafts. A team that was already great in terms of defense got better by loading up on defensive players like Jerry Tillery and Nasir Adderley. I can’t really say Easton Stick here because 5th round QBs have a nauseating success rate. With Rivers looking to re-up like Big Ben did for at least 3 more years, I’d say he ends up a gadgety (rumors of Taysom Hill usage) 3rd stringer behind Tyrod.

Now that the draft is over, we finally have landing spots for some of our favorite rookies! Today we’re going to go through each AFC team to find each rookie […]

2019 NFL Draft 3

The Final 2019 NFL Draft Mock: Round 5

The Fanalysts have been grinding draft tape, monitoring team needs, and mock drafting since December. This 7-part mock-draft is one continuous mock draft and the final one of the season for us. We will be releasing one article per day in the week leading up to the 2019 NFL Draft.

This is a summary of the 5th Round of our mock draft for the 2019 NFL Draft. Below are links to the previous rounds of the mock:

2019 NFL Draft 7th Round Mock

2019 NFL Draft 6th Round Mock

For more on the fantasy football values of the 2019 Draft Class, check out our 2019 Rookie Database

Pick Team Player
139Arizona CardinalsKris Boyd, CB, Texas
140Oakland RaidersDemarcus Christmas, iDL,
Florida State
141Pittsburgh SteelersDrew Sample, TE, Washington
142New York GiantsTre Watson, LB, Maryland
143New York GiantsAnthony Johnson, WR, Buffalo
144Cleveland BrownsMike Edwards, S, Kentucky
145Tampa Bay Buccaneers Bruce Anderson, RB, NDSU

With pick 145 a more unknown but very good running back-Bruce Anderson, goes to a team where there is no true starter. Along with the draft capital, he could possibly beat out both Peyton Barber and Ronald Jones for the lion-share of what would end up a committee in Tampa Bay. Here’s some lovely footage for those who don’t know:

PickTeamPlayer
146Detroit LionsMark Fields, CB, Clemson
147Buffalo BillsPenny Hart, WR, Georgia State
148Denver BroncosJahlani Tavai, LB, Hawaii
149Cincinnati BengalsLamont Gaillard, iOL, Georgia
150Green Bay PackersJaquan Johnson, S, Miami
151Miami DolphinsMalik Carney, EDGE, North Carolina
152Atlanta FalconsBobby Evans, OT, Oklahoma

For the Penny Hart truthers, this isn’t what they want to see with Cole Beasley in town. However, that can also be a good thing because it’ll give him time to get better/stronger, which he’ll need at his size.

PickTeamPlayer
153Washington RedskinsJarrett Stidham, QB, Auburn
154Carolina PanthersBraden Smith, G, Auburn
155Cleveland BrownsSheldrick Redwine, S, Miami
156Denver BroncosRyan Bates, iOL, Penn State
157Tennessee TitansAnthony Ratliff-Williams, WR, N.Carolina
158Buffalo BillsChris Slayton, DT, Syracuse
159Seattle SeahawksMichael Jackson, CB, Miami

Jarrett Stidham is one of my favorite QBs in the draft; he falls into my top 10 at the position. Many have him pegged with the same issues as Haskins but I beg to differ. He looks good outside of the pocket in a lot of aspects. There’s nothing more I like than a prospect that can still thrive when play breaks down.

PickTeamPlayer
160Baltimore RavensPhil Haynes, iOL, Wake Forest
161Houston TexansIsaac Nauta, TE, GeorgiaG
162Chicago BearsOli Udoh, OT, Elon
163Philadelphia EaglesJalen Jelks, EDGE, Oregon
164Indianapolis ColtsMecole Hardman, WR, Georgia
165Dallas CowboysMaxx Crosby, EDGE, Eastern Michigan
166Los Angeles ChargersTe’Veon Coney, LB, Notre Dame

Hardman is fast and his tape shows that. He’s one of those prospects that has the ability to take the top off. What’s even better is his intangibles. When he’s not involved in a play, he will find a player to block every time. The Colts got a good one here.

PickTeamPlayer
167Kansas CityGreg Dortch, WR, Wake Forest
168New OrleansHunter Renfrow, WR, Clemson
169Los Angeles RamsLil’Jordan Humphrey, WR, Texas
170Cleveland BrownsMax Scharping, OT, Northern Illinois
171New York GiantsJimmy Moreland, CB, JMU
172Atlanta FalconsBen Burr-Kirven, LB, Washington
173WashingtonHamp Cheevers, CB, BC

One of the most unique names in the draft and unique prospects, Lil’ Jordan Humphrey doesn’t have “the speed gene” and he doesn’t need to. He’s a big bodied slot who can work outside at times but not full time and that’s where he makes his hay. Running him and Kupp across the middle could be mismatch city all day and I’m here for it.

The Fanalysts have been grinding draft tape, monitoring team needs, and mock drafting since December. This 7-part mock-draft is one continuous mock draft and the final one of the season […]

2019 NFL Draft 0

Darrell Henderson: 4 Star Prospect with Explosive Potential

Welcome to the 48 Report, a full working database including 48 of our favorite 2019 Draft Prospects. The key, however, is that we focus specifically on their ability to translate as fantasy football players. All players in the database have been/will be scored by 3 writers, and this is their article; explaining their aggregate score, as well as the score of their writer.

All categories are scored on a 1-5 scale; with 5 being the highest score a prospect can receive. The highest aggregate average scores a player can receive is 25. Articles will be posted January-April, all the way up to the draft. Ratings will be adjusted after the combine, based on measurables and after the draft, because as we all know: landing spot matters.

Darrell Henderson (5’8”, 208), Running Back, Memphis

19 Aggregate Score (4 Star Prospect)

At 5’8 Darrell Henderson may be considered small for a running back, but don’t let the size fool you. Henderson is very good and considered by most to be in the top 5 for RBs this year. He has the complete package when it comes to the CMC/Cohen “super hybrid” backs. What that means is he won’t necessarily bowl anyone over (similar to a downhill back), but that’s not his game anyway. Henderson can operate in space, between the tackles and has good hands, so that already spells success for him at the next level.

College Production

It’s very surprising that Henderson had the success he did given the skill of the backfield. Tony Pollard (fellow 2019 draft classmate) and Patrick Taylor Jr (2020 draft class) are both NFL caliber RBs and I expect to see both drafted to NFL rosters in the 19′ and 20′ classes.

Memphis backfield production:

Patrick Taylor Jr.: 208 carries and 17 receptions for 1319 yards from scrimmage (36th in the nation in rushing yards).

Tony Pollard: 78 carries and 39 receptions for 1010 yards from scrimmage.

Darrell Henderson: 214 carries and 19 receptions for a whopping 2204 yards from scrimmage which was good for 2nd in the nation in both yards from scrimmage and rushing yards.

Henderson definitely maximized his share of the offense almost mirroring Patrick Taylor in carries and receptions. He out-shined the talent in his own backfield in a major way without so much extra chances. This is what makes him stick out as a prospect and rise up my draft board. My knock against him is that in his productive seasons (so & jr) he only played 4 top 50 defenses against the run and 8 in the top 100. The rest of his games (13) were played against defenses that were ranked 100+.

Speed & Agility: Aggregate Score: 5 (Personal Score: 5)

The only running back who ended up with a score of five in our evaluations, Darrell Henderson is one of the fastest in this draft at the position. Giving him a sliver of run room will be a mistake and he will immediately be “gone with the wind”. His change of direction is the best in this class (yes over David Montgomery) and combining that with his speed will be dangerous.

Receiving: Aggregate Score: 3.3 (Personal Score: 3)

I don’t think his receiving chops are bad, but when you factor in how many receptions Pollard and Taylor had (53) vs his own (19), you can see how little room he had to showcase this. I still believe he can be just fine as a pass catcher in the NFL, I just gave him this score based on his lack of chance there. It may just have been that Pollard (RB/WR sleeper) was the more efficient pass catcher given that he had 40% of the receptions.

Vision: Aggregate Score: 4.6 (Personal Score: 5)

Only surpassed by David Montgomery in this metric (by 0.4 points), Darrell Henderson has vision that A LOT of these RBs in this class don’t have. Combining that with his ability to shift and burst out of the backfield , it makes him a tantalizing prospect and one worthy of being ranked in the top 3 at the position. Here’s an example of that combo that he utilizes so well:

Blocking: Aggregate Score: 2 (Personal Score: 2)

There nothing special to see here. He’s not terrible and he’s not amazing, he does his job and won’t put his playing time in jeopardy. He could use some work, but I think this skill will be elevated sooner rather than later in preparation for the draft and again once he gets drafted.

Strength: Aggregate Score: 4 (Personal Score: 4)

He has good strength for a running back but, again, it’s not his calling card. What is specifically special about his strength comes in the area of his ball carrying. He keeps a great “5 points of contact” which is considered the best way to become almost impervious to fumbles. It worked well for him and I think that’s where his strength really matters, keeping that ball to his body.

Conclusion: 1st Round

It’s obviously based on roster construction but I don’t believe he should fall outside of the first round in rookie drafts. He’s one of the best backs in this class and I firmly believe he will stay that way unless he gets drafted behind Todd Gurley or someone of that nature.

Welcome to the 48 Report, a full working database including 48 of our favorite 2019 Draft Prospects. The key, however, is that we focus specifically on their ability to translate as […]

2019 NFL Draft 2

Brett Rypien: Late Round QB has 3 Star Potential

Brett Rypien (6’1, 210), Quarterback, Boise State

Welcome to the 48 Report, a full database of 48 of our favorite 2019 Draft Prospects. The key, however, is that we focus specifically on their ability to translate as fantasy football players. All players in the database have been scored by 3 writers, and this is their article; explaining their aggregate score, as well as the score of their writer. All categories are scored on a 1-5 scale; with 5 being the highest score a prospect can receive. The highest aggregate average scores a player can receive is 25. Articles will be posted January-April, all the way up to the draft. Ratings will be adjusted after the combine, based on measurables and after the draft, because as we all know: landing spot matters.

15.3 Aggregate Score (3 Star Prospect)

Brett Rypien is one of the smaller QBs in this less than savory draft, but the size takes nothing away from how good he can be. He did all the right things in college, ranking in the top 30 in several categories. On tape, he looks really good and reminds me of a shorter Drew Lock (who I love) and rightfully so. I came away with the feeling I rarely get with some of these prospects; he’s got the full package and I’m here to tell you why I believe he’ll be a top 5 QB from this class when it’s all said and done.

Arm Strength: Aggregate Score 4 (Personal Score 4)

Rypien doesn’t have that effortless rocket launcher like Haskins and Tyree Jackson, but he’s no slouch. Wherever the ball needs to be, he can get it there and with great velocity, especially on short routes. What this score of 4 says to me is that Rypien has got an above average arm and will do just fine in an NFL setting. You don’t need immaculate arm strength to succeed in the league.

Accuracy: Aggregate Score 3 (Personal Score 4)

Rypien was voted to have just an average arm and even received a 2 (below average) from one of our evaluators. I am not of the camp that thinks he isn’t above average with his accuracy. His issues lay in the fact that his receivers were not making the catches that they should have. It reminded me again of Drew Lock, who when Hall went down, the “other guys” struggled to make plays at the same level. His ball placement is one of the best in this class and will help separate him in the long run.

Decision Making: Aggregate Score 2.3 (Personal Score 3)

His decision making is not the best, but it’s not the worst either. I don’t think he’s below average as his aggregate score suggests, I just think he’s trying to force his options into plays that they can’t complete. It kind of goes into his accuracy “issues” where he’s trying to make up for what he doesn’t have on the field by making them better but he’s not quite there yet. I’m thinking he needs average to above average weapons early on to succeed until he gets better here. However, I absolutely think that he will be fine going through his progressions on the next level and does not struggle with that side of his game at all.

Athleticism: Aggregate Score 2.3 (Personal Score 3)

This is a metric I’m not too worried about given the style of QB I think he is (a pocket passer), but it is worth noting that he can “get out and boogey” similar to some other QBs in this draft. What I mean by “get out and boogey” is that these guys have the capability to escape when the pocket breaks down as well as run for some short yardage when a play breaks down.

Mechanics: Aggregate Score 3.6 (Personal Score 4)

Rypien is pretty good here but isn’t going to blow evaluators away. The only little red flag I have on him is that he doesn’t keep consistent in some games and ends up throwing wobblers. Those tight spirals you want to see get lost on him sometimes but again, I think that has to do with the same reasonings I had with his decision making. Trying to force the issue pulled him out of comfort zones in a bad way and caused his mechanics to be off. This is my issue with him and I know it’s something that can be corrected on the next level.

Conclusion: 4th-Waivers

There’s prospects that you want to let fall because there’s no way they get drafted. Rypien is not one of those prospects. I say that because in a few years (meaning he still needs to sit and learn) Rypien will easily be a starter in this league. He has patience, has the right ideas when operating out of the pocket and has enough mobility to not be excessively sacked. My best comp I can give for him in terms of career is this: He’ll be the QB12-15 most of his career with a pro bowl or two here or there and you can take that to the bank. I don’t feel like many of the QBs in this draft will even sniff that.

Brett Rypien (6’1, 210), Quarterback, Boise State Welcome to the 48 Report, a full database of 48 of our favorite 2019 Draft Prospects. The key, however, is that we focus […]

48R 19 TE 0

Tommy Sweeney: Fantasy Football UDFA Upside

Tommy Sweeney (6’5”, 260), Tight End, Boston College

20.6 Aggregate Score (4 Star Prospect)

Welcome to the 48 Report, a full working database including 48 of our favorite 2019 Draft Prospects. The key, however, is that we focus specifically on their ability to translate as fantasy football players. All players in the database have been/will be scored by 3 writers, and this is their article; explaining their aggregate score, as well as the score of their writer.

All categories are scored on a 1-5 scale; with 5 being the highest score a prospect can receive. The highest aggregate average scores a player can receive is 25. Articles will be posted January-April, all the way up to the draft. Ratings will be adjusted after the combine, based on measurables and after the draft, because as we all know: landing spot matters.

Tommy Sweeney was originally a 2 star tight end out of Don Bosco Prep  who committed to Boston College (his only D1 offer) in 2013. It’s pretty cool to see stories like his make it to the NFL. Who cares if you were a 5 star or a 1 star, he worked his tail off at the only place that gave him a chance and now here we are, writing about him as an NFL draft prospect. I have him ranked as my 11th TE out of 21 so far (it could change) and I really like his most important trait, his blocking. 

College Production

Like many of the tight ends we review in this report, he didn’t have a whole lot of production catch wise. From what we do have, his senior year was actually a down year for him but not his worst with 32 receptions for 348 yards (10.9 avg – career worst) and 3 TDs. His junior year was his best collecting 36 receptions for 512 yards (14.2 avg) and 4 TDs. Through further inspection, his QB play was really the suspect of all suspect and just not great. They were a run first team by a large margin behind 2020 draft darling AJ Dillon. Tommy Sweeney lead the team in receptions in his junior year and was 2nd in receptions in 2018. So it’s not like the opportunity wasn’t there, he just had a few more bigger games in 2017 than in 2018. 

Speed/Acceleration: Aggregate Score 3 (Personal Score 3)

We all agree that he’s just an average speed TE and that’s OK. Uber athleticism isn’t a need for TE success, its just a plus. What we must remember is that a TE is an offensive lineman-wide receiver hybrid which is why most if not all weigh 245+.

Route Running: Aggregate Score 2 (Personal Score 2)

As stated concerning his production, this team was really run heavy, so there wasn’t much room for showcasing this ability. What we took from the tape is that he was less than average for a TE but not the worst which means he has room to grow in this area. He ran a lot of slant and out routes to which he looked decent. The capability is there, don’t count him out. 

Blocking: Aggregate Score 5 (Personal Score 5)

This is his best quality and also ties him for the best rated blocker in our system along with TJ Hockenson. He had his issues as does any prospect but most importantly, he did very well in his NFL test against Clemson, the cream of the crop in this draft class in terms of defensive line prospects. He engaged his assignments until the whistle was blown similar to Hockenson (sans the aggressiveness Hock shows). 

Handwork/Positioning: Aggregate Score 2.5 (Personal Score 3)

Another one of those traits that aren’t exactly pertinent to TE success when you’re a traditional TE like Sweeney. Where he’s going to have success is in space finding somewhere to sit in a zone coming off the line. I can’t imagine he’ll be lined up all over like a Sternberger or Fant. The group scored him as below average and I see him as basically average in this metric, room to grow. 

Athleticism: Aggregate Score 3 (Personal Score 3)

His scores match his speed/acceleration scores, just average, but again I this won’t matter too much because he’ll be on the line a lot more than the other TEs in this class. He won’t make his hay off of his athleticism. 

Conclusion: Off Waivers

Landing spot won’t matter for him concerning fantasy value. He’ll take time to develop and he’ll be forgotten about. If your league has a deep taxi squad, then sure, pick him up. I think he’ll be middle of the ground in this class and will be usable from time to time as he grows, don’t forget the name though. He can definitely handle himself against NFL prospects blocking which is THE most important skill for a TE to have to get them on the field. 

 

Tommy Sweeney (6’5”, 260), Tight End, Boston College 20.6 Aggregate Score (4 Star Prospect) Welcome to the 48 Report, a full working database including 48 of our favorite 2019 Draft […]

2019 NFL Draft 1

DK Metcalf: 4 Star Prospect & the 1.01?

Welcome to the 48 Report, a full database of 48 of our favorite 2019 Draft Prospects. The key, however, is that we focus specifically on their ability to translate as fantasy football players. All players in the database have been scored by 3 writers, and this is their article; explaining their aggregate score, as well as the score of their writer. All categories are scored on a 1-5 scale; with 5 being the highest score a prospect can receive. The highest aggregate average scores a player can receive is 25. Articles will be posted January-April, all the way up to the draft. Ratings will be adjusted after the combine, based on measurables and after the draft, because as we all know: landing spot matters.

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DeKaylin Metcalf (6’4″, 225), Wide Receiver, Ole Miss           

18.6 Aggregate Score (4 Star Prospect)

Until writing this article, I had no idea what “D.K.” stood for until now. DeKaylin Metcalf is a prospect with NFL blood lines; his dad, uncle and grandfather all played in the NFL. Amazing athlete with an amazing name, “D.K.” has stolen the hearts of many since he entered the college football realm. I remember seeing pictures of this man-child who would play for Ole Miss and thought, “Oh man, this kid is going to be a problem!”

College Production: 

Unfortunately, he hasn’t had the biggest opportunity to set the college world on fire because of 2 season-ending injuries (one in his freshman year and one as a red-shirt sophomore). It gives me somewhat of a “cause to pause”, but given they aren’t persistent nagging injuries (like Emanuel Hall’s groin/hamstring issues), I cannot dock him too much for it. However, this type of injury history is something to keep an eye on.

Another reason he was stymied, was due to the fact that he played with an offense full of NFL talent in Scottie Phillips, AJ Brown, Demarkus Lodge and Dawson Knox. A lot of mouths to feed in Ole Miss, but he made the most of it.

Speed/Acceleration: Aggregate Score: 3.3 (Personal Score: 3)

This aspect of his game just reminds me of many guys his size: fast for his size but not necessarily blistering fast overall. The combine may change my thought process on that, but I just didn’t see the same speed that even his fellow “NWo” (Nasty-Wideouts) teammates have. I see him running 4.5-7 but being more of a game speed guy.

Route Running: Aggregate Score: 3.3 (Personal Score: 2)

This is one part of his game that I’m willing to be flexible with. There’s a lot of reports that their offensive scheme as a whole was a big time joke and lacked complexity. Because of this, we never saw him run anything outside of a bunch of go routes with a few curls or corner routes with go options. I still can’t give him much of a score here either because he didn’t excel off the line like he could have even with a simple route being ran all the time.

Blocking: Aggregate Score: 3 (Personal Score: 3)

Average at best. He didn’t do it a whole lot and wasn’t asked to. AJ Brown was their blocker supreme who used his size to lay dudes out. The odd part is he weighed the same amount as Metcalf, but Metcalf wasn’t really about blocking too much. To be fair, that’s OK, it won’t be a make or break like it would be with a running back.

Handwork/Positioning: Aggregate Score: 4.3 (Personal Score: 3)

Again, something that isn’t heavily in his game although he has the skill to get way better here. I’ve watched way to many receivers to give him a pass here. This isn’t scheme dependent, it’s player. When it came to utilizing receiver skill, he just seems unrefined.

Athleticism: Aggregate Score: 4.6 (Personal Score: 4)                                                                                                    

My favorite part of his game is his athleticism and he made sure to put it on display every chance he got. Where I think he lacks in pure electric speed, he makes up for it in spades here. Check out this JustBombsProductions tweet that really embodies what Metcalf is as a receiver.

Conclusion: First Round, Picks 1-3

I have him as my WR3 because of his raw ability/lack of refinement and injury history or otherwise he might be my 1.01. No matter how high I’m not on him, there’s no doubt that this kid is special and will fly off draft boards depending on who you play with. The only consensus that I’ve seen and also agree with, is that he’s top 3. If he falls below that I think he’ll be immediately deemed a steal.

Welcome to the 48 Report, a full database of 48 of our favorite 2019 Draft Prospects. The key, however, is that we focus specifically on their ability to translate as […]

48R 19 WR 0

Hakeem Butler: the Underrated 4 Star Prospect

Welcome to the 48 Report, a full database of 48 of our favorite 2019 Draft Prospects. The key, however, is that we focus specifically on their ability to translate as fantasy football players. All players in the database have been scored by 3 writers, and this is their article; explaining their aggregate score, as well as the score of their writer. All categories are scored on a 1-5 scale; with 5 being the highest score a prospect can receive. The highest aggregate average scores a player can receive is 25. Articles will be posted January-April, all the way up to the draft. Ratings will be adjusted after the combine, based on measurables and after the draft, because as we all know: landing spot matters.

Hakeem Butler (6’6″, 225), Wide Receiver, Iowa State           

21 Aggregate Score (4 Star Prospect)

Hakeem Butler is one of my favorite top tier receivers. I probably have him higher than most at the moment. He’s the best receiver in this class at his size. With him having a 6’6 frame, he’s bigger than most tight ends and definitely receivers.

This caused me to look at those who may have come before him to see what kind of success bigger receivers had and there hasn’t been many. Since 1989 (last 30 years), only 10 receivers his height or taller have managed game time of any sort. The most successful was QB convert Matt Jones with a season of 54 receptions on 107 targets for 761 yards and 2 TDs. The next best and most recent were Brandon Coleman and Tanner McEvoy. Coleman was waived from the Saints practice squad in 2018 and McEvoy was waived January of this year by the Bills.

The biggest difference between all these guys and Butler is that he’s had a much more productive career thus far and has a chance to be the best 6’6 non-TE the NFL has ever seen.


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College Production: 

RECYDsYard/CatchTD
2017 (Junior)4169717.07
2018 (Senior)601,31822.09

When you look at his statistics from his junior year, his yards and yards per catch standout. Considering he was on the middle to low end of receptions, he did very well for what he caught.

When you watch his tape you can absolutely see why. It also helps that he was in a respectable offense with a running back that will more than likely go in the top 6: David Montgomery. Butler definitely made them pay for having to respect Montgomery and his greatness from the backfield.

Speed/Acceleration: Aggregate Score: 3.3 (Personal Score: 4)

I’m higher on Butler than the other raters but I think it’s warranted. He’s not a gazelle no, but he moves very fast and has some great acceleration both in his routes and after the catch. I think it played a huge part in his YPC being so high.

Route Running: Aggregate Score: 4.6 (Personal Score: 5)

He has a great two-point stance & is smooth on his routes. From the tape I watched, he looks to be able to run the whole tree and that from each receiver position on the field. Iowa State definitely used him correctly and seemed to have gotten the most out of him.

Blocking: Aggregate Score: 3.3 (Personal Score: 2)

I’m a lot lower in this aspect because I didn’t see the desire to block from him nor the scheme to have him as a blocking receiver. Nothing so bad that it will hurt his stock and it can be improved if necessary.

Handwork/Positioning: Aggregate Score: 5 (Personal Score: 5)

We all agree that this kid has the ability to use his hands and it’s not his catching (although he’s good at that too); it’s his hand-fighting.

He’s so deceptive that you might even miss the moves he uses to create such great separation. He probably uses this trait more in tandem with his other abilities than any other prospect in this draft and that’s exactly what I love about him.

Athleticism: Aggregate Score: 4.6 (Personal Score: 4)                                                                                                    

The way he catches the ball is like artwork. He utilizes his size and frame to make things happen that solidify him in the top tier of receivers this draft. He also has some ups that make jump balls ridiculous for a defensive back (usually between 5’9-6’2) to even imagine going up and fighting for.

Conclusion: Top 5 pick

There should be no way he slides outside of the top 5 and I won’t have it any other way. If he falls to me outside of there, I will rejoice! My thing is really what NFL teams decide to do with him. I really hope they keep him as a mismatch wideout vs making him shift to tight end. It would be a shame. He’s way better at moving around the field and being a super mobile big-bodied weapon. He’s what some people wish JJ Arcega-Whiteside could be. Hakeem Butler is the real deal!

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2019 NFL Draft 1

Emanuel Hall: Burn or Be Burned with this 3 STAR Prospect

Welcome to the 48 Report, a full working database including 48 of our favorite 2019 Draft Prospects. The key, however, is that we focus specifically on their ability to translate as fantasy football players. All players in the database have been/will be scored by 3 writers, and this is their article; explaining their aggregate score, as well as the score of their writer.

All categories are scored on a 1-5 scale; with 5 being the highest score a prospect can receive. The highest aggregate average scores a player can receive is 25. Articles will be posted January-April, all the way up to the draft. Ratings will be adjusted after the combine, based on measurables and after the draft, because as we all know: landing spot matters.

Emanuel Hall  (6’3, 195), Wide Receiver, Missouri

15.3 Aggregate Score (3 Star Prospect)

Hall is an intriguing prospect, but can be perceived as a one trick pony. However, that’s not exactly a bad thing. It’s okay to be really good at one thing or area of the game. Still, it’s also probably the reason he obtained a 3 star rating from the raters collectively. His speed is absolutely his calling card.

College Production

When I went to look this kid up, my jaw dropped. How can someone catch so few receptions and still rack up the yardage he did? I’d soon find out it was his ability to separate with 95% speed and 5% of everything else.

His most productive seasons were his junior and senior years. In 2017, he had 33 receptions for 817 yards and 8 TDs. In 2018 he had 37 receptions for 828 yards and 6 TDs. The big part of both of those seasons is that he averaged 24.8 and 22.4 yards per catch.

The bad part is that he could’ve had 1,000 yard seasons if he stayed healthy. He’s never played a full season which is very concerning.

YearGames PlayedReceptionsReceiving YardsYPC
2015 (Freshmen)6
8648
2016 (Sophomore)81930716.2
2017 (Junior)103381724.8
2018 (Senior)83782822.4

Speed/Acceleration: Aggregate Score: 4.6 (Personal Score: 5)

As Chris Traeger from Parks and Rec would say, “This LITERALLY is his best trait”. A little sad we all didn’t score him as a five in this category because he is definitely one of the burners in this class. He’s quick off the jump and has a dangerous acceleration which normally gives him all the separation he needs.

Route Running: Aggregate Score: 3.6 (Personal Score: 3)

His technique isn’t the best, but he’s OK when it comes to route running. A 3 is deserving because he was schemed for fly routes mostly due to his speed. I don’t think he was able to really flesh out his capabilities. Even if he can’t, he has to work on his breaks, stems and breakdowns.

Blocking: Aggregate Score: 1 (Personal Score: 1)

He got a one. Nothing to see here. He shows zero effort or care here.

Handwork/Positioning: Aggregate Score: 2.6 (Personal Score: 2)

He flashed this skill a little, but not much due to the fact that he continuously burned guys left and right. When he did utilize his handwork it was to slap a hand off of his shoulder or something before the ball was received. His positioning however, was great and he was right where he needed to be a lot of the time.

Athleticism: Aggregate Score: 4 (Personal Score: 4)

Again, something he flashed and also something I believe he will show a lot better at the next level. I like his size combined with his athletic ability and it will make him a great asset on the outside to help take the top off of the defense.

Conclusion: 2nd-Early 3rd

The more receivers I watch, the more he has fallen. Right now, I have him in my top 15 but his soft tissue injuries (groin and hamstring) are somewhat of a red flag. The hope for him here is that he ends up with a big armed QB. Most of his yardage was from the distance he covered previous to the catch not after. A big play threat with good hands and size who could be had for the cheap.

Welcome to the 48 Report, a full working database including 48 of our favorite 2019 Draft Prospects. The key, however, is that we focus specifically on their ability to translate […]

Uncategorized 0

Tyree Jackson: a Spicy 3 Star Prospect that Needs Seasoning

Welcome to the 48 Report, a full working database including 48 of our favorite 2019 Draft Prospects. The key, however, is that we focus specifically on their ability to translate as fantasy football players. All players in the database have been/will be scored by 3 writers, and this is their article; explaining their aggregate score, as well as the score of their writer.

All categories are scored on a 1-5 scale; with 5 being the highest score a prospect can receive. The highest aggregate average scores a player can receive is 25. Articles will be posted January-April, all the way up to the draft. Ratings will be adjusted after the combine, based on measurables and after the draft, because as we all know: landing spot matters.

Tyree Jackson (6’7”, 245) Quarterback, Buffalo

16 Aggregate Score (3 Star Prospect)

My score was the highest on Tyree (17) and it’s because I became smitten with his game, measurables and potential. When I see Tyree and his size, it’s hard not to think about Big Ben. It’s kind of funny too because he plays in the MAC just like Ben did and he has two really good receivers reminiscent of Antonio Brown and Juju.

I heard of the hype train on this kid during the season, but now that I’ve had time to break down his tape, I’m starting to understand.

College Production

Before his knee injury, Tyree had his best season as a rusher as a redshirt freshman with 99 attempts for 399 yards in 9 starts. After the injury in his sophomore year, he rushed a lot less because of the hesitancy that comes with any knee injury, but began getting comfortable again in his junior season along with becoming a better passer.

He had his best season as a passer in his junior season where he was 28th in passing yards, throwing for 3,131 yards. Even still, his production doesn’t make up for his exciting play when you actually see him on film.

Arm Strength: Aggregate Score: 4.3 (Personal Score: 5)

I was the highest rater of his arm strength because, the way he launches it is just ridiculous. There’s so much power and velocity on it, I don’t see how receivers actually manage to catch these throws.

Accuracy: Aggregate Score: 2.6 (Personal Score: 3)

It’s not good and it’s not bad either, so that’s why I rated him middle of the road when it came to landing it on target. Some plays it looked like a professional back there dropping dimes left and right. Other times it was not fun to watch how off the mark he was capable of being.

Decision Making: Aggregate Score: 2 (Personal Score: 2)

This metric is the basis for the previous two. This is part of the reason why I think his potential is high. I think he has the accuracy and arm strength to be really good. It’s his decision making that gets him into trouble.

Instead of putting touch on the ball in short yardage situations, he mostly threw it too hard. In times where he needed to use touch, he overthrew it. I didn’t see him under throw it which is good, it means he isn’t inconsistent he just needs to have a regulator coached into that rocket arm.

Athleticism: Aggregate Score: 3.6 (Personal Score: 3)

I may come higher on this score, it just doesn’t seem like he has above average athleticism. It could be a case of him not really trusting his legs fully yet, so we’ll see.

Mechanics: Aggregate Score: 3.3 (Personal Score: 4)

This is another part of his game I was really high on. He looks great in the pocket and his throwing motion from there is fluid. He has times where he throws across his body/on the run that look bad, but even those look good at times. Another aspect of his game I just expect big time growth.

Conclusion: Mid 3rd-Early 4th Round

Location, location, location. That landing spot is going to matter a lot going forward. Is he going to a QB needy team? Is he going to a confidence killing coach? Is he going to sit behind a good QB with good habit? All questions that will determine his success (as with anyone else) and growth. If he ends up in the right place, I see his potential making him a top 3 QB in this class down the road, just not right now. He’ll definitely go when the QB run inevitably happens. If you miss out on guys like Grier, Kyler, Lock or Haskins, you can’t go wrong with him. You may have to wait, but it’ll be worth it.

Welcome to the 48 Report, a full working database including 48 of our favorite 2019 Draft Prospects. The key, however, is that we focus specifically on their ability to translate as […]

28R 19 QB 2

Will Grier, QB1?: 4 Star Fantasy Prospect

Welcome to the 48 Report, a full working database including 48 of our favorite 2019 Draft Prospects. The key, however, is that we focus specifically on their ability to translate as fantasy football players. All players in the database have been/will be scored by 3 writers, and this is their article; explaining their aggregate score, as well as the score of their writer.

All categories are scored on a 1-5 scale; with 5 being the highest score a prospect can receive. The highest aggregate average scores a player can receive is 25. Articles will be posted January-April, all the way up to the draft. Ratings will be adjusted after the combine, based on measurables and after the draft, because as we all know: landing spot matters.

Will Grier (6’2”, 223) Quarterback, West Virginia

18.3 Aggregate Score (4 Star Prospect)

As far as scores go, Grier is our top rated QB thus far and it doesn’t look like that’s going to change too much. He may slide a little but I don’t think he falls to past QB5. The allure for Grier is: he’s the old fart aka mature. If it were the dating world he’d be the guy deemed husband material, the one you actually take home to meet the parents.

He’s got a polished game and seems the most pro-ready out of the QBs we’ve broken down so far. He’s not flashy, but he gets the job done and has some great accuracy to boot.

College Production

After being suspended by the NCAA for a year for use of a banned substance, Grier took his talents to West Virginia.  From there he made his stamp as one of the top QBs. In 2017 he ranked 5th in passing efficiency rating, 6th in passing yards per attempt, 8th in passing TDs, top 20 in both pass completion percentage and passing yards all while throwing for 34 TDs, 3490 yds and 12 ints. 

In 2018, he did even better going for 3rd in passing efficiency rating, 4th in passing yards per attempt, 5th in passing TDs, top 15 in passing completion percentage, top 10 in passing yards while throwing for 37 TDs, 3864 yds and 8 ints.

He’s shown growth both from what happened to begin his collegiate career and statistically. Both good signs going into the NFL draft.

Arm Strength: Aggregate Score: 4 (Personal Score: 4)

We all agree here that he has a great arm when it comes to arm strength. He can get the ball anywhere it needs to be on the field with ease. Where he may struggle is enough strength to get the ball velocity needed for tight window throws.

Which reminds me of what Eric Adams (@TheFF_Taters) said on the FFanalysts Podcast: “Not enough arm strength to force throws like in the Kansas game where he paid for it (3 INTs)”. 

Accuracy: Aggregate Score: 4.6 (Personal Score: 5)

His accuracy is beautiful, especially after watching some of the other QBs up until this point. He is one out of 2 QBs I have given the accuracy badge called throwing a quarter into a jukebox (see Smooth Criminal). I could watch his back-shoulder passes ALL NIGHT LONG (all night), especially between the 40-20 range of the field and its a big reason why I rated him the highest we can in this metric.

He has his issues as any prospect would like throwing below the numbers or overthrowing which both can be tightened up as he progresses.

Decision Making: Aggregate Score: 3.3 (Personal Score: 4)

He absolutely goes through the progressions and is super patient. I clocked him most of the time at about 5+ seconds per snap before releasing the ball which is fine but in the NFL he’ll have to be better than that. It would be ok if he was good at scrambling, but he’s not. Under pressure, he’s not very good.

Athleticism: Aggregate Score: 3 (Personal Score: 2)

Can get out and boogey if he needs to. He’s ok athletically, average at best. Had 3 rushing TDs that looked more like a great read in open space over him actually making something happen with his feet. When the pocket breaks down, he’s getting sacked every time. He wont be Tom Brady, but he’s no Taysom Hill er..uhm..I mean Cam Newton. 

Mechanics: Aggregate Score: 3.3 (Personal Score: 4)

Looks very polished in this part of his game. His release is like that of a person launching a tomahawk (as opposed so some throwing like pitchers). There’s also no hitch in his throwing motion and he stays on the balls of his feet very well.

Conclusion: Late 2nd-3rd 

Let’s be real, in 1 QB drafts, he nor anyone else besides maybe Kyler Murray and Haskins (bleh) will go in the late 1st. However, I don’t realistically see any QB coming off the board until the 2nd round due to the depth of receiver in this draft as well as the RB gems that’re here as well. In superflex/2QB, he should be going in the top of the 2nd for sure. I will definitely have a share or two of him myself.

Welcome to the 48 Report, a full working database including 48 of our favorite 2019 Draft Prospects. The key, however, is that we focus specifically on their ability to translate as […]

Fantasy Football 0

Redraft Waiver Wire Targets: Championship Week

If you’re reading this, you’ve won, again! You’re on your way to the ship! For a lot of you, this is the end of it all. One last push for the belt, trophy, CASH or bragging rights. This could also solidify people in consolation rounds trying to win 3rd place (my work league 3rd and 4th get payouts). Either way, this is our second to last week before the fantasy season is over. Make it count!

Due to our scheduled releases, this will be completed before the Monday night games as well as before I’ve had time to digest every game in depth. So with that being said,  stay tuned to my tweets for more gems later on in the week and Follow THE Fantasy Vigilante HERE!

Quarterbacks:

I’m sticking with my thought process of not leaving your chances of winning in the hands of what’s left out there. So again, here’s the only one I trust:

Josh Allen

ESPN OWN %: 31.4

YAHOO OWN%: 23

His running backs are made of glass and he looks good running the ball. He’s becoming a threat to both run for high yardage and throw for enough to be beneficial. He and Robert Foster having been finding a great connection and it’s been great for his long ball. The Pats aren’t doing much to stop anybody these days and mobile QBs like Mitch Trubisky gave them heck in week 7. Even still, QBs are coming in and throwing for 250+ and a couple of TDs which is at least a good floor ceiling for him and production.

Wide Receivers:

Dante Pettis

ESPN OWN %: 37.2

YAHOO OWN%: 52

He’s going to get volume, we know this. The bears have been allowing the yardage to receivers but not the TDs. He’s a flex at best in this matchup with the Bears more than likely putting lots of pressure on Mullens.

Robert Foster

ESPN OWN %: 3.3

YAHOO OWN%: 14

It didn’t make me feel good last week but I advised you all to go after him anyway. Well it seemed to pan out for those who took the plunge and I don’t think it’s going to stop this week against the Pats. I can’t recommend Josh Allen and not talk up his favorite weapon.

DaeSean Hamilton

ESPN OWN %: 24.1

YAHOO OWN%: 22

He faces a easy secondary and he’s been being loved by Keenum who typically favors the slot guy. Think of Hamilton as Theilen and Sutton as Diggs. Another helpful play here for those who need it although, the floor is lower than one would like because of the amount that Keenum actually throws (197.7 yards and 1 TD per game avg).

Robby Anderson

ESPN OWN %: 18

YAHOO OWN%: 27

He will probably be one of the hotter pickups this week as he and Darnold are finding the same kind of Chemistry that Allen and Foster have found. With him being a deep threat, that always means he has a high probability of getting big gains and TDs relatively quickly, so the receptions may not be there but production will be. Treat him as a WR3 with WR1 as his upside, typically what you’d expect from a boom bust player.

Running Backs:

Latavius Murray

ESPN OWN %: 40.5

YAHOO OWN%: 49

Looking back at his history, Murray generally has a decent game if he manages to eke out 15 carries. As long as he can get that against Detroit, he’ll be a fine RB2 play. Less available but may still be out there.

Elijah McGuire

ESPN OWN %: 33.4

YAHOO OWN%: 33

The packers are better at defending the pass than they are with the run which makes this a good spot for anyone able to get a hold of him. Averaging about 15 ppr points since Crowell went down, Elijah is looking like a fine play for week 16.

Kenneth Dixon

ESPN OWN %: 11.4

YAHOO OWN%: 27

Still widely available, Kenneth is worth the pickup purely based on the fact that the Ravens are running SO much. Add the fact that the Chargers just allowed Damien Williams and Darrel Williams to have very good games bodes well for Dixon, Gus and Lamar.

Tight End:

C.J. Uzomah

ESPN OWN %: 30.9

YAHOO OWN%: 29

With Boyd now out for the duration, he should see extra looks. The other receiving options outside of Mixon, Ross and Bernard are gross so I’ll stick to what I said last week:

He’s averaging 3 receptions a game which is a good baseline for your tight end in this wasteland. If he’s available, he should be on your roster because he’s alive and gets looks every game. Not really much going out there for the tight end position.”

You set yourself up in the draft, you win through waivers! Check the transaction wire and go get your #waiverxmas on and come home with a #Top2TypeVictory!

If you’re reading this, you’ve won, again! You’re on your way to the ship! For a lot of you, this is the end of it all. One last push for […]

Fantasy Football 0

Redraft Waiver Wire Targets: Week 15


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If you’re reading this, you’ve won. You progressed to the semi-finals. You need a pickup or two to solidify your options for game-day (don’t freak out, we help with start-sit questions too). You may even be in a pinch like I was, afraid to start your non-stud guys and need a capable stand-in. That’s what we’re here for, breath and read on.

Due to our scheduled releases, this will be completed before the Monday night games as well as before I’ve had time to digest every game in depth. So with that being said,  stay tuned to my tweets for more gems later on in the week and Follow THE Fantasy Vigilante HERE!

Quarterbacks:

There’s only one QB I’d possibly trust, as a last ditch option, this deep in the playoffs:

Josh Allen

ESPN OWN %: 16.9

YAHOO OWN%: 14

He’s giving us his best throwback Cam Newton impersonation and putting together pretty good fantasy games. In the last three weeks he has at least thrown and ran for a touchdown or both. Along with the fact that he’s getting you 99+ yards on the ground and 150 through the air, it makes him at worst, a safe play. Detroit isn’t a team that I’d be shaking in my boots playing my QB against either, so fire him up.

Wide Receivers:

Dante Pettis

ESPN OWN %: 19.6

YAHOO OWN%: 46

Very solid 3 weeks after the bye, Pettis has had 7 targets every single game. He’s turned those into 5,4 and 3 receptions for at least 50 yards and a TD. Couple that with a little recency bias of him facing the Seahawks this week who he gave a nice 5/123/2 and you have a wonderful wr3 with wr2 upside.With Goodwin and Brieda being healthy and “Kittles N Bits” taking the attention of the defense, it’ll only help.

Robert Foster

ESPN OWN %: Available

YAHOO OWN%: Available

This doesn’t make me feel good, but I can’t deny what he’s been which is playable. Outside of the game against MIA, he’s been great as a flex/wr3. Sneakily averaging 90+ yards on about 3 receptions per game, he is a most certainly “boom-bust” type. Not something you want to depend on during the playoffs, but sometimes that’s what it takes. Keep an eye on Zay Jones as well, the target share is there, with 8 per game over the last 4 weeks.

Curtis Samuel

ESPN OWN %: 32.5

YAHOO OWN%: 31

Didn’t even bother to take Curtis off from last week because I believe in him and the match-up he has AGAIN. New Orleans doesn’t have the strongest secondary and has allowed the #1 and #2 to routinely have good enough yardage games to not sink your ships. I have him in two places currently in the playoffs and who knows, he could be a sneaky championship piece. He’s getting opportunity to make use of his ability and capitalizing. Add to the fact that he’s had good games the last two weeks (15.6, 12 PPR) without touchdowns makes me feel safe. Add a touchdown to these games and we’re looking at a waiver wire week winner.

Running Backs:

Kenneth Dixon

ESPN OWN %: 2.6

YAHOO OWN%: 8

Everyone’s darling from a while ago, Dixon has started to round back into form and steal from Gus Edwards. With them running as much as they do and having TB on the docket next, Kenneth wouldn’t be a terrible flex in a pinch. They have allowed over 100 yards to the RB position over the last few weeks and I don’t imagine they’ll be able to slow down Dixon, Gus and Lamar enough.

Damien Williams

ESPN OWN %: 14

YAHOO OWN%: 17

If for some reason Ware can’t go or is limited, this would be the next man up. He’s seen enough to at least warrant a flex play and on a short week with not much out there RB wise, he is an option with some upside.

Tight End:

Vernon Davis

ESPN OWN %: 4.9

YAHOO OWN%: 5

Anytime Reed goes down, Davis is ready to step up. Davis is a solid replacement and a perfect security blanket for dump offs and shallow routes with a 4 string QB. Fire him up if you need him.

C.J. Uzomah

ESPN OWN %: 30.9

YAHOO OWN%: 29

He’s averaging 3 receptions a game which is a good baseline for your tight end in this wasteland. If he’s available, he should be on your roster because he’s alive and gets looks every game. Not really much going out there for the tight end position

You set yourself up in the draft, you win through waivers! Check the transaction wire and go get your #waiverxmas on and come home with a #Top2TypeVictory!


Want an easy, non-intimidating way to try DFS? Check out DRAFT with a free $3 entry.Use promo code “Top2”

If you’re reading this, you’ve won. You progressed to the semi-finals. You need a pickup or two to solidify your options for game-day (don’t freak out, we help with start-sit […]

Fantasy Football 0

Redraft Waiver Wire Targets: Week 14


Is your league missing sweet silverware for your champion? Save 10% on ALL merchandise from Fantasy Champs with promo code “Top2”

Inhale deep, now exhale and give a Rick Flair-esque “wooo!” because you’ve made it. It’s playoff time and you’re ready to tinker and tweak those lineups to advance past round one!

Due to our scheduled releases, this will be completed before the Monday night games as well as before I’ve had time to digest every game in depth. So with that being said,  stay tuned to my tweets for more gems later on in the week and Follow THE Fantasy Vigilante HERE!

Quarterbacks:

Let’s be honest, if you made it this far, it wasn’t on the backs of some of the guys that are left. I won’t suggest QBs that are left at less than 50% own rate because they’re all bound to lose you the first round. Moving on.

Wide Receivers:

Tre’Quan Smith

ESPN OWN %: 43

YAHOO OWN%: 42

Frequently mentioned on this article, Smith continues to be a waiver wire darling ( I still have him in a few places). Tampa Bay is the team you want to green light all your players against and Smith is healthy. If you’re in need of a flex against a bad secondary, he’s one of the guys you should seek.

Adam Humphries

ESPN OWN %: 41.2

YAHOO OWN%: 50

Humphries has been having a quiet but great 4 weeks averaging 14.7 PPG. Even with the possible return of Desean Jackson looming, he won’t effect what Adam has going on. Godwin is another possible candidate here with the way he’s catching everything that comes his way, but may be stifled by Jackson’s return. Keep both in mind as wr3/flex plays this week.

Curtis Samuel

ESPN Own %: 12.5

YAHOO OWN%: 18

Didn’t even bother to take Curtis off from last week because I believe in him and the matchup he has. With Greg Olsen down, Funchess, Moore, CMC and Samuel with shoulder a heavier load going forward, not Ian Thomas. Which means more end around/motion plays that get him and Moore open where they can create in open space. Cleveland is that get right game for the Panthers and with no real #1 right now all three will have time on weaker defenders (even though CLE isn’t a pushover).

Running Backs:

Rashaad Penny

ESPN OWN %: 21.5

YAHOO OWN%: 30

With Mike Davis not running well and Carson injured, Penny could be in line for some heavier work. Minnesota isn’t shutting down the run game but they aren’t a walk in the park either. I look for this to be a matchup where he can manage to be a flex play at best with Mike Davis still getting most of the targets (Penny hasn’t been targeted in the last 4 weeks).

Ty Montgomery

ESPN OWN %: 13.1

YAHOO OWN%: 13

One of my favorite “scat-backs” from the offseason, Ty Mont is becoming a viable weapon for Lamar. He’s over 50 yards and at least 3+ receptions in the last two games. That should continue against KC seeing how Richard looked against them (126 yards from scrimmage). Depending on how Lamar slings it, I’d call Ty Mont a back end RB2. Gus Edwards should have a flex worthy game as well with the offense being more run oriented.

Jeff Wilson Jr.

ESPN OWN %: 0

YAHOO OWN%: 2

With Brieda missing this week (alert dropped while writing this) and Jeff having a great game last week, that makes him a great flex play against DEN. We have to expect Alfred Morris to be active but if Jeff sees any where close to what he got last week, he’ll be a fine play with RB2 upside in an offense that allows production.

Tight End:

Mark Andrews

ESPN OWN %: 1.6

YAHOO OWN%: 2

If you’re hurting at the position and can’t just let your TE spot sit empty, Andrews is your guy out of the few that are available. He’s the most productive TE on the team and KC isn’t exactly limiting any one position, especially the TE. In the last three games, they have allowed over 100 yards to the position.

Trust me, I’m right there with you in the waiver battlefields. I’ve tried every form of drafting strategy and they have little to no effect on my rosters because of, say it with me now, WAIVERS! As far as my redraft leagues go, 3 out of the 5 teams I have are going to the playoffs and most of the 21 teams I have lead the league in scoring and I hope this article has helped you accomplish the same.

You set yourself up in the draft, you win through waivers! Check the transaction wire and go get your #waiverxmas on and come home with a #Top2TypeVictory!


Want an easy, non-intimidating way to try DFS? Check out DRAFT with a free $3 entry.Use promo code “Top2”

Inhale deep, now exhale and give a Rick Flair-esque “wooo!” because you’ve made it. It’s playoff time and you’re ready to tinker and tweak those lineups to advance past round […]

Fantasy Football 0

Redraft Waiver Wire Targets: Week 13


Want an easy, non-intimidating way to try DFS? Check out DRAFT with a free $3 entry.Use promo code “Top2”

We’re done with byes, playoffs are starting or will start for some in week 14 and everyone is at full strength. The question now is what do you do? Well, injuries still happen as well as roster tinkering. Just because you made it to the playoff doesn’t mean waiver wire picking stops. You ride that skill to the championships!

Due to our scheduled releases, this will be completed before the Monday night games as well as before I’ve had time to digest every game in depth. So with that being said,  stay tuned to my tweets for more gems later on in the week and Follow THE Fantasy Vigilante HERE!

Case Keenum

ESPN OWN %: 9.2

YAHOO OWN%: 16

Being a Steelers fan, this pains me to even have him on this article. However, in this line of work we must remain unbiased so here goes. You’ve lost Alex Smith, Bortles got benched, Dalton is out for the year and there just isn’t a lot of guys you feel comfortable starting. Case Keenum should be worth taking the shot. His schedule is relatively easy down the stretch so that should be some extra confidence for player looking for a QB replacement. For reference his remaining schedule is: CIN, SF, CLE, OAK.

Josh Allen

ESPN OWN %: 1.5

YAHOO OWN%: 3

I’m not saying shirk your starters for the guy, but if you need a QB replacement, give him a shot. He just performed pretty well against JAX who isn’t a slouch defensively although they’ve been under-performing. His slate only gets easier to wind down the season with the next 3 being MIA, NYJ and DET.

Matt LaCosse

ESPN OWN %: 0

YAHOO OWN%: 0 

Heuerman is out for the season and Matt should be the next man up. If you need assistance at the TE position and maybe in a deeper league than normal, Matt could end up being good for you. He didn’t look bad at all out there against the Steelers and like Keenum, he has a decent schedule ahead of him.

Chris Herndon

ESPN OWN %: 9.9

YAHOO OWN%: 8

Again, another replacement level TE, Herndon gets enough opportunity share to be a viable option. He’s also getting looks in the redzone which is one of the better ways of measuring the players chances of getting into the endzone. His opportunity seems to have not changed between McCown and Darnold, so his production should be safe despite which QB is in.

Josh Reynolds

ESPN OWN %: 33.8

YAHOO OWN%: 51

He may be out of range for you Yahoo players, but as always ESPN is behind the curb. Reynolds is in the Cooper Kupp role and so far he hasn’t been bad. If you need a decent flex option in a pinch, Reynolds is definitely an option. With an offense like the Rams, he’s gonna see his fair share of opportunity to produce.

Adam Humphries

ESPN Own %: 28.2

Yahoo Own%: 30

This offense spreads the ball around a lot and Adam has been benefiting from it. In the last month he has been very easily a great flex option out performing expected production. Getting roughly 6 targets a game, he’s worth a shot to shore up your receiver corps.

Bruce Ellington

ESPN OWN %: 0

YAHOO OWN%: 0 

Purely based on the targets alone he’s worth a shot. With Marvin Jones down for the season he has to be a big part of the passing offense along with Kenny and Theo, so he’ll have a high floor on a nightly basis.

Dontrelle Inman

ESPN OWN %: 8.3

YAHOO OWN%: 2

Consistent and a high catch rate. Two things I want out of my fantasy options and Inman gives them to you. With the news breaking about Jack Doyle being down for the year, I expect him along with TY and Eric to see more looks the rest of the season. From what I can see, he seems to be a trustworthy option for Andrew Luck.

Curtis Samuel

ESPN Own %: 6.3

YAHOO OWN%: 9

My guy Hilal @hjchami on twitter beats the drum for this guys harder than anyone I know and I’m starting to see why. Samuel’s month of production has been with limited touches but he does SO much with them. With his uptick in production, he and Moore should see more work and make Torrey Smith ghost and maybe even steal some show from Funchess as well. He really is a high ceiling-low floor type of guy.

C.J. Uzomah

ESPN OWN %: 30.1 

YAHOO OWN%: 29

From what I’ve read and looked over, his production wont change with Driskel at the helm. Even though he’s not blowing the doors off, he’s contributing enough to be a viable option at your tight end spot. If they decide not to bring AJ Green back, he’ll see a lot of targets alongside Boyd.

My new plea to you all for this part of the season is to continue to watch the waivers. Not because of bye weeks wrecking teams, but teams are out of the playoffs so drops will happen. Also, with teams back at full strength, “placeholder players” will also be dropped and if you’re struggling with depth, this is still a great time to continue to tinker.

You set yourself up in the draft, you win through waivers! Go get your #waiverxmas on and come home with a #Top2TypeVictory!


Is your league missing sweet silverware for your champion? Save 10% on ALL merchandise from Fantasy Champs with promo code “Top2”

We’re done with byes, playoffs are starting or will start for some in week 14 and everyone is at full strength. The question now is what do you do? Well, […]