Week 14 RB/TE Start ’em Sit ’em

Like the rest of the fantasy universe, Derrick Henry was not in my starting lineup. He wasn’t even on my radar for this article. Why? Because he has stunk for the entire season. I wouldn’t have bothered entering him in my Sit ‘Em section because it was obvious.

I’ve heard a report that he was started in approximately 10% of leagues. I’m guessing that more than half of that 10% was on teams who threw in the towel early and walked away from their league leaving the same lineup that was in place in week 6.

If, by chance, you started Derrick Henry on purpose, not only have you likely won your week but you also win my Stupid Brave Award.

Let’s discuss some starts and sits.

Running Back: Start ’em

JUSTIN JACKSON (LOS ANGELES CHARGERS)

In week 13, the Chargers traveled to Pittsburgh. Pittsburgh is a team that is good and solidly in the playoff hunt. Justin Jackson rushed 8 times for 63 yards and scored a touchdown. This week, the Chargers stay home. The weather is nicer and they’re near the ocean. Oh, I almost forgot, they’re playing against the Bubonic Plague…..oops, I mean Cincinnati Bengals.

The Bengals have lost four games in a row. During that four week stretch, they have allowed almost 1000 yards and exactly 10 touchdowns either on the ground or specifically to the Running Back position. I’ll do the math for you: 250 yards and 2.5 touchdowns per game. In standard leagues (no PPR), that’s 40 points per game. That is a gigantic pie.

“But, what about Austin Ekeler?” says my doubting reader. Here is a direct quote from head coach, Anthony Lynn, “He’s [Austin Ekeler] wearing down a little bit. He’s a core special teams guy for us and he’s played a lot of running back for us. So he’s a little tired. You might see Justin (Jackson) play a little bit more.”

My case is closed. Justin Jackson will be an RB1 this week. I might create a strategy on my DRAFT drafts this week to leave my final RB slot open until the last pick and grab Justin Jackson. (Use the code TOP2 for a special gift for new users.)

JAYLEN SAMUELS (PITTSBURGH STEELERS)

The Steelers do not spread the ball around when it comes to running plays. On the ground, James Conner is responsible for 81% of the Running Back rushing yards (909 out of 1117). When you add in the passing work involving Running Backs, that 81% gets even higher!

Let’s stop pretending that Stevan Ridley will get a share. If Stevan Ridley was good, he’d still be on the Patriots, or the Jets, or the Falcons. Let’s collectively forget the 2012 season when Stevan Ridley was the RB10 overall. Trent Richardson was RB9 that year, are we talking about him anymore?

Jaylen Samuels will get the lion’s share of the running back work against the miserable running defense that is the Oakland Raiders. The Steelers have company in the AFC North and they are surging; the Baltimore Ravens are in the mix and even the Browns are still alive. The Steelers will need every win.

You get bonus points if you’re in a Yahoo league and can start Jaylen Samuels in your Tight End slot. Ridiculous? Without a doubt but, we’re here to win.

Running Back: Sit ’em

MARLON MACK (INDIANAPOLIS COLTS)

This is going to be a tough week for Running Backs who play for the Colts. Well, except maybe Nyheim Hines. The Colts travel to Houston to play the Texans who have won 9 games in a row and have a frightening defensive line. This is no time to be a hero, keep Marlon Mack on your bench.

The Colts will likely be playing from behind. They may have to abandon the run game early on. Marlon Mack is not a big man. He’s 2 inches taller and 10 pounds heavier than Nyheim Hines who most analysts consider a small back. Between his size and the abandonment of the run game, he will not have the opportunity to wear down the Texans defense. Find your points somewhere else.

JOSH ADAMS (PHILADELPHIA EAGLES)

This one is more of a “temper your expectations” call. You’re going to start Josh Adams. He’s clearly the lead back on a team that should be doing much better. Unfortunately, they will be traveling to Dallas to play a Cowboys defense that isn’t very fond of allowing fantasy points to opposing Running Backs. In the last three weeks, the Cowboys faced the Falcons, the Redskins, and the Saints. The running back position for three teams (including the powerhouse Saints), combined, gained just over 300 yards and scored 1 touchdown. That’s less than 13 points per game to the position in non-PPR scoring. Josh Adams gets slightly more than half of the touches for the position, so that equates to about 7.5 points. Does that sound like somebody you want in your playoff roster? I didn’t think so.

Tight End: Start ’em

Sigh, here we go again.

TREY BURTON (CHICAGO BEARS)

Hang on, I just threw up a little in my mouth.

If Mitchell Trubisky starts, Trey Burton should have a good game. The Los Angeles Rams can be beat at the Tight End position. We can likely point to the Rams positive pressure rate even when they aren’t blitzing. This would require the QB to find a quick target. It’s perfect for the Tight End.

Burton was occasionally good with Trubisky, but disappeared with Chase Daniel behind center, so if Trubisky is benched in week 14, DO NOT start Trey Burton.

JARED COOK (OAKLAND RAIDERS)

Who else are they going to target?

At least Oakland is playing at home. They try harder when they play at home and the Steelers CAN be beat through the air.

Tight End: Sit ’em

CHRIS HERNDON (NEW YORK JETS)

The Jets are playing an away game this week. They’re playing against the Buffalo Bills. The Bills have allowed the 28th most fantasy points to the Tight End position (5.5 points per game). On the bright side, Herndon doesn’t share a lot of the workload at his position. He gets between 70-80% of the offensive snaps while the other Tight Ends get about 30% each. I suppose you could do worse than Herndon. The matchup is quite scary for me, so I say “Sit him.”

Good luck to each of you in week 14! Unless you’re facing me. In that case, I hope you bought Super Smash Bros Ultimate for your Switch. You’re having so much fun that you forgot to set your lineup!

It’s the playoffs. Yeah, right.

Week 14 QB Streaming Options


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Last Week’s Result: Lamar Jackson was able to rush for a TD in a game the Ravens won, but he was also knocked out of the game for a period of time which limited his potential upside. He did return to the game and finished with 16.5 fantasy points, so overall it was an alright performance. He didn’t hurt your team like Drew Brees or Andrew Luck did, but was right in the middle of the road. That brings the season average for my streaming option to 23.1 fantasy points per week.

In most leagues this is the start of the fantasy playoffs, so all decisions matter even more now. There are not as many options available in at least 50% of leagues, likely because people are more likely to hold a QB with a positive playoff match up, but there is always value available so let’s dive into the guys I like this week.

Main Streaming Option: Josh Allen

Since returning from injury Josh Allen has been doing a lot more on the ground. He ran for 99 yards and a TD 2 weeks ago and 135 yards last week, so he is giving a very nice baseline for fantasy players. This week he is facing the Jets defense at home that gave up over 200 yards and 2 TDs to Matt Barkley last time these teams played. The idea of playing Josh Allen in the fantasy playoffs is pretty scary; he is a very high variance play. He is the type of player I would suggest if you are a team that snuck into the playoff and are a big underdog in your match up. If you need to plug in someone safe look at the other 2 options, Josh Allen could be the number 1 QB this week and he could give you negative points. I am not even certain he is any good at real football, but I do believe the Bills could find themselves in a lot of positive game scripts because of their defense and the fact that they are facing the Jets. It looks like Darnold will be back and he leads the NFL in interceptions even though he has only plays in 9 games.. His overall numbers are not pretty, but if there is a week to put Allen in this is it.

Alternate 1: Lamar Jackson

If you want safer production Jackson is the way to go, his floor is much higher than fellow rookie Josh Allen. One major difference is Allen has shown he is at least capable of throwing for 200 yards. It will be interesting to see how this game plays out with big clash of styles versus the Chiefs. Baltimore will try to slow them and this game down, but if they are forced to play from behind how much will they open things up with Jackson? He has more upside with this potentially high scoring match up. This is the game with the 2nd highest over/under of the week at 53, so the expectation is the game script will go more towards the Chiefs. This is a big moment for Jackson as the Ravens might get a glimpse of their future. This is the biggest challenge of Jackson’s young career and if he comes through like he did so often in college he could be in for a big day. Baltimore is trying to hold on to the 6th seed in the playoffs, so they need to pull out all the stops against the Chiefs.

Alternate 2: Derek Carr

Carr was in this same spot for me last week and he came through in a big way against the Chiefs. The game was high scoring as expected; the surprise was that the Raiders were still competing in the 4th quarter. Carr has had some boom or bust in him this season, with 3 games over 30 fantasy points and 4 games under 10. Similar to last week the Raiders are unlikely to stop the Steelers’ offense which means they need to score to compete. The Raiders are 22nd in rushing yards this season so it is unlikely they are able to rely on their ground attack, I mean they just signed CJ Anderson so that tells you what you need to know about their rushing game. Carr has attempted the 10th most pass attempts this season, he might not be efficient but the volume is there for him to have another useful fantasy day.

Good luck in the playoffs, I will be back next week with recommendations for week 15 for those of you who are still going for the championship.


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WEEK 14 DRAFTKINGS/FANDUEL SELECTIONS

QUARTERBACK

Patrick Mahomes: vs BAL (DK 7000; FD 9300)

He’s matchupproof at this point as he’s crushing defenses on a weekly basis and available at a discount on DraftKings.  While the rest of the field debates whether to roster Patrick Mahomes against a stingy Baltimore defense, lock him in without hesitation if extra salary remains.  

Philip Rivers: vs CIN (DK 6500; FD 8300)

With Patrick Mahomes dominating most of the news and headlines coming out of the AFC West, the Chargers have quietly put together an impressive 9-3 record.  Before they square off against the Chiefs in what could be the penultimate game that crowns the division champion, they face a Bengals team that is traveling cross-country and struggling on both sides of the ball.  One stat Philip Rivers can claim that Mahomes cannot is that he has thrown multiple touchdown passes in every game in 2018, including three pass touchdown games in three out of five at the Stubhub Center.  The Chargers average 30 points per game at home while the Bengals allow 31.8 points per game and multiple passing touchdown games in four of five on the road and it’s a solid expectation for Rivers to have his way against this hapless defense that will not be able to shut down this dynamic Chargers offense.

Jameis Winston: vs NO (DK 6200; FD 7700)

The difference between Drew Brees and Jameis Winston is the possibility that either Mark Ingram or Alvin Kamara score a touchdown on the ground as the Saints have 19 rushing touchdowns compared to the nine posted by the Bucs.  With the inefficient running game and Tampa Bay entering the game as 8-point underdogs, it should force Winston to throw at will against a Saints defense that gives up the 4th most FPA to quarterbacks and the most to wide receivers.  It’s hard to go wrong with either quarterback option as this game boasts the highest total on the main slate this week but given the choice between the two, give me the quarterback that should register more passing attempts with the better receiving corps.

RUNNING BACK

Christian McCaffery: at CLE (DK 9300; FD 9100)

Had it not been for four Cam Newton interceptions, Christian McCaffery may have been in line for an even better fantasy performance against the Buccaneers.  Nonetheless, he is certainly in play again this week as the Panthers travel to Cleveland to visit a Browns team that has been crushed by bell-cow backs all season.  The price tag is hefty but certainly worth it for the Carolina running back that is seeing all of the touches and keeping Ron Rivera true to his word back in the summer that McCaffery would be heavily involved.  He’s more than proven he’s gamescript-independent as he is averaging 35.15 FPPG during Carolina’s four-game skid and if they fall behind again to the Browns, he will still have plenty of involvement out of the backfield.

Ezekiel Elliott: vs PHI (DK 8600; FD 8800)

A trademark of the 2017 Philadelphia Eagles was their ability to shut down running backs.  However, that never carried over into 2018 as in two games against Saquon Barkley and a previous matchup against Ezekiel Elliott in week 10, the Eagles surrendered 558 scrimmage yards and five touchdowns in three games to those feature backs.  Adrian Peterson broke off a 90-yard touchdown on Monday Night Football and if the venerable 33 year old can do so, imagine the carnage that a well-rested Zeke could do against a Philadelphia defense traveling to Dallas on a short week.  The addition of Amari Cooper has benefitted not just the entire Cowboys offense but Zeke too as he owns a +9.5 FPPG differential in DK scoring since the trade and this week bodes well for another strong showing in a game that the Cowboys can all but seal the division title with a win.

Austin Ekeler: vs CIN (DK 6200; FD 6700)

Rostering running backs against Cincinnati’s putrid rush defense has become a flow chart item as they’ve allowed seven rushing touchdowns in the last four weeks.  Austin Ekeler is in a nice rebound spot after being contained in Pittsburgh last week and should receive a bulk of the running back touches on Sunday in a game where the Chargers are two-touchdown favorites.  His work out of the backfield gives him a nice floor as he’s seen at least eight targets in the last two games and at this price, it’s hard to find a better bargain at the position other than the next one listed below.

Jaylen Samuels: at OAK (DK 3700; FD 4600)

How long James Conner will be out has yet to be determined as being declared out on the Tuesday morning before a Sunday game is concerning beyond this week.  There is certainty that Jaylen Samuels will be the highest-owned player on the main slate in week 14 at his inexpensive salary against an Oakland defense that has allowed 100+ rushing yards in 9 of 12 games.  In a blowout win against the Panthers in week 10 and last week against the Chargers, he caught touchdowns in both those games and seems like the favorite to receive the backfield work in what could be a committee at running back.  Given the choice between the equally inexpensive Justin Jackson of the Chargers and Samuels, despite Austin Ekeler struggling mightily against the Steelers, Samuels should receive more of the running back touches compared to Jackson and register the required 11.1 DK/13.8 FD points to return value.

WIDE RECEIVER

Keenan Allen: vs CIN (DK 7400; FD 7900)

His second-half resurgence should come as no surprise as he posted a +9.46 FPPG differential in PPR scoring in the second half of the 2017 season.  Now, Keenan Allen has a 9.66 FPPG differential through four games of the second half of 2018 and looks to continue this success against the Bengals.  Philip Rivers has thrown for multiple passing touchdowns in every game this year and considering Allen saw nearly 53% of the targets last week and Melvin Gordon will be inactive again, his chances of crossing the pylons are very good in this spot.  He’s priced as a bargain after a monster performance as the salaries for this week posted while the Chargers were playing on Sunday Night Football and should be rostered with confidence as a core piece in both cash game and GPP lineups.

Amari Cooper: vs PHI (DK 6600; FD 6900)

The Cowboys offense has become a three-headed monster since Amari Cooper was dealt to Dallas and if it’s not Zeke causing havoc to opposing defenses on the ground, it’s the blossoming chemistry between Dak Prescott and his new favorite target.  Cooper has led the team in receptions in four of the five games he has donned the silver and blue and squares off against an Eagles secondary that is battered with injuries and hemorrhages yards to receivers lined up on the perimeter.  This game presents a good opportunity for another performance he displayed on Thanksgiving and it comes at an affordable salary on both sites.

Chris Godwin: vs NO (DK 4900; FD 5600)

Jenna Laine, the Tampa Bay beat reporter for ESPN, suggests that it’s “quite possible” the Bucs shut down DeSean Jackson for the remainder of the 2018 season.  At the time of this writing, nothing has been confirmed but if he does miss the game against the Saints, it’s time to once again fire up Chris Godwin.  Godwin, who was featured in last week’s article, has performed well in DeSean’s absence racking up 15 receptions for 310 yards and two touchdowns in those three missed games.  Eli Apple is definitely an upgrade over Ken Crawley but still beatable and given that Vegas has the Saints giving eight points, it suggests that the Bucs will be throwing often and presenting Godwin with ample opportunity to accumulate targets.

Zay Jones: vs NYJ (DK 4200; FD 5100)

The blooming connection between Josh Allen and Zay Jones certainly precipitated the releases of Kelvin Benjamin and Andre Holmes this week.  Jones will duel with Buster Skrine and a Jets secondary that is surrendering the 3rd most FPA to slot receivers this year and one that he fared well against back in week 10 to the tune of eight catches for 93 yards and a touchdown.  New York has defended extremely well against receivers lined up on the perimeter, giving up the 3rd fewest FPA to outside receivers, which should filter additional targets in the direction of Jones.  He’s not the sexiest name on the main slate but one that has accumulated at least 67 yards and a touchdown in two of his last three games and can allocate salary for one or two of the top-tiered running backs.

TIGHT END

Travis Kelce: vs BAL (DK 6700; FD 8000)

The Ravens are in the top 10 in fewest FPA to nearly every fantasy position in PPR scoring.  However, they are susceptible to opposing tight ends and face arguably the best tight end in football coming off his best game of the season.  DraftKings has aggressively priced down players facing tough defenses all year and like Patrick Mahomes, Travis Kelce should be priced much higher after posting 42.8 DK points against the Raiders.  If week 13 is an indication of how the Chiefs offense will operate minus Kareem Hunt, Kelce is not only going to make people money in DFS for the remainder of the 2018 campaign but assist people in winning fantasy championships in redraft and dynasty leagues.

Eric Ebron: at HOU (DK 5700; FD 6400)

The Browns weren’t able to get David Njoku as involved as they needed to against a Texans defense that had really struggled against the position three weeks prior to that game.  However, that shouldn’t be an issue for Eric Ebron as only a few offenses target the tight end more than the Colts.  It remains to be seen whether Mo Alie-Cox and the recently acquired Clive Walford will be active this week but without those tight ends available for Indianapolis in week 13, Ebron saw a massive 16 targets.  Not to mention Jack Doyle also being out for the rest of the season but Ebron should be in line for double-digit targets once again regardless if Alie-Cox or Walford suit up or not.

Vance McDonald: at OAK (DK 3800; FD 5500)

Travis Kelce and Demetrius Harris combined for a 15 catch, 207 yard, and three touchdown slaughtering of the Raiders last week.  Enter the Steelers who were already operating in a pass-heavy offense before the James Conner injury as Ben Roethlisberger has 40 or more passing attempts in five of the last seven games.  AB and JuJu will certainly get their looks but after the beating the Raiders took from tight ends the previous Sunday, look for the Steelers to implement their tight ends as well.  Vance McDonald has seen five targets in four of the last five games and all he needs to hit 3x on DraftKings is three catches for 25 yards and a score which is within his range of outcomes.  He’s as cheap as I’m willing to go this week in what has been a tough position to forecast this season aside from the top four or five at the position.

DEFENSE

Los Angeles Chargers: vs CIN (DK 3500; FD 4600)

The Bengals have lost both A.J. Green and Andy Dalton for the season and the struggles on offense against the Broncos don’t look to improve in enemy territory, especially with Jeff Driskel under center.  The Chargers have forced at least one turnover in 10 of 12 games and are positioned well to make it 11 of 13 this weekend.

Buffalo: vs NYJ (DK 3200; FD 4200)

Sam Darnold and his 15 turnovers in 9 games returns as the starter against a Bills defense that held the Jets to 10 points in their previous meeting in week 10.  Buffalo is forcing 1.5 turnovers and sacking the quarterback 2.5 times per game in their last four.

New York Giants: at WAS (DK 2500; FD 3500)

Though it dates back to 2014, in the 10 games that Mark Sanchez has started, he’s turned the ball over 16 times.  In typical Sanchez fashion, he threw a pick in Monday night’s game while filling in for Colt McCoy and the odds of him turning the ball over this week are very favorable as he’s been prone to doing so throughout his career.

PRICE SHOPPING

Each week, I will identify what players are bargains based on the salary cap percentage difference they represent on the respective site.  Here are the notable week 14 bargains from both sites:

NOTABLE DRAFTKINGS BARGAINS

TE Chris Herndon: 3.16

TE Ian Thomas: 2.76

NOTABLE FANDUEL BARGAINS

RB Christian McCaffery: 3.24

WR JuJu Smith-Schuster: 3.9

WR Michael Thomas: 3.34

Redraft Waiver Wire Targets: Week 14


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Inhale deep, now exhale and give a Rick Flair-esque “wooo!” because you’ve made it. It’s playoff time and you’re ready to tinker and tweak those lineups to advance past round one!

Due to our scheduled releases, this will be completed before the Monday night games as well as before I’ve had time to digest every game in depth. So with that being said,  stay tuned to my tweets for more gems later on in the week and Follow THE Fantasy Vigilante HERE!

Quarterbacks:

Let’s be honest, if you made it this far, it wasn’t on the backs of some of the guys that are left. I won’t suggest QBs that are left at less than 50% own rate because they’re all bound to lose you the first round. Moving on.

Wide Receivers:

Tre’Quan Smith

ESPN OWN %: 43

YAHOO OWN%: 42

Frequently mentioned on this article, Smith continues to be a waiver wire darling ( I still have him in a few places). Tampa Bay is the team you want to green light all your players against and Smith is healthy. If you’re in need of a flex against a bad secondary, he’s one of the guys you should seek.

Adam Humphries

ESPN OWN %: 41.2

YAHOO OWN%: 50

Humphries has been having a quiet but great 4 weeks averaging 14.7 PPG. Even with the possible return of Desean Jackson looming, he won’t effect what Adam has going on. Godwin is another possible candidate here with the way he’s catching everything that comes his way, but may be stifled by Jackson’s return. Keep both in mind as wr3/flex plays this week.

Curtis Samuel

ESPN Own %: 12.5

YAHOO OWN%: 18

Didn’t even bother to take Curtis off from last week because I believe in him and the matchup he has. With Greg Olsen down, Funchess, Moore, CMC and Samuel with shoulder a heavier load going forward, not Ian Thomas. Which means more end around/motion plays that get him and Moore open where they can create in open space. Cleveland is that get right game for the Panthers and with no real #1 right now all three will have time on weaker defenders (even though CLE isn’t a pushover).

Running Backs:

Rashaad Penny

ESPN OWN %: 21.5

YAHOO OWN%: 30

With Mike Davis not running well and Carson injured, Penny could be in line for some heavier work. Minnesota isn’t shutting down the run game but they aren’t a walk in the park either. I look for this to be a matchup where he can manage to be a flex play at best with Mike Davis still getting most of the targets (Penny hasn’t been targeted in the last 4 weeks).

Ty Montgomery

ESPN OWN %: 13.1

YAHOO OWN%: 13

One of my favorite “scat-backs” from the offseason, Ty Mont is becoming a viable weapon for Lamar. He’s over 50 yards and at least 3+ receptions in the last two games. That should continue against KC seeing how Richard looked against them (126 yards from scrimmage). Depending on how Lamar slings it, I’d call Ty Mont a back end RB2. Gus Edwards should have a flex worthy game as well with the offense being more run oriented.

Jeff Wilson Jr.

ESPN OWN %: 0

YAHOO OWN%: 2

With Brieda missing this week (alert dropped while writing this) and Jeff having a great game last week, that makes him a great flex play against DEN. We have to expect Alfred Morris to be active but if Jeff sees any where close to what he got last week, he’ll be a fine play with RB2 upside in an offense that allows production.

Tight End:

Mark Andrews

ESPN OWN %: 1.6

YAHOO OWN%: 2

If you’re hurting at the position and can’t just let your TE spot sit empty, Andrews is your guy out of the few that are available. He’s the most productive TE on the team and KC isn’t exactly limiting any one position, especially the TE. In the last three games, they have allowed over 100 yards to the position.

Trust me, I’m right there with you in the waiver battlefields. I’ve tried every form of drafting strategy and they have little to no effect on my rosters because of, say it with me now, WAIVERS! As far as my redraft leagues go, 3 out of the 5 teams I have are going to the playoffs and most of the 21 teams I have lead the league in scoring and I hope this article has helped you accomplish the same.

You set yourself up in the draft, you win through waivers! Check the transaction wire and go get your #waiverxmas on and come home with a #Top2TypeVictory!


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Dynasty Trash Pile: Week 14 Edition


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I’ll be digging through the trash for your next waiver stash. This week on the Trash Pile, we are trying something different. I’m going to be recommending 3 stash players for next season each week from now until week 17 that are owned in 15% or less in all FFPC leagues. The list may range from veterans to first round busts, but should be interesting nonetheless. If you’re in a rebuild and you are looking towards the future, maybe there is a guy that sparks some interest between now and week 17. If not, thanks for reading anyway. Here goes:

1. Jonathan Williams, RB, Indianapolis Colts
(12.91% owned in FFPC leagues)

Jonathan Williams was projected as a high draft pick (possibly even the first round) after his junior year at Arkansas. An injury in his senior year before the season started killed his draft stock, and he was drafted by the Buffalo Bills in the 5th round (156th overall) in 2016. Since being drafted, Williams has bounced around between a few practice squads and has also served a suspension of 4 games. However, Williams possesses many traits that any team would look for in a running back.

He is a great pass protector, has good vision, runs with power up the middle, has pass catching ability and is known for being slippery when defenders go in for the tackle. Currently sitting on the Colts practice squad, he has also had stints with the New Orleans Saints and Denver Broncos that both resulted in his release. He seems to always be the “next man up”, but then is passed over for whatever reason. The Colts have activated Williams this season on 3 separate occasions, but he has only received 3 carries for 0 yards.

In the coming weeks, it is possible the Colts could push Williams into action a few more times to see what they have in him. If this happens, it could be an audition for a roster spot next year with the Colts, or another team. Williams is a gamble for sure, but there are 13% of FFPC owners who obviously believe in his talent.

2. Kevin White, WR, Chicago Bears
(14.7% owned in FFPC leagues)

I already know a majority of fantasy football owners hate Kevin White and I should too. I drafted the guy in my own Dynasty league and got burned. Injuries have derailed his career severely and that is a known fact. White still carries that high draft pick pedigree (selected 7th overall in 2015) and there will be a team that will take a chance on him next year because of this.

This season he has played sparingly. Most of his production came on a hail-mary pass in the game against New England where he hauled it in for 54 yards, but could not gain the extra yard to help the Bears secure a victory. It’s true that Kevin White has lost a step (his speed was his best asset), but he might have that chip on his shoulder mentality that could make him a serviceable roster option.

As of the writing of this article, his career stats are 24 catches for 263 yards and no touchdowns. I have no idea what the future holds for Mr. White, but I am certainly intrigued. If you are in the 85+% of leagues he’s available in, a $1 would probably get you Kevin White and that’s not a bad price coming from the Trash Man himself.

3. Teddy Bridgewater, QB, New Orleans Saints
(7.61% owned in FFPC leagues)

Teddy Bridgewater is a player I am definitely rooting for. Bridgewater is a former 1st round draft pick by the Minnesota Vikings (32nd overall) from the 2014 NFL Draft out of Louisville. After a breakout season in 2015 where he would end up making the Pro Bowl, Bridgewater tore his ACL and dislocated his knee joint in a gruesome injury in practice before the start of the 2016 preseason.

Since that time, he has been rehabbing and trying to make a comeback. In 2017, Bridgewater did the unthinkable and came back to play in week 15 against the Bengals. After a standing ovation, Bridgewater would end up tossing an interception in one of his only 2 pass attempts that season. After the conclusion of 2017, the Vikings would release Bridgewater. He was then signed by the New York Jets and after a decent preseason that saw him toss 316 yards, 2 td’s and 1 INT in 3 games, he was traded to the New Orleans Saints for a 6th round draft choice.

So far this year, Bridgewater has done nothing but take kneel downs for Drew Brees. However, the Saints could view him as the predecessor to Brees. In the Saints highly potent offense, this should excite any fantasy owner with a pulse. $1 would probably get Bridgewater on your roster. I’ve spent $1 of FAAB on worse players who would never sniff a Pro Bowl and I’m sure you have too.


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It’s Miller Time! Why Anthony Miller is Worth Your First Round Pick


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Since being drafted in the 2nd round of the 2018 NFL Draft by the Chicago Bears, Anthony Miller has showed a ton of promise.  Miller has shown that he can create separation, play both outside and in the slot and can be a viable RedZone threat.  His versatility and confidence has led to some early production and faith from the coaching staff and fellow players. 

I believe that as he continues to grow and gain chemistry with Mitchell Trubisky, Miller will surpass Taylor Gabriel and Allen Robinson to become the WR 1 in Chicago.  If you haven’t already, go buy Anthony Miller either before your leagues trade deadline or at the beginning of the fantasy offseason. 

The Price is Right

            One reason to go out and get Anthony Miller is because of his current price in dynasty.  According to Dynasty League Football’s November ADP, Miller is being drafted as the WR 44, behind guys like Devin Funchess, John Brown and Marquez Valdes-Scantling.  When you look at the ADP, Miller is one of the few guys being drafted later than WR 35 that has the upside to drastically move up in value.  

I think that Miller has a realistic shot of being a top 20 dynasty WR by this time next season. With Miller’s development and increased role in Chicago, I would definitely want the upside of Miller over those three guys I previously mentioned.  

Based on his current ADP, it would probably take a late 2019 1st round rookie pick to acquire Miller.  With the perceived strength of this draft being the first 7 or 8 picks, with not a ton of depth, it would be worth it to pair a late 1st and a small piece to trade for Miller.

He’s Earned Nagy & Trubisky’s Trust-You’re Next

            One of the main reasons to be optimistic about Anthony Miller is his increased role in the Chicago offense.  When looking at the season as a whole, Miller has a snap percentage of 63.7%.  But when you look at his snap percentage from Week 6 on, it jumps to 73%.  Miller has the skill and versatility to be on the field in any situation, regardless of down and distance or area of the field. As Miller continues to develop physically and mentally, it’s going to be difficult for Head Coach Matt Nagy to take Miller off the field.

            Along with seeing an increase in his snap percentage, Miller is becoming one of Mitchell Trubisky’s favorite targets. Since Week 3, there is only one game where Miller failed to have at least 5 targets or score a touchdown.  That was this past week against Detroit, when Chase Daniel was the starting QB.  When watching the Chicago Bears, it is clear that Mitchell Trubisky is gaining chemistry with Anthony Miller.  This chemistry has even carried over to the red zone, where the 5’11 WR has 4 catches and 2 TDs from inside 20 yards in the past 4 games. 

A Nagy Offense is Worth Investing In

            This past off-season, the Chicago Bears made a huge effort to improve their offense.  In 2017, Chicago’s offense had 267 first downs, averaged 4.9 yards per play, had 26 offensive touchdowns and had an average time of possession of 28:57.  Now returning to 2018, through only 11 games, Chicago’s offense has 235 first downs, averaging 5.6 yards per play, has 32 offensive touchdowns and has an average time of possession of 31:17.  

The improvements this team has made is incredible.  And this is in their first year under new Head Coach Matt Nagy.  If we are already seeing this type of improvement in Year 1, imagine what we can expect to see in the coming seasons.  This offense is young and exciting. As Mitchell Trubisky continues to grow and improve, this offense has potential to a be a top 8 unit in the NFL.  As that happens, Miller will see more snaps and red zone opportunities, which translate to fantasy production. 


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