Fantasy Football Big Board 1.0 (Hicks)

Welcome to my first fantasy football big board. I’ve already released positional rankings, based purely on tape, for each position group. You may want to check out those articles before reading this if you haven’t already-I will refer to them often throughout this article. You can find those articles here:

Quarterbacks

Running Backs

Wide Receivers

Tight Ends

My Big Board rankings, however, go beyond tape and take into account all the context we get in between now and Week 1 of the 2019 NFL season. In particular, this release takes into account NFL Combine performance.

I use tier based rankings. If you’re not used to this system note that players within the same tier have similar value for me. Choosing players within the same tier should come down to: personal preference of the fantasy football player making the draft pick (hey, it’s your pick not mine) and what your roster construction demands.

You can see how my rankings mach-up with my fellow dynasty writers by checking out or full prospect database at the 48 Report

Tier 1

Tier 1 features the players I have consistently considered to be the best in the 2019 NFL Draft class, in terms of their ability to contribute to fantasy football rosters. These players have moved around slightly from their NFL combine performance, but they all have legitimate upside and make for solid first round rookie draft picks.

1WRN’Keal HarryArizona State6’4″213
2WRDK MetcalfOle Miss6’4″225
3WRKelvin HarmonNC State6’2″215
4WRHakeem ButlerIowa State6’6″225
5RBRodney AndersonOklahoma6’2″220
6RBJosh JacobsAlabama5’11216
7WRAJ BrownOle Miss6’1″225
8TENoah FantIowa6’5″240
9RBDavid MontgomeryIowa State5’11216

It’s clear that this draft class is dominated by wide receivers-a position already coveted by dynasty fantasy football players. I have 5 wide outs ranked in my top 7, and I do believe that 4 of them should be drafted before we consider taking a running back or tight end.

N’Keal Harry and DK Metcalf jumped Kelvin Harmon in between my pre-big board rankings and this release. I still love Harmon and I believe his skillset will allow him to be a very productive wide receiver int he NFL and a great fantasy football value. Harmon’s combine, however, showed a limited ceiling-compared to Harry and Metcalf. Harry gets the nod for me over Metcalf because of breakout age, production in a defunct Arizona State offense, high athletic upside shown from tape and combine performance, and the higher floor he brings to your roster.

Rodney Anderson remains my RB1, based on tremendous (albeit limited) tape. He’s explosive, a rare combination of strength and athleticism, and has true 3 down back potential. Josh Jacobs’ choice to not test at the combine is concerning, but for the sake of positional scarcity and his dynamic upside he will remain in tier 1 for me. Montgomery remains a solid, balanced prospect whose potential will either soar or tank with his landing spot.

Fant’s ridiculous combine performance solidifies him as a first round rookie draft pick. He tested in the 96th%tile in the 40 yard dash (4.5), 97th%tile in the vertical jump (39.5″), 95th%tile in the 3-cone drill (6.81), 79th%tile in the 20 yard shuttle, and 91st%tile in the 60 yard shuttle. As much as I like his TE teammate from Iowa, Fant demonstrated in Indianapolis why he is the clear TE1 in this draft class.


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Tier 2

Tier 2 is when things get exciting. This is where fantasy football players get to break from “playing it safe” with early, high floor, picks and start taking their favorite prospects. This year’s draft class provides an eclectic but exciting combination of prospects that fantasy football players can fall in love with.

10RBMiles SandersPenn State5’11’215
11TETJ HockensonIowa6’5″250
12RBJustice HillOklahoma State5’10190
13WRParis CampbellOhio State6’1″208
14RBTrayveon WilliamsTexas A&M5’9200
15WRDeebo SamuelSouth Carolina6’0″210
16RBDamien HarrisAlabama5’10”215
17WREmanuel HallMissouri6’3″195
18TEIrv Smith JrAlabama6’3″243
19WRJalen HurdBaylor6’4″217
20WRMarquise BrownOklahoma5’10”168
21RBBenny SnellKentucky5’11”223
22QBDrew LockMissouri6’4″225
23RBDevin SingletaryFlorida Atlantic5’9200

My focus in round 1 of rookie drafts this year is wide receiver. Part of that is the talent at the top of that position, but part of it is the value you can get at running back in round 2. Miles Sanders showed out in Indianapolis-proving he’s just as athletic in testing as he looks on tape; making him the highest riser on my big board. Justice Hill’s combine solidified his high ceiling and proved for me that he is made to be a PPR threat for year’s to come. Trayveon Williams didn’t impress as much at the combine, but didn’t tank his draft stock either-his tape and production still warrant early round 2 consideration.

Parris Campbell and Emmanuel Hall both boosted their big board rank from their combine performance. I was skeptical that Campbell’s tape was a product of a well-designed system; he proved me wrong after testing in the 90th%tile or better in the 40 yard dash, vertical jump, broad jump, and 20 yard shuttle. His 40 yard dash time was an impressive 4.31. Hall ran a 4.39 40-yard dash (87th%tile) and tested in the 98th%tile in vertical jump and 99th%tile in broad jump. Hall was a player I was higher on than most in pre-combine rankings and he proved in Indianapolis what I saw on tape-a very high ceiling.

This tier also features a few players whose stock seem to be consistently falling. Damien Harris has done nothing bad through the draft process-he just hasn’t done anything exciting; so he continues to slide. I’ve been low on Hollywood Brown from tape, and his injury prevented him from proving me wrong with high athletic testing numbers. Benny Snell and Devin Singletary both disappointed at the combine; Snell proved he is a two down back at best in the NFL and Singletary showed he may not even be that.

Tier 3

Tier 3 is where things start to get wild. It’s a messy combination of hidden gems, high upside/big risk options, and where you will find the bulk of this year’s quarterback class.

24TEJace StrenbergerTexas A&M6’4″250
25QBKyler MurrayOklahoma 5’10”195
26RBDarrell HendersonMemphis5’9″200
27WRJJ Arcega-WhitesideStanford6’3225
28WRAndy IsabellaU Mass5’10”190
29WRRiley RidleyGeorgia6’2200
30QBDwayne HaskinsOhio State6’2″215
31WRLil’Jordan HumphreyTexas6’4″225
32TEDax RaymondUtah State6’5″250
33RBElijah HolyfieldGeorgia5’11”215
34QBTyree JacksonBuffalo6’7″245
35WRAnthony JohnsonBuffalo6’2207
36QBDaniel JonesDuke6’5″220
37RBMike WeberOhio State5’10214

Kyler Murray continues to buck the NFL Draft process; after deciding late to commit to football he chose to not participate beyond interviews in Indianapolis. Murray remains QB2 for me primarily because Haskins continues to be unimpressive and Murray’s dual threat upside should be coveted by fantasy football players. You’ll see that I have Lock in tier 2; if you’ve been following along with me, that shouldn’t surprise you; I gave him my highest tape grade and it’ll be landing spot that truly separates these 3 quarterbacks.

Daniel Jones continues to get round 1 NFL Draft hype and for that reason alone he remains in my tier 3. I much prefer the upside of Tyree Jackson, though, who proved to be an athletic freak for the QB position at the combine. Jackson ran a 4.59 40-yard dash; at 6’7″ 249 lbs! He also tested in the 84th%tile in the vertical jump and 91st%tile in the broad jump. He’s raw, but he continues to prove he may be worth a taxi squad stash.

This tier also features polarizing wide outs that are worth taking a risk on in the back end of the second round or early to mid third round of your rookie drafts. Arcega-Whiteside has the potential to be a touchdown monster if he falls into the right landing spot, Isabella burned at the combine with a 4.31 40-yard dash (96th%tile), and Riley Ridley is well…he’s the definition of polarizing.

Tier 4

If tier 4 is the part of your rookie draft I like to refer to as “the dart board”. At this point, all of these prospects are pure upside/high bust potential type players. It is important at this point in the draft you find “your guys”-find a guy that gets you excited and take a shot on him; there’s no playing it safe this late in the draft anyways.

38WRGreg DortchWake Forest5’9″170
39QBEaston StickNorth Dakota St6’2″222
40TEKaden SmithStanford6’5259
41TEIsaac NautaGeorgia6’4″240
42QBWill GrierWVU6’2″223
43RBDamarea CrockettMissouri5’11225
44WRDeMarkus LodgeOle Miss6’2″200
45QBBrett RypienBoise State6’2″202
46TEDawson KnoxOle Miss6’4″250
47QBJordan Ta’amuOle Miss6’2″212
48RBMyles GaskinWashington5’9″191

In the spirit of working the draft board I’ll focus here on Brett Rypien and Dawson Knox. The quarterback and tight end positions, in particular, interest me this late in rookie drafts because it is less likely I invested in them earlier in the draft.

Brett Rypien, out of Boise State, continues to fly under the radar. He isn’t the flashiest of quarterbacks, and isn’t MVP bound, but I believe that in the right landing spot he could have a long, solid NFL career. He can work all three levels of the field with good accuracy, reads defenses well, and is mobile enough to move the pocket when needed.

Dawson Knox got a low tape score from me. He is a converted quarterback playing tight end and even after a couple year’s in the position he still isn’t comfortable blocking. He is very athletic, however, and is comfortable pass catching. He saw limited work in an Ole Miss offense which also included DeMarkus Lodge, DK Metcalf, and AJ Brown. Given positional scarcity, I’ll likely be rolling the dice on Knox’s upside in my own rookie drafts this offseason.

NFL Rookie Mock Draft: Comparing the 2019 Draft Class to 2018 & 2017

This article is a collaboration of 5 dynasty/devy writers for the Fantasy Fanalysts. All of the writers also contribute to the 48 Report.

Follow our writers and us on twitter and let us know what you think of your team’s pick!

We decided to get wild this week for Mock Draft Monday and have conducted a draft where we compare the value of the 2019 draft class to the prospects from the past two draft classes.

For the purposes of this draft, each team drafted snake style and for a SuperFlex & TE premium league. Each roster has 2 QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, 2 TE, & 2 FLEX spots. Each writer could only draft players from the 2019, 2018, & 2017 draft classes. We provided a round by round breakdown of the picks. You can see the full draft board below:

JoshChrisMikeMattEric
1Saquon
Barkley
Pat
Mahomes
Christian
McCaffery
Alvin
Kamara
Juju
Smith-Schuster
2N’Keal HarryJames
Connor
Joe MixonDerrius
Guice
Deshaun
Watson
3Baker
Mayfield
Kenny
Golladay
Dalvin
Cook
Mitch
Trubisky
Sony
Michel
4Kerryon
Johnson
DK
Metcalf
George
Kittle
Kelvin
Harmon
Lamar
Jackson
5Josh
Rosen
Josh
Allen
Nick
Chubb
Sam
Darnold
Philip
Lindsay
6Courtland
Sutton
Tarik
Cohen
Corey
Davis
Evan
Engram
Noah
Fant
7David
Montgomery
Adam
Shaheen
Mike
Williams
OJ
Howard
Cooper
Kupp
8Leonard
Fournette
Mike
Gesicki
Kyler
Murray
Hakeem
Butler
TJ
Hokenson
9David
Njoku
Chris
Carson
Drew
Lock
Rodney
Anderson
Kareem
Hunt
10Dallas
Goedert
Chris
Godwin
Irv
Smith Jr.
DJ
Moore
Calvin
Ridley

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Round 1: 2019 is Overshadowed by Superstars

1.01- Saquon Barkley

1.02- Pat Mahomes

1.03- Christian McCaffery

1.04- Alvin Kamara

1.05- Juju Smith-Schuster

This can be chalked up to hindsight being 20/20 and an incredibly talented set of draft classes for comparison, but the 2019 prospects were not close to being considered amongst this talented group. Barkley and Mahomes are the clear top picks for most superflex players and McCaffery and Kamara are a pair of high impact and consistent running backs in an otherwise shallow position for fantasy football players. Smith-Schuster is a bit of a surprise pick here, but with Brown likely out of town the very young player has a lot of upside to grow into.


Matt Hicks

Round 2: The First 2019 Prospect Sighting

2.01 – Deshaun Watson

2.02 – Derrius Guice

2.03 – Joe Mixon

2.04 – James Conner

2.05 – N’Keal Harry

I consider Watson the 2nd best QB of the available group behind Pat Mahomes. I may be higher on him than most so I would have been interested to see if he would’ve made it back to me but in a superflex, I decided against the risk.

Guice should slot right in as the Redskins starter but I hope his hype doesn’t get out of control. Mixon had a breakout year and could be primed for an even bigger 2019 with the Bengals making some promising changes to the coaching staff.

Conner is a stud and it was between him, Juju and Watson for me at the turn. I may not have taken him but he will be a major stud again in 2019.

We have our first 2019 rookie off the board with Josh taking N’Keal Harry and I am totally fine with it. After the combine Harry had, you can definitely make the argument he should be the 1.01.


Eric Adams

Round 3: 5 More Players Greater than the 1.01

3.01 – Baker Mayfield

3.02 – Kenny Golladay

3.03 – Dalvin Cook

3.04 – Mitchell Trubisky

3.05 – Sony Michel

This is a very talented group of players!  Being that it is superflex and there isn’t a huge pool of established starters, I am completely fine with Baker going before the likes of Dalvin Cook.  

Golladay and Cook have both shown that they have the talent and ability to produce at the NFL level. Trubisky showed solid production in his first season in Matt Nagy’s offense and with a lot of new offensive playmakers.

Finally, I really liked Michel’s usage and production in the last portion of the season and throughout the playoffs. I fully expect all of these players to continue to develop and live up to their draft position. When comparing these guys to the 2019 rookies, I think I would rather have all of these guys more than the 1.01


Mike Colaianne

Round 4: The Rookie Wide Receivers Emerge

4.01 Lamar Jackson

4.02 Kelvin Harmon

4.03 George Kittle

4.04 DK Metcalf

4.05 Kerryon Johnson

An interesting round in this interesting draft and the first round that the 2019 class starts to get taken.  I jumped on Harry myself much earlier, but this is the right range for guys like Harmon and Metcalf. Both of these guys are going to be starters at the next level and it looks like they will be darn good ones too.  

I was thrilled to steal Kerryon at the end of this 4th round with the 20th overall pick. He is poised to take on the workhorse role in Detroit and finished last year strong as he started to get fed more touches.

This is a little early for Lamar Jackson for my taste, but I understand the allure of the rushing upside (and floor).  Kittle is a big-time value here as each of us is filling out our rosters with 2 tight ends and getting the best tight end available with your 4th pick feels like a steal.


Josh Padgett 

Round 5: (2018) Quarterback Fever

5.01 Josh Rosen

5.02 Josh Allen

5.03 Nick Chubb

5.04 Sam Darnold

5.05 Phillip Lindsay

This round was interesting. It boasted the most QBs of any round with 3/5 picks being Josh Rosen, Sam Darnold and Josh Allen. Each team choosing was drafting that 2nd QB before resources dried up and rightfully so. The only QBs drafted after this point, were the top two rookie QBs: Drew Lock and Kyler Murray. While the rookies coming in are no laughing matter, the established sophomores from the last class would all be drafted before the guys coming in.

This year’s draft is viewed as a weaker class in terms of QBs and maybe (longterm) only a few guys would could be a franchise’s answer. With the 2018 class, every QB taken in the early rounds is seen to be the team’s answer and had the most QBs taken (4) with only Mason Rudolph being left out.  


Christopher Nelson

Round 6: Fant > Engram?

6.01 – Noah Fant

6.02 – Evan Engram

6.03 – Corey Davis

6.04 – Tarik Cohen

6.05 – Courtland Sutton

I went with the upside of Fant over a sure thing in Engram. I think Fant has a chance to enter the elite tier of tight ends in the NFL and I wanted to go with some flash plus I love his game. Matt followed suit by taking Engram and I am fine with it but I still have some concerns over his usage in the Giants’ system.

I literally can’t say any nice things about Corey Davis. I want to like him but he is just too inconsistent. I’m hoping the Titans can get more out of him but he’s at a crossroads at the moment. LOVE Tarik Cohen here in the 6th round. With the Bears reportedly looking to trade Jordan Howard, Cohen could become even more valuable and he flourished in Matt Nagy’s system in 2018.

I need to see more consistency from Sutton. I love his game but he had his rookie struggles. I could see him making a nice year 2 jump but having Flacco as a QB doesn’t exactly make me feel all warm inside.


Eric Adams

Round 7: The First 2019 RB Off the Board

7.01 – David Montgomery

7.02 – Adam Shaheen

7.03 – Mike Williams

7.04 – OJ Howard

7.05 – Cooper Kupp

I was pretty surprised to see so much talent this late in the draft.  David Montgomery is my RB1 in this 2019 class and I probably prefer him over the rest of the guys in this round.  Shaheen seems like a bit of a reach, considering Howard and Njoku were still available, but there is no doubt that Shaheen has potential with his size and athleticism.  

Mike Williams is a huge buy for me this year due to his continued growth and Tyrell Williams being a free agent. I know Bruce Arians hasn’t really used his TEs in the past, but OJ is special and can hop up into the elite tier of TEs as soon as this season.  Coming off a torn ACL, Kupp looks to continue being the Ram’s possession receiver and produce as a low end WR 2.


Mike Colaianne

Round 8: 2019 Showing Up Late

8.01 TJ Hockenson

8.02 Hakeem Butler

8.03 Kyler Murray

8.04 Mike Gesicki

8.05 Leonard Fournette

Hockenson is a steal here in my opinion. As the 6th tight end of the board. Currently, he is a first round rookie pick on my board. With a good situation, he could easily jump Howard, Shaheen, Engram and even Fant who all went above him in this draft. I am not the biggest Butler fan in our crew, but I understand the value here.

This is the right spot for Murray considering the potential and the fact that he should start very early in his NFL career.  Gesicki is a reach with Njoku still on the board, but the upside is great especially if the Dolphins bring in a rookie QB who will need a security blanket. I considered Fournette with both of my 6th and 7th round picks (6.10 and 7.01). Then I watched him fall all the way to the 40th overall pick. I understand the concerns, but the talent is still immense and the offense is geared towards him in a big way.

There is not a quarterback that the Jaguars can go get that would make them lighten the load for Fournette. Will his star burn out quickly? Probably, but it is going to burn real bright until it does.


Josh Padgett 

Round 9: Running Back…to the Future?

9.01 David Njoku

9.02 Chris Carson

9.03 Drew Lock

9.04 Rodney Anderson

9.05 Kareem Hunt

This is a very eclectic group of players. Njoku is a huge value here in a 2 TE/TE premium format, especially with Cleveland’s offense trending in a positive direction. I think Drew Lock deserves to come off the board here and I’m glad he was valued enough to be on a super flex roster.

That leaves 3 running backs, of which I favor the future. Carson had a solid 2018 season, but with Penny looming I wouldn’t have taken him. Hunt has a significant amount of unknown variable (including impending suspension) and I don’t want that baggage on my fantasy football roster-especially at the running back position. I would LOVE to have Anderson, my RB1, on all of my rosters though. He’s explosive, has huge upside, and if he didn’t have an injury history would be far and away the consensus RB1 in this draft class. For once in this draft: I’ll give 2019 the advantage.

Matt Hicks

Round 10: Plenty of Talent Left

10.1 Calvin Ridley

10.2 D.J. Moore

10.3 Irv Smith Jr.

10.4 Chris Godwin

10.5 Dallas Goedert

For it being the last round, there was no grasping at straws. To be honest, there was still a lot of talent left over, but some teams had to fill needs vs grabbing a flex. Besides maybe the tight ends (who generally take a little while to develop), everyone chosen is slated to take a step forward this coming season with pretty good ceilings.

Ridley and Godwin will have to split reps with Evans and Julio but should still continue to see serviceable market share. DJ Moore, on the other hand, could be in for the biggest boost of them all. With Olsen possibly retiring and Funchess moving on, Moore could very well move into WR1 land.  


Christopher Nelson

Hakeem Butler: the Underrated 4 Star Prospect

Welcome to the 48 Report, a full database of 48 of our favorite 2019 Draft Prospects. The key, however, is that we focus specifically on their ability to translate as fantasy football players. All players in the database have been scored by 3 writers, and this is their article; explaining their aggregate score, as well as the score of their writer. All categories are scored on a 1-5 scale; with 5 being the highest score a prospect can receive. The highest aggregate average scores a player can receive is 25. Articles will be posted January-April, all the way up to the draft. Ratings will be adjusted after the combine, based on measurables and after the draft, because as we all know: landing spot matters.

Hakeem Butler (6’6″, 225), Wide Receiver, Iowa State           

21 Aggregate Score (4 Star Prospect)

Hakeem Butler is one of my favorite top tier receivers. I probably have him higher than most at the moment. He’s the best receiver in this class at his size. With him having a 6’6 frame, he’s bigger than most tight ends and definitely receivers.

This caused me to look at those who may have come before him to see what kind of success bigger receivers had and there hasn’t been many. Since 1989 (last 30 years), only 10 receivers his height or taller have managed game time of any sort. The most successful was QB convert Matt Jones with a season of 54 receptions on 107 targets for 761 yards and 2 TDs. The next best and most recent were Brandon Coleman and Tanner McEvoy. Coleman was waived from the Saints practice squad in 2018 and McEvoy was waived January of this year by the Bills.

The biggest difference between all these guys and Butler is that he’s had a much more productive career thus far and has a chance to be the best 6’6 non-TE the NFL has ever seen.


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College Production: 

RECYDsYard/CatchTD
2017 (Junior)4169717.07
2018 (Senior)601,31822.09

When you look at his statistics from his junior year, his yards and yards per catch standout. Considering he was on the middle to low end of receptions, he did very well for what he caught.

When you watch his tape you can absolutely see why. It also helps that he was in a respectable offense with a running back that will more than likely go in the top 6: David Montgomery. Butler definitely made them pay for having to respect Montgomery and his greatness from the backfield.

Speed/Acceleration: Aggregate Score: 3.3 (Personal Score: 4)

I’m higher on Butler than the other raters but I think it’s warranted. He’s not a gazelle no, but he moves very fast and has some great acceleration both in his routes and after the catch. I think it played a huge part in his YPC being so high.

Route Running: Aggregate Score: 4.6 (Personal Score: 5)

He has a great two-point stance & is smooth on his routes. From the tape I watched, he looks to be able to run the whole tree and that from each receiver position on the field. Iowa State definitely used him correctly and seemed to have gotten the most out of him.

Blocking: Aggregate Score: 3.3 (Personal Score: 2)

I’m a lot lower in this aspect because I didn’t see the desire to block from him nor the scheme to have him as a blocking receiver. Nothing so bad that it will hurt his stock and it can be improved if necessary.

Handwork/Positioning: Aggregate Score: 5 (Personal Score: 5)

We all agree that this kid has the ability to use his hands and it’s not his catching (although he’s good at that too); it’s his hand-fighting.

He’s so deceptive that you might even miss the moves he uses to create such great separation. He probably uses this trait more in tandem with his other abilities than any other prospect in this draft and that’s exactly what I love about him.

Athleticism: Aggregate Score: 4.6 (Personal Score: 4)                                                                                                    

The way he catches the ball is like artwork. He utilizes his size and frame to make things happen that solidify him in the top tier of receivers this draft. He also has some ups that make jump balls ridiculous for a defensive back (usually between 5’9-6’2) to even imagine going up and fighting for.

Conclusion: Top 5 pick

There should be no way he slides outside of the top 5 and I won’t have it any other way. If he falls to me outside of there, I will rejoice! My thing is really what NFL teams decide to do with him. I really hope they keep him as a mismatch wideout vs making him shift to tight end. It would be a shame. He’s way better at moving around the field and being a super mobile big-bodied weapon. He’s what some people wish JJ Arcega-Whiteside could be. Hakeem Butler is the real deal!