Matt Hicks, Staff Writer
Jimmy Garoppolo vs JAX
Garoppolo has been nothing but impressive since taking over the starting job in San Francisco, going 77-113 for 1,008 passing yards and 2 touchdowns. This week, however, he faces off against Jacksonville’s defense; who has allowed just 190 yards per game to opposing quarterbacks and have more interceptions (20) than touchdowns allowed (14). He’s going to be a great quarterback, but not in Week 16.
Tom Brady vs BUF
Brady has fallen off since Week 13; completing just 62% of his passes (67-108) and throwing 2 more interceptions (4) than touchdowns (2). He’s failed to record a touchdown in one of those games, and didn’t break the 300-yard mark once. In Week 16 he faces off against Buffalo, who held him to 258 yards, no touchdowns, and an interception in Week 13. Buffalo has allowed the 3rd least fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks this season and has allowed the least fantasy points over the last two weeks. It’s tough to bench Brady, but consider him a low-end QB1; who can be replaced for players with better match-ups this week.
Samaje Perrine vs DEN
Perrine’s 15 minutes (or 3 weeks) of fantasy glory are over; the once promising back has just 120 yards on 33 carries (2.8 yards/carry) since Week 13. In Week 16, Perrine plays the Broncos; who have allowed the 7th least fantasy points to opposing running backs this season. Over the last two weeks, Denver has allowed just 90 yards on 36 carries (2.5 yards/carry) and they’ve allowed just one touchdown to running backs over the last 4 weeks. Perrine should be considered as a flex option only in very deep leagues.
Carlos Hyde vs JAX
Hyde has rushed for 100 yards just once this season, and has rushed for more than 55 yards just once over the last 3 weeks. He’s scored just one touchdown since Week 6, and was shutdown in Week 15 against Tennessee; only putting up 25 yards on 16 carries (1.6 yards/carry). Jacksonville hasn’t allowed a touchdown to opposing running backs over the last 4 weeks; allowing just 91.5 rushing yards/game over that time-span. Hyde should be considered a flex play this week, and avoided in all but deep leagues.
Sterling Shepard vs ARI
Shepard showed up big against the Eagles in Week 15; he did so, however, on 16 targets. Shepard mas seen more than 10 targets just twice this season, and he saw just 9 total targets in Weeks 13 and 14. In those weeks, he totaled just 72 yards and 0 touchdowns. In Week 16 Shepard matches-up against Arizona; who has allowed the 4th least fantasy points over the last 2 weeks. They’ve allowed just 18 receptions over those two weeks, and 97.5 total yards/game to opposing wideouts. Shepard should be left on the bench; except in the deepest of PPR leagues.
Robby Anderson vs LAC
Anderson saw a high volume of targets in his first game against Bryce Petty, but caught just 5 of his 12 targets (42%). In Week 16, he gets a tougher match-up; against the Chargers who have allowed just 105 yards/game to opposing wide receivers over the last 4 weeks. In that same time-span, they’ve allowed just one touchdown; which seriously limits the upside of this possession based receiver who is struggling to remain fantasy relevant following the McCown injury. Consider Anderson a flex option, only in PPR leagues this week.
Jason Witten vs SEA
Witten’s recent success has been based, primarily, on his ability to score 2 touchdowns in his last 3 games. In Week 16 he will have to score against the Seahawks who have allowed no touchdowns to opposing tight ends over the last 4 weeks and only 4 touchdowns to the position on the season. Witten is always a boom/bust play, and this week seems all but certain to be a bust; leave him on your bench.
Greg Olsen vs TB
Last week we saw the Greg Olsen we’ve been hoping for; the monster player that can catch 9 passes for 116 yards and a touchdown. Those 116 yards, however, are 3x the total yardage he’s gained in his other 4 healthy starts this season. In Week 16 the Panthers play the Buccaneers; who shutdown opposing tight ends; allowing the 2nd most fantasy points to them this season. They’ve allowed just 3 touchdowns all season to opposing tight ends and are allowed an average of 4 receptions for 43 yards per game to them. It’s easy to get excited about Olsen, but you didn’t start him last week and you shouldn’t start him this week either.
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